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Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Monday, September 15, 2014

A Closer Look at the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Tanashian

Using the standard weekly currency chart we followed along for months as the Euro found resistance at the long-term downtrend line as expected, the commodity currencies long ago lost major support and non-confirmed the commodity complex and the US dollar moved from a hold of critical support, to a trend line breakout, to its current impulsive and over bought status.  It is time now for a closer look at Uncle Buck since this reserve currency is key to so many asset markets the world over.

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Currencies

Monday, September 15, 2014

US Dollar Forecast to Go Much Higher / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

The US Dollar has gone gang busters after breaking above 81.7 and clearly has broken out. This has implications for everything else. As the US Dollar is a Reserve Currency, everything that has an inverse relationship to it will fall, such as gold. As I mentioned, I got out of all of my core precious metal positions a few weeks ago after the drop and bounce, as there is no indication that they will participate to the upside with a rising US Dollar under the current global environment. Most commodities are experiencing weakness and this will continue into next year until the US Dollar initially tops out. When the global economy after August 2015 hits, then commodities could get whacked even more. They might not get clipped as bad as per 2008 off the record highs, but there still will be a correction to follow. How long the rally in the US Dollar lasts is really anyone's guess. Analysis will show a high expected in the range of 93-95 by August 2015, but it could still have strength as deflation overtakes the global economies.

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Currencies

Friday, September 12, 2014

Currency Market Mayhem / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Alasdair_Macleod

You’d think that the US dollar has suddenly become strong, and the chart below of the other three major currencies confirms it.

The US dollar is the risk-free currency for international accounting, because it is the currency on which all the others are based. And it is clear that three months ago dollar exchange rates against the three currencies shown began to strengthen notably.

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 10, 2014

AUD USD Beware The Fake Out / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Austin_Galt

The AUDUSD has been smashed the last couple of days. It has even busted through a well known support level. Many bulls would have stopped out of long positions on this move down while many bears would have shorted the break. I believe this to be a classic market deception. Let’s investigate starting with the daily chart.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 09, 2014

AUDNZD Another Pullback Forex Trading Opportunity? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Austin_Galt

Since my last report on the AUDNZD, price has embarked on a nice uptrend hitting a high last week just shy of $1.13. It really has been one way traffic. Northbound that is. However, last Friday saw the first sign that the next decent pullback opportunity may be upon us. Let''s investigate.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 09, 2014

What's With the Japanese Yen? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The Yen has morphed into a different pattern than I had originally portrayed. Not that there weren’t clues already there, but the first Triangle formation threw me off, thinking that the decline in the Yen was complete on January 10, 2014. Usually Triangles occur in fourth waves. However, they also occur in B waves.

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Currencies

Sunday, September 07, 2014

So, What's up with Bitcoin's Price? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Submissions

Mark Blair writes: Short answer: too little data to know -- but this article will give you some food for thought.

# The five months of The China Thing ended on April 10. Merchant adoption etc. progressed solidly during that time. A year ago, adoption was going business by business. Five months ago, it was going company by company. At this point, it is going nation by nation.

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Currencies

Saturday, September 06, 2014

Bitcoin Price More Weakness Than You Might Think / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: we don’t support any speculative positions in the market.

Charlie Shrem, the founder of BitInstant, a New York based Bitcoin exchange, has pleaded guilty to aiding an unlicensed money-transmitting operation, we read on the Reuters website:

A man who helped to promote bitcoin wants to remain in the business despite pleading guilty Thursday to indirectly helping send more than $1 million in the digital currency to users of the illicit online marketplace Silk Road, his lawyer said.

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Currencies

Friday, September 05, 2014

Blockchain Promises To Be As Disruptive A Technology As The Internet / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: GoldCore

Every once in a while a new idea blasts onto the scene out of nowhere -- typically it is at first met with suspicion and distrust. If it has merit, it can start to become disruptive and awkward for incumbents, let's call them the “Safe Guys”. Safety and security are heralded as reasons why the new idea should be ignored.

New ideas only really take off when someone somewhere, lets call him the “New Guy”, figures out how to monetise the hell out of the idea -- then New Guy types start to get wealthy. Then and only then do Safe Guys start to take notice and that brings a whole new level of scrutiny.

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Currencies

Friday, September 05, 2014

US Dollar and British Pound Update / Currencies / British Pound

By: Jonathan_Davis

First, a recap of what I said a month ago.  Full post here.

4 August 2014:

“So, the US $ is to collapse, so say the inflationistas, the gold bugs, the Anderson shelter types etc.

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Currencies

Friday, September 05, 2014

US Dollar and Yen Trend Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Rambus_Chartology

Tonight is a good time to look at some long term charts for the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen. I've been waiting for this day for more than a year now when I first created this long term US dollar chart. Some of our long term members will recall this monthly fractal chart that I labeled as having a Big Base #1 and Big Base #2 which are fractals as shown by the numbers on each base. At the time I thought we were ready to breakout above the almost 14 year S&R rail but as you can see the US dollar needed one more small move lower to finish off the big base #2. The breakout doesn't look very impressive on this bar chart but it is happening.

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Currencies

Friday, September 05, 2014

British Pound Slides on Scottish Independence YES Vote Risks, What Happens Next? / Currencies / British Pound

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The British Pound has virtually nose dived after spending the whole of the year in an uptrend to recent multi-year highs of £/$1.72 of mid July on the back of a strong UK economy when compared to the Euro-zone catastrophe that continues to unfold across the English Channel, which had prompted much flight of the capital to the relative safety of the British currency.

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Currencies

Thursday, September 04, 2014

What's Next for The U.S. Dollar and Gold? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

One reason markets tend to get a little nervous in September is that it's time for investors to ponder about their asset allocation for the remainder of the year and beyond. With the markets at or near record highs and the US dollar on a roll, what could possibly go wrong? Let's look at what's next for the dollar, gold, and currencies.

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 03, 2014

Scotland Independence Risk Sees British Pound Dive / Currencies / British Pound

By: GoldCore

Sterling fell sharply yesterday as traders became nervous of a possible vote for Scottish independence. The referendum on Scottish independence from the United Kingdom takes place on Thursday 18th September. 

While the referendum and the potential impact of an independent Scotland have been on the horizon for some time, the approaching vote in two weeks is causing upheaval for the British pound in currency markets, and also more general macro uncertainty in the regional economic and monetary system.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 02, 2014

Bitcoin Price Might Move Shortly / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Briefly: we don’t support any short-term positions in the Bitcoin market.

An increasing number of Canadian employees are choosing to get paid in Bitcoin, an article on CTV News reported:

A small but growing -- and surprising -- number of workers are rejecting Canadian dollar salaries for Bitcoin, according to a Waterloo, Ont., payroll firm.

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