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Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 30, 2010

How Bar Chart Patterns Signal High-probability Trade Setups / Interest-Rates / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere's a little known joke among the trading community that goes like this: "A trader walks into a bar... pattern: 'Ouch!' "

Fact is, if you don't know what you're doing, price bar analysis can be a bit "painful." Finding a discernable pattern in their grouping can feel like finding a hair in a hay stack.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 29, 2010

U.S. Debt Options of Default or Hyperinflation / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe big financial myth-buster of the week is that the alleged deleveraging of the US consumer has in fact been a giant myth. According to the Wall Street Journal, if you account for defaults, US consumers have only pared down their debts by an annual rate of 0.8% since mid-2008.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Could Debtflation Cause Gold's Big Sell Off? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: David_Galland

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Galland, Managing Editor, The Casey Report writes: We recently received the following comment in our Q&A Knowledge Base.

Investors should be prepared to sell gold as either increased inflation expectations or doubts around debt sustainability force a sharp increase in US Treasury bond yields. Simply put, in an environment of high real interest rates, the allure of gold could disappear as quickly as it did in the early 1980s when Paul Volcker took control of the Federal Reserve.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

The Risks of Buying U.S. Treasury Bond Funds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Nilus_Mattive

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA number of us here at Weiss have been warning you about the dangers of buying bonds in this ultra-low-interest-rate environment, especially longer-dated U.S. Treasuries.

But as I recently told my Dad’s Income Portfolio subscribers, I think mainstream investors are still ignoring the risks they’re taking with bonds, particularly when it comes to fixed-income mutual funds and exchange-traded funds.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 27, 2010

Bank of England Confirms Policy of Stealing Savers Wealth via Negative Real Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Savings Accounts

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Deputy Governor of the Bank of England Charlie Bean effectively told savers to forget about receiving inflation beating interest rates and therefore should seek to spend their savings to boost the economy. The BoE's strategy continues to transfer wealth from savers to borrowers, with more than £20 billion transferred to date by means of negative real interest rates which typically pay savers half the rate of inflation CPI (3.1%) and 1/3rd the rate of the more recognised RPI inflation rate (4.7%) with the trend not relenting as rates continue to be cut all the way towards the bank base rate of just 0.5%.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 27, 2010

Are German Bunds Recovering? / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe story of the Bund throughout much of September was one of decline as traders first took profits and then went short. The Bund had enjoyed a long rally as traders fretted over the global economy and more specifically the US economic recovery, but sentiment changed early in September. Why was that?

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 25, 2010

Leveraging Junk Debt Off the Charts / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Richard_Daughty

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe massive door of the Mogambo Bug-Out Bunker (MBOB) was locked, and I was taking a little break, leisurely looking through the periscope/range finder/fire-control module, calmly reconnoitering the perimeter and keeping an eye on the neighbors, watching them acting like they are innocently mowing their lawns and washing their stupid cars, but who are actually spying on me, like I am too stupid to notice their treachery and perfidy.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 24, 2010

Fed Money Printing a Definition of Insanity, Doing the Same Thing and Expecting a Different Result / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week, Federal Reserve officials did it. They jumped the shark. Crossed the Rubicon. Bought a ticket on the express train to financial Never Never Land. Whatever you want to call it.

I say that because Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and the rest of the members of the Federal Open Market Committee opened the door to a new round of quantitative easing, or “QE2.” Specifically, they said (with the important passages bolded by me):

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 24, 2010

U.S. Money Printing Presses at Warp Speed, Stealth Monetization of U.S. Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: LewRockwell

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGonzalo Lira writes: Insofar as money is concerned, governments and central banks should be kept as far away from one another as a pedophile from Dakota Fanning. If ever the twain should meet, very bad things would happen. This is because of the disparate natures of government, on the one hand, and the central bank, on the other.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 24, 2010

Long Term Bonds, Inflation and Deflation / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Tony_Caldaro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBeen thinking about Bonds, inflation, deflation, etc recently. Everyone seems to have a different opinion these days. Checking around all I could find on long term Gov't Bond rates was at the St. Louis FED. Could not find anything elsewhere. After reviewing the charts of Long Term Gov'ts since 1925, Moody's AAA since 1919, and Moody's BAA since 1919 ... I found a pattern.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 23, 2010

Have You Considered International Bond ETFs For Income and Diversification? / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Ron_Rowland

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn these turbulent times, plenty of investors just want steady income. Others realize they need to look outside the U.S. as they ride out the storm. Yet in a world where some once-stable economies are starting to look like emerging markets, they also see the need for diversification.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

PIMCO's Bill Gross' $8.1 Billion Bet on Inflation / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: "Bill Gross's PIMCO made an $8.1 billion wager," Bloomberg news reported last week.

Bill's bet is simple: He's betting inflation will return to the U.S. in the next 10 years. And he's willing to risk billions on the idea.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

FOMC Policy Statement, Fed's Level of Uneasiness Up Several Notches, Postpones Action / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs expected, the target federal funds rate was left unchanged.  President Hoenig of Kansas City cast the lone dissenting vote; he has taken the opposing stance in all meetings year-to-date. 

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

UK Debt Interest Spiral Time Bomb Explodes in August / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe UK government borrowed a record amount of £13.3 / £15.9 billion in August (public sector net borrowing requirement), which brings total public sector net debt to £823 billion, 56% of GDP (excluding financial interventions - bank capital injections) / £935 billion (including financial interventions) 64% of GDP, which puts the economy within touching distance of breaking above £1 trillion for December 2010.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Don’t Get Bullied out of U.S. Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJon D. Markman writes: Bonds have provided a welcome safe-haven for investors seeking shelter from the financial maelstrom of the past two years, offering steady returns while stocks bounce up and down.

Now some analysts are afraid that once the selling of bonds begins it will be indiscriminate, and there will be a bloodbath. But that fear totally ignores the new investment reality in which we're living.

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