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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 21, 2015

Where You Can Find Cash in a Stock Market Sell-Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: Earlier this week, I wrote a column arguing that investors should be rooting for a market sell-off rather than feeling anxious about the idea.

Down markets create bargains.

Most investors don't think this way, however. They either hope (unrealistically) that stock prices will keep going up and up and up... or they fear even a temporary reduction in share prices.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 21, 2015

Stock Market Secular Versus Cyclical Investing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Mauldin

The consensus I’m hearing and reading from the 500+ attendees at the recent Strategic Investment Conference is that this was the best ever. It was certainly intense, with more divergent views presented this year than at previous conferences. Plus, the range of topics was rather dramatic. This year I was able to listen to all but one of the presentations, and I want to share with you my notes and takeaway thoughts. (In addition to my own notes as a source for this letter, my associate Pat Watson sent me his notes, as well as links to a summary by attendees Chris Bailey and my good friend Steve Blumenthal. I borrow freely.)

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 21, 2015

SPX Steep Retracement of its Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has retested the rising trendline, making a 75% retracement of its decline from yesterday’s high. It appears complete or nearly so. If correct, we should see the decline resume in earnest this afternoon.

ZeroHedge reports, “After a very modest bounce in April, Philly Fed fell again in May, printing a disappointing 6.7 (against 8.0 expectations). Philly Fed has now missed 5 of the last 6 (and 7 of the last 9) months. While new orders picked up, prices paid plunged at recessionary pace, inventories tumbled, and the average workweek slumped. Hope also tumbled as future expectations dropped.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 21, 2015

Stock Market Uncertainty Following Recent Rally - Which Direction Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 21, 2015

Grexit or No Grexit, Get Ready for The Next Big Move in The Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Rajveer_Rawlin

It is increasingly looking like a Greek IMF default is on the cards. Regardless some key markets are poised for big moves. Let us take a look at the Euro first. The Euro has been breaking down from it's recent highs near the 1.15 zone. It appears to be poised for a big move and could head towards either 1.08 or 1.13 depending on Greece.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 21, 2015

Who’s Killing the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Liquidity, the grease that allows the world’s capital markets to function, has been murdered.

It bled to death in the stock market from a thousand nicks and cuts and was suffocated violently in the bond market by the gloved hands of its erstwhile babysitter.

We should be afraid. The murdering henchmen are the regulators and guardians of the stock and bond markets. That they don’t understand what they’ve done is scary enough.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 21, 2015

Your Best Way to Profit from the Narrowest Market in 20 Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: If you’ve been frustrated by the markets lately, I’ve got some good news for you. You’re not alone – and more importantly, you’re not imagining things.

But there’s a good reason for the confusion – the markets are demonstrating behavior that’s so rare that we’ve only seen conditions like these six times in the last 20 years.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

“Sell In May and Go Away” Might Be a Good Idea for Conventional Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: MoneyMetals

Clint Siegner writes: Volatility in the currency markets, bond markets, and stock markets likely has a lot of people on Wall Street feeling a bit worn out. Taking a summer vacation in the Hamptons might just be their best idea.

The coming months promise to be anything but quiet and predictable. Here are a couple of items that may yield profound implications for stock, bond and currency investors before summer ends...

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Choppy Asian Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

We track eight country indices in the Asian group. Generally they all bottomed around 2008/2009, surged higher into 2010/2011, corrected, and then most turned quite choppy. A few in the group emerged out of the choppiness and actually started impulsing after beginning EQE or a change in government. We will cover them first.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

When Does the Stock Market Break Down? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Marty_Chenard

There are a lot of ol' timers out there who have their programs set for "not going against the DOW Theory". That means, if the Dow Transports and the Dow Industrials fail to the downside, sell programs will kick in.

The Dow Theory says that the Dow Jones Transports and Industrials must be in sync with each other. For that reason, we will look at the Dow Transportation Index today in order to see what it is doing.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Stock Market Sell in May and Go Away? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Clif_Droke

The theme of "bad news is good news" continues as several economic reports weighed on investor sentiment. Recent reports have been disappointing, but this has also served to bolster investors' belief that the Fed will respond to the weak data by passing on an interest rate increase.

A Wall Street bromide tells investors to "sell in May and go away." The rationale behind this adage is that the stock market historically posts its best performance between the months of October and April. According to Stock Trader's Almanac, "A $10,000 investment compounded to $578,413 for November-April in 57 years compared to a $341 gain for May-October." While May-October period is statistically less impressive in terms of overall percentage gains in most years, this isn't always the case. It should also be noted that the "sell in May" aphorism is deceptive; indeed, some of the most impressive market rallies of the last 20 years have occurred in the summer months.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Did TNX Cause the Fed to Pull the Plug on Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

ZeroHedge comments, “For the last 9 days in a row, no matter what is occurring in the markets, US Treasuries have begun to sell-off at 1330ET... Some have suggested this points to funding issues being a driver of recent weakness, with the USD up by the most in 2 days since oct 2011, we shall see if the need to sell down USTs is there for the 10th day in a row...”

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Lindsay Forecast for the End of the Stocks Bull Market - Part II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

Similar to forecasting highs, the first step in forecasting a low is in applying Lindsay's 12y interval. The 12y interval stretches 12y, 2m-12y, 8m from an important high.

The next 12y interval is counted from the high in 2004 and points to a low in Apr-Oct 2016.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Global Stock Market, Commodities Group Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

We continue the International indices update with the European indices that made bear market lows in 2012. These three indices were the most severely impacted by the European debt crisis of 2011/2012. While most of Europe was bottoming in 2009, with the US, these three indices only made wave A lows. Then after a B wave rally into 2009/2010 then declined again into 2012 to end their bear markets.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Stock Market Grinding Higher...Put/Call Moves Up.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Where's the blast? Very interesting to watch this market go through the breakout stage over 2119 in a grinding manor. This is not normal breakout behavior by any means. The short-term charts are up there, but not so much that the market couldn't forcefully move higher. The good news is it's trying to stay on breakout. The bad news is there's no power behind the move. To be honest it's not clear what this means. Maybe a simple pullback towards 2119 will help to unwind enough for a strong breakout move, but, for now, the way this is breaking out is a bit troubling. That said, it is what it is. You never argue with price, thus, I won't start now. I can wish for a better breakout scenario, but I won't argue with the price action. The market still needs to show it can hold this breakout because many breakouts of this type historically fail.

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