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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, April 24, 2015

China Stock Market Parabolic Mania’s Global Risk / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Zeal_LLC

The Chinese stock markets have been rocketing higher in a popular speculative mania.  New Chinese investors are flocking to their local red-hot markets, borrowing heavily to buy hyper-speculative stocks.  Like all past manias, this one is guaranteed to end badly.  And when China’s parabolic stock indexes inevitably collapse, the global stock markets face serious risks of getting sucked into that fear-fueled stampede.

The Chinese people are endlessly fascinating.  After being blessed to travel to China several decades ago as a kid, my interest in that country and culture has only grown since.  One thing the Chinese are renowned for is their intense competitiveness.  Their work ethic is legendary, as they zealously strive to improve their lots in life.  So wealth, and the perception of it, is exceedingly important socially in China.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 24, 2015

Waiting for NDX Stocks Index Reversal to Confirm the SPX High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX’s high yesterday at 2120.49 may have fulfilled the requirement for its final high, including a minor trading channel high. The overnight futures action did not break out above that level. The Premarket is up, but at this point only at a 50% retracement of the decline into the close. USD/JPY is declining beneath 120.00, suggesting there may be no further support from the Yen Carry trade.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 24, 2015

UK Economy Debt Timebomb Will Explode After Election / Stock-Markets / UK Debt

By: GoldCore

- UK economy a ’timebomb’ and will explode after election – Albert Edwards
- Telegraph warns of “Lehman Moment” stemming from possible election chaos
- Currency traders view pound as being particularly vulnerable
- Latest data shows UK poised to slip into deflation for the first time since 1960
- Polls place Labour and Tories neck and neck as election looms
- Hung parliament may force either side to enter coalition with potentially disliked partners
- Outright majority for either side would also lead to further uncertainty
- Political uncertainty may impact sterling and UK assets
- UK has massive debt and vulnerable to Eurozone debt crisis

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 24, 2015

What is a Stock Market Index? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

For many people – entering the stock market and truly understanding the investment options available can be confusing.  Today we will speak about stock market indexes and why these are important and how they work.

The most simple explanation is this: an index is literally made up of several stock prices into a single number.  An Index can be made up based on markets or industries – and as the Options Industry Council (OIC) says, “Some are broad-based and measure moves in broad, diverse markets. Others are narrow-based and measure more specific industry sectors of the marketplace.”

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 24, 2015

God, the Stock Market and Pascal's Wager / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Mauldin

Jared Dillian writes: Do you believe in God?

Whoa, wait a minute, this is an investment newsletter, right?

Stay with me.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 24, 2015

SPX Meets Cycle Top Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX finally broke above what may either be a Triangle or its look-alike. I chose to label the second choice for a number of reasons.

First, this is already an Ending Diagonal formation made up of corrective looking zigzags with a rising bottom trendline. I view the declining top as an “accident” that may fool quite a number of analysts. The reason is that the Triangle projects a potential high in the range of 2176.00 to 2200.00. The Ending Diagonal projects an ending range of 2115.00 to 2144.00 with an average near 2125.00.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 23, 2015

Stocks and Bonds Seven Year of Negative Returns; Fraudulent Promises / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Mike_Shedlock

It is extremely refreshing to see a large, prominent, and historically accurate fund manager lay it on the line.

GMO does that quarter after quarter, with no-nonsense projections.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 23, 2015

Stock Market No Clear Direction As Investors React To Quarterly Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 23, 2015

Distorted Financial System Expect Deflation, Inflation And Hyperinflation / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System

By: GoldSilverWorlds

Which ‘flation will it be? Deflation or inflation or both? Looking at the BIG PICTURE …

CRB: Deflationary pressures are clearly seen in commodities prices, which are currently at 2009 levels, at the depth of the collapse, as evidenced by the CRB (a proxy for commodities).

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 23, 2015

Stocks Bubble - The Spread between Stock Prices and GDP is Blowing Out / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Michael_Pento

On a fundamental basis stock prices are reflective of both economic and earnings growth. When growth is strong, stock prices should increase in value. And when economic activity decelerates or turns negative, stock prices should go down. Of course nothing is that simple -- especially today, when all markets are so highly manipulated by governments and central banks. Beginning in 2008 the markets followed the Fed on a magical journey down the rabbit hole into a wonderland where bad news is good news; and economic fundamentals and stock prices no longer move in tandem.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 22, 2015

Is Europe Worth the investment? / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: GoldSilverWorlds

Europe has often been portrayed as a drag on the world economy. Although it had - and still has - its fair share of problems, are things really as gloomy as they seem? In this article, we aim to analyze Europe more, examine how things really are, and answer the question of whether an investment in European equity markets makes sense or not.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 22, 2015

The U.S. Dollar's Move Is More Dangerous than You Think / Stock-Markets / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Michael E. Lewitt writes: With earnings season here, what's lost in the "oohing and aahing" over the incoming results is a reasoned look at what's influencing the dollar's move and, more importantly, the effect it will have on our wallets, if not today, certainly down the road.

Earnings and corporate reports are a long game, and that game is in the early innings. Investors need to understand the reasons behind the strength in the dollar, why it is likely to persist, and how we need to prepare…

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 22, 2015

Half a Stocks Bubble Off Dead Center / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Mauldin

I can sense a growing unease as I talk with investors and other friends, from professional market watchers and traders to casual observers. What in the Wide World of Sports is going on? It is not just that markets are behaving in an unusual and volatile manner (see chart below showing multiple double-digit moves in the last few months); it’s that the data seems to be so conflicting. One day we get data that shows the economies of the developed world to be slowing, and the next day we get positive numbers. The ship of the economy seems to be drifting rudderless.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 21, 2015

Is U.S. Stocks Bull Market's Death Imminent? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Clif_Droke

A common refrain from commentators over the last year or so is that the bull market in U.S. equities is “long in the tooth.”  The very use of this phrase implies a market which has reached a stage of decrepitude from which only bad things can result.  “Long in the tooth,” in other words, implies the imminent demise of the bull and the birth of a new bear market.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 21, 2015

Stock Market Topping Scenarios / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Wave (v) of [c] may not be complete yet. Assuming the labels and structure are correct, we may arrive at the final target for Wave (v). Since Wave (iii) is approximately 50% larger than Wave (i), we may assume that Wave (v) may seek equality with Wave (i) at 2115.84. This does not make Wave (v) of [c] the all-time high, but it gives us a minimum measure for Wave (v).

Another measure is that Minor Wave 3 is approximately 50% the size of Wave 1. Since the calculations must be a Fibonacci sequence, I suggest that Minor Wave 5 may be 31.8% the size of Wave 1, targeting 2126.47 as a probable target. This measure would create a final all-time high in SPX.

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