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Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Bitcoin Price Down Move Still in the Cards / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: speculative short positions, stop-loss at 283, take-profit at $153.

The development of Bitcoin shares traits with the development of the financial system as we know it. The problems which marred some Bitcoin exchanges seem similar to the ones which contributed to the introduction of deposit insurance. In a way, Bitcoin exemplifies both the troubles that the financial system encountered in the past but also the opportunities it offered. We actually saw an interesting piece on the Quartz website drawing parallels between the organization of stock trading and the Bitcoin system:

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 31, 2015

US Dollar Forecast / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ed_Carlson

With no break of the 34-dma and a cycle low due this week it is beginning to look like the bulk of the expected correction is behind us and DXY will soon begin what is expected to be the last leg of its rally prior to this September.

April looks bullish for the dollar with short-term cycles pointing to highs near both Apr. 15 and Apr. 30.

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Currencies

Friday, March 27, 2015

Bitcoin Price Still in Important Territory / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: speculative short positions, stop-loss at 283, take-profit at $153.

This week the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) adopted new rules regulating small companies' access to capital, we read on CoinDesk:

On Wednesday, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) adopted regulations permitting crowdfunding for business startups.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 26, 2015

USD JPY Shorts Break Down / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Ashraf_Laidi

The charts below show net speculative shorts in JPY vs. USD have broken out of a 4-year channel (signifying a potential turn), while the chart on the right shows protracted yen weakness will inevitably restore the trade balance into surplus for the first time in 4 years.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 25, 2015

US Dollar - Americas Phoenix / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Mauldin

 “Just a little patience, yeah…” - Guns N’ Roses

Lastweek the FOMC essentially removed forward guidance and placed all options back on the table, and at the end of the day they’ve opened the door for further tightening. As Yellen recently explained in advance, the removal of the word patience from the Fed’s guidance amounts to fair warning to the rest of the world’s central banks: an interest rate hike is on the horizon. Govern your actions accordingly. (My personal guess, for those interested, is September, with the Fed proceeding exceedingly slowly and cautiously thereafter.)

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Bitcoin Price Gearing Up for a Fall / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: speculative short positions, stop-loss at 283, take-profit at $153.

Nasdaq is going to provide a new Bitcoin exchange with technology allowing its future users to trade Bitcoin, we read on the Wall Street Journal website:

Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. has agreed to provide New York-based startup Noble Markets with core technology to power a new marketplace aimed at allowing companies and institutional investors such as hedge funds to trade bitcoin and related digital-currency assets.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Global Currencies Teeter as Bonds Offer “Return-Free Risk” / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: MoneyMetals

Stefan Gleason writes: Never before has holding bonds denominated in national currencies been more risky and less rewarding. That may seem like a provocative statement, but it’s not hyperbole. It’s the reality investors around the world now face.

Sovereign debt issued by Western governments sport record-low yields – in some cases, negative yields! Earlier this year the yield on the U.S. 30-year Treasury dipped to an all-time low of 2.25%. Meanwhile, despite talk of rate hikes to come, the Federal Reserve continues to keep short-term rates near zero.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 21, 2015

No Rest for Bitcoin Traders / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: speculative short positions, stop-loss at 283, take-profit at $153.

Intel might be looking into Bitcoin, we read on CoinDesk:

California-based semiconductor manufacturer Intel appears to be dipping its toe in the digital currency space, following a bitcoin-related job posting.

The multinational company is looking for a cryptographic researcher to join its Special Innovation Projects Group, part of its in-house research organisation, Intel Labs.

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Currencies

Friday, March 20, 2015

Sharp Fall In USD Index And Its Implications / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadia_Simmons

Yesterday, Ms. Yellen said that the Federal Reserve will likely raise interest rates later this year, but it will not occur after the FOMC next meeting in April. She also added that the decision will depend on the data. In response to this announcement the USD Index reversed and dropped below the barrier of 100, accelerating further declines. As a result, the greenback hit an intraday low of 94.77 against the basket of major currencies. What impact did this correction have on their short-term picture?

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 18, 2015

Renminbi The Market is Simply NOT Expecting This to Happen / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Submissions

Miha Zupan writes: To succeed in investing you essentially have to beat the majority of other investors. This will not be achieved by thinking like everyone else. You will have to think and act differently to everyone else.

How do most people think when it comes to trading, or at least what do they spend most of their time on? The majority spend their time attempting to determine what will happen in the future? Very few think about risk and reward. That is, how much will I make if I am right versus how much will I lose if I am wrong! Yes, to succeed you must think more about payoffs of future events not the future itself.

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Currencies

Sunday, March 15, 2015

US Dollar Forex Pairs and Gold Chartology / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Rambus_Chartology

When you look at these different currencies you will see some massive topping patterns that reversed their bull markets. You will also see they still have a long ways to go to the downside before this bear market is over. If that is the case then the US dollar has a long ways to go in its bull market.

Lets start with the CAD which broke down from a blue triangle consolidation pattern on Tuesday of this week.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 14, 2015

Currency Wars - U.S. Dollar Soars, Economy Disappoints / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Rubino

The point of competitive devaluation, aka currency war, is that a cheaper currency gives a country several advantages over its trading partners, leading to better growth and generally happier voters. The trading partners, meanwhile, get the ugly mirror image -- slowing growth and disgruntled citizens -- so they eventually respond in kind, with devaluations of their own. If nothing happens to stop the war, everyone's currency ends up being worth a lot less and a whole generation of savers is partially wiped out.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 14, 2015

Bitcoin Price Reversal? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

IBM might be working on the adoption of blockchain to serve traditional currencies, we read on the Reuters website:

International Business Machines Corp is considering adopting the underlying technology behind bitcoin, known as the "blockchain," to create a digital cash and payment system for major currencies, according to a person familiar with the matter.

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Currencies

Friday, March 13, 2015

Trading the Parabolic U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Zeal_LLC

The mighty US dollar has been red-hot in March, rocketing higher on the incredible divergence of major central-bank policies.  While the Federal Reserve’s first rate-hike cycle in 9 years looms, the European Central Bank has started aggressively monetizing sovereign debt for the first time ever.  The resulting yield differential has catapulted the dollar parabolic, portending a major reversal and fantastic trading opportunity.

Currency trading is the biggest financial market in the world, with trillions of dollars changing hands every day.  Yet since major currency price levels generally meander slowly, this massive market lurks beneath the surface with scant limelight.  But this month the soaring US dollar and plummeting euro have utterly dominated mainstream financial news.  These warring currencies’ huge price moves have been epic.

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Currencies

Friday, March 13, 2015

Lessons of History, Part 1: Not a Mention of Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: John_Rubino

I’m listening to the audio version of George, Nicholas and Wilhelm: Three Royal Cousins and the Road to World War I, written by Miranda Carter and brilliantly narrated by Rosalyn Landor. It’s the story of some almost supernaturally dysfunctional governments blundering into a war that seems more rather than less crazy with the passage of time.

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