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Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 27, 2010

Will China Grab the Credit-Rating Business? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2010

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: There's a new name in the credit-rating-agency business these days: It's Dagong Global Credit Rating Co. Ltd., and this Beijing-backed business is China's bid for a spot in the global-credit-rating oligopoly.

And Dagong's Chairman Guan Jianzhong doesn't think much of his long-established U.S. competitors.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 27, 2010

Confirmed: U.S. Fiscal Woe Is Worse Than Greece / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReading the annual Long Term Budget Outlook by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has become an increasingly depressing experience in recent years. This year seems even more so than ever.

The latest projection puts the federal debt rising to 62% of the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by the end of the year (from 40% pre-crisis), the highest percentage since just after World War. (See Graph)

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 26, 2010

Money Supply Divergence TMS1 vs. TMS2 vs. M2, What does it Mean? / Interest-Rates / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInquiring minds are once again digging deep into money supply questions. They are intrigued by the fact that money supply measures M2 and TMS1 are plunging towards zero, while TMS2 is still sporting a hefty 10+% year-over-year growth.

TMS stands for "True Money Supply". The suffix (1 or 2) stands for alternate measures, one including savings accounts and the other not. M2 is a widely used Fed aggregate for money.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, July 25, 2010

Surging Stock Markets Push Bond Yields Higher / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market was off slightly last week as a surging stock market knocked yields 3-6 basis points higher for the week.  The bond futures traded up to new 18 month highs on Wednesday before settling back a couple of points during the last two trading sessions before the weekend.  While stocks and commodities finished a positive week, the bond market continues to scream double dip and deflation.  With the 2 year yield just a snick north of one half percent the bond market is starting to tell us that the Fed is increasingly likely to stick with its Zero Interest Rate Policy for the foreseeable future.  Until the next wave of credit concerns hits the market, bonds will continue to have a positive fundamental backdrop.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, July 25, 2010

U.S. is Insolvent and Faces Bankruptcy as a Pure Debtor Nation / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Washingtons_Blog

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChina Calls Our Bluff: America's biggest creditor - China - has called our bluff.

As the Financial Times notes, the head of China's biggest credit rating agency has said America is insolvent and that U.S. credit ratings are a joke:

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, July 24, 2010

U.S. Need Not Fear Sovereign Debt Crisis, Unlike Greece, It Actually Is Sovereign / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Ellen_Brown

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week, a Chinese rating agency downgraded U.S. debt from triple A and number one globally, to “double A with a negative outlook” and only thirteenth worldwide. The downgrade renewed fears that the sovereign debt crisis that began in Greece will soon reach America. That is the concern, but the U.S. is distinguished from Greece in that its debt is denominated in its own currency, over which it has sovereign control.  The government can simply print the money it needs, or borrow it from a central bank that prints it.  We should not let deficit hawks and short sellers dissuade the government from pursuing that obvious expedient.  

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 23, 2010

European Bank Stress Test Politicians Desperate to hide the Truth of Insolvent Banking System / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2010

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The long waited stress test of the 91 of Europe's largest Banks resulted in just 7 of the smaller regional banks failing the test including one from Germany and Greece, and five in Spain, that require capital injections of just Euros 3.5 billion, which is a drop in the ocean when compared against PIGS sovereign debt of Euros 1.2 trillion, but off course the so called stress test FAILED to test for sovereign debt default.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 23, 2010

Credit Deflation Lands in Britain / Interest-Rates / Deflation

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCredit deflation just hit the UK for the first time on post-war records...

HMMMM...This looks telling.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 23, 2010

Mortgage Debt … Credit Card Debt … Corporate Debt — It’s all Shrinking! / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2010

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI used to love those Wendy’s commercials in the 1980s. You know, the ones that mocked the burger patties at competing restaurants with the catchphrase “Where’s the beef?”

Today, I can’t help but ask a similar question about the U.S. economy. Namely: “Where’s the credit?”

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 22, 2010

U.S. Credit Firms Tell Clients Not To Use Their Ratings? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2010

By: Dian_L_Chu

In an article dated July 12, I first reported that Dagong International Credit Rating Co., the largest credit rating agency of China, stripped the the U.S. and some other western nations of the AAA ratings given by its big three Western counterparts. Dagong also accused its Western rivals of not properly disclosing the repayment risk and causing the global financial crisis and current debt crisis in Europe.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Make the Trend Your Friend with Market Bond ETFs / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Ron_Rowland

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecent economic data is pointing toward a second wave of recession … and maybe even outright deflation. One key consequence: Long-term interest rates are low and getting lower.

Today I’m going to tell you about some exchange traded funds (ETFs) that I think can thrive in this short-term, falling-rate environment. First, let’s take a look at some evidence the economy is entering the dreaded “double-dip” part of the cycle …

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

China: The US Is "Insolvent and Faces Bankruptcy" / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jesse

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe common thought amongst even reasonably educated and economically literate Americans is that China is 'stuck with US Treasuries' and has no choice, so it must perform within the status quo and do as the US wishes, or face a ruinous decline in their reserve holdings of US Treasuries.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Fraud and Debt Monetization / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA significant feature of fiat money systems is the privilege for the custodian to commit fraud, big fraud, gargantuan fraud, even counterfeit. Fannie Mae might function as the clearinghouse for numerous massive role programs with $trillion fraud behind each, hidden from view, especially since it was conveniently nationalized. Follow some other fraud schemes, right out in the open. Surely such recount only touches the surface, but these shenanigans are advanced forms of fraud. They are smoking guns of USTreasury fraud and counterfeit, with strong whiffs of monetization. Much more monetization is to come, fully endorsed and sanctioned. Other clever techniques are being used, given the Quantitative Easing has officially been halted.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bonds and the Fading Economic Recovery / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Gary_North

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSome commentators on the U.S. economy and the European economy are predicting that there will be "quantitative easing" soon. This is a euphemism for central bank inflation.

I have been reporting for months that the present policy of the Federal Reserve System is to deflate the money supply. The chart of the adjusted monetary base since early March indicates this. Similarly, consumer prices have remained flat or close to it this year.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 20, 2010

Europe Credit Crisis Stage Two, Internal Bank and Sovereign Debt Crisis Combined / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe crisis affecting Europe is nothing new. It goes back three years and the beginning of the credit crisis, 60% of the subprime CDOs, collateralized debt obligations, had been sold to European institutions. These were the mortgage bonds, which contained a variety of toxic waste, which the rating agencies, S&P, Moody’s and Fitch, in collusion with banks and brokerage houses, had sold as AAA bonds, when in fact their ratings should have been considerably lower. The holders of these bonds in many instances became insolvent and had to be bailed out by capital injections from central banks, most of the funds were lent by the Federal Reserve.

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