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Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Sunday, June 12, 2011

It’s The Debt, Dummy / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: James_Quinn

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI think charts tell a story that allows you to disregard  the lies being spewed by those in power. Below are four charts that tell the truth about our current predicament. The first is from http://www.mybudget360.com/. The austerity and debt reduction storyline being sold by the MSM is a crock. The total amount of mortgage debt outstanding peaked at $14.6 trillion in 2008. The total amount of consumer debt (credit cards, auto loans, student, boats) outstanding peaked at $2.6 trillion in 2008. Today, mortgage debt outstanding stands at $13.8 trillion, while consumer debt stands at $2.4 trillion. Therefore, total consumer debt has declined by $1 trillion in the last three years.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, June 11, 2011

Time to Get Outraged by the Banks, Is It Time to Buy a House? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week we look at data from the Bank of International Settlements, by which (if someone does a lot of work) you can figure out how much US banks have written in credit default swaps to banks in Europe on Greek, Irish, and Portuguese debt. The details should not make you happy. I meditate on whether one should buy a house now, and then discuss "the way out" of all this mess and why we will Muddle Through. Oh, and I'll ask you for help on yet another book project, on creating jobs. And all while trying to finish early enough to go to dinner. So let's get started.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, June 11, 2011

Revisiting Bernanke’s QE2 October 2010 Speech / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed will complete the QE2 purchase plan of $600 billion securities as of June 2011, which is not too far ahead.  But there is no assurance that self-sustained economic growth adequate to bring down the unemployment and stabilize the housing market will occur.  In fact, the nature of recent economic reports inclusive of the ISM manufacturing survey, auto sales, retail sales excluding auto and gasoline, soft payroll growth, elevated unemployment rate, decelerating factory production, and continued slump in the housing market suggest that economy still needs watching over and support after nearly eight quarters of economic growth. 

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 10, 2011

Bernanke's Credible Irresponsibility: The Logic Behind Cheap Money / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Ben_Traynor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDoes Ben Bernanke want us to trust him? Maybe not…

IN THE murky realm of economic policy, things are not always what they seem.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 10, 2011

Why US Debt Ceiling Limit Will be Raised / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Submissions

Our federal government is spending about $10 billion per day of which about $4 billion is borrowed. If we continue on this path eventually any GDP growth will pale in comparison to the growing debt. We will reach a time when our growing debt will choke off any chance of economic growth. We are in dark uncharted waters. Our debt continues to grow 2-3 times faster than our GDP. This course, if unchecked, will run us right up on the rocks of bankruptcy.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 09, 2011

Stealth Theft of Wealth by Means of Low Interest Rates and High Inflation Continues / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Bank of England left UK interest rates on hold at 0.5% (for 2 years and 3 months) which compares against an official CPI inflation rate of 4.5% that illustrates the continuing UK government policy (regardless of which party is in power) for the stealth theft of wealth from workers and savers so as to funnel cash onto the balance sheets of bankrupt banks and for the financing of government deficit spending (buying of votes).

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 09, 2011

U.S. Longer-Term Interest Rates Surprise Rise Coming / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Let's have a look at the bond market from the perspective of 10-year yield, which apart from signs that "the world is falling apart economically," nonetheless, is warning me that longer-term interest rates in the U.S. are vulnerable to a surprise on the upside.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 08, 2011

QE2 Has Failed, Time To Move On / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWas Friday's job's report the final nail in the coffin for QE2?  

It should be. After all, how is Fed chairman Ben Bernanke going to convince people that his bond purchasing program is working when payrolls rose by a measly 54,000 and the unemployment rate climbed back to 9.1 percent?  It'll take a lot more than fast-talk to sell that load of horse-manure. The truth is,  QE2 has been a total bust and the BLS's report is just the icing on the cake. Just look at the data; it's as grim as anything we've seen in the last two years.  Here's a clip from an article titled "Disastrous US jobs report points to deepening slump" that will give the reader some idea of how bad things really are:

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 08, 2011

Bernanke - Accommodative Monetary Policy is Still Necessary / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf financial markets were expecting hints about QE3, Bernanke did not offer it in today's speech.  However, he noted that "the Committee also continues to anticipate that economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate for an extended period." 

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 07, 2011

The Global Debt Crisis, How We Got In It, and How to Get Out / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Ellen_Brown

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCountries everywhere are facing debt crises today, precipitated by the credit collapse of 2008.  Public services are being slashed and public assets are being sold off, in a futile attempt to balance budgets that can’t be balanced because the money supply itself has shrunk.  Governments usually get the blame for excessive spending, but governments did not initiate the crisis.  The collapse was in the banking system, and in the credit that it is responsible for creating and sustaining.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 07, 2011

What May Trigger QE3? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFed President Plosser, a voting member of the FOMC, indicated in his speech in Helsinki today that the "hurdle for QE3" is high.  Chairman Bernanke has voiced a similar opinion.  There is considerable ink that has been devoted to the soft patch the U.S economy is current experiencing which almost always includes mention of the Fed's view that justification for QE3 is more stringent than QE2.  We have been mulling this thought around for a few days and here is the checklist we think is a useful guide to what may trigger QE3.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, June 05, 2011

CME Lowers Treasury Bond Futures Margins, Signals Shift In Market Direction / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Tony_Pallotta

The CME has been busy the past few months "adjusting" margins. I emphasize adjusting because I suspect it is not in the interest of protecting the speculator from financial ruin or ensuring true price discovery by removing excess speculation.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, June 05, 2011

IMF Prepares to Eat Belarus Alive / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Pravda

The government of Belarus applied to the International Monetary Fund for a stabilization loan. The work of the IMF mission will last during June 1-14. Belarus is not ready either for large-scale liberalization in the currency sphere, or for a considerable reduction of state spending.
Those were the requirements, which the IMF previously set forth as a condition to give a loan to Belarus. The National Bank of Belarus raised the refinancing rate by tow percentage points - up to 16% per annum. The bank has thus met one of the requirements of the international financial organization.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, June 04, 2011

If Soros Can Bust BoE, Greece Can Bankrupt ECB / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUS And EU Debt Crises Compared - The recent events in Greece are reminiscent of when Soros “busted” the Bank of England. That crisis was caused by an artificial peg of the Pound to the Euro which restricted the ability of UK to print money to inflate away their debts. The current crisis is caused by the inability Greece (and Ireland, and Portugal, and Spain, and perhaps Italy), to print and inflate away their sovereign debt, since it is denominated in Euros.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, June 04, 2011

Emerging Market Central Banks Continue to Raise Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: CentralBankNews

The past week in central banking saw monetary policy announcements from 10 different central banks. Of those announcing interest rate decisions, the following central banks increased their main policy interest rates: Colombia +25bps to 4.00%, Belarus +200bps to 16.00%, Kenya +25bps to 6.25%, Jordan +25bps to 4.50%, and Thailand +3.00%.

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