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Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 28, 2011

Plummeting U.S. Dollar, A New Wave of Treasuries and Toxic Waste / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe believe there will be something similar to a QE3 by another name and the Fed will probably have to create some $2.5 trillion to buy Treasuries, Agencies, and toxic waste and perhaps inject funds into the economy. Japan certainly won’t be a buyer and probably will be a seller. China has indicated that they won’t be purchasers in the future either. The question also arises concerning the continued purchase of these securities by countries in the oil producing Gulf States, which are in turmoil. The three countries make up 45% of Treasury purchases.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 28, 2011

Did Ben Bernanke Hint at QE3 During Fed Press Conference? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: While the first press conference ever held by U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke grabbed most of the headlines this afternoon (Wednesday), it was the post-meeting statement issued earlier in the day that grabbed my attention.

In particular, I zeroed in on the part about the policymaking Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) regularly reviewing "the size and composition of its securities holdings in light of incoming information and is prepared to adjust those holdings as needed to best foster maximum employment and price stability."

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 28, 2011

US Debt Limit Cognitive Dissonance / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCognitive dissonance is an uncomfortable feeling caused by holding conflicting ideas simultaneously. The theory of cognitive dissonance proposes that people have a motivational drive to reduce dissonance. They do this by changing their attitudes, beliefs, and actions.[2] Dissonance is also reduced by justifying, blaming, and denying. It is one of the most influential and extensively studied theories in social psychology. (Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_dissonance )

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 28, 2011

Fed Holds Policy Rate Steady, Signals Intention to Complete Asset Purchases and Maintain Balance Sheet Size / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYesterday's post-FOMC meeting analysis has two components:  policy statement and Chairman Bernanke's press conference.  Starting with the policy statement, the Fed held the federal funds rate unchanged at the narrow band of 0 to ¼ percent.  There were no dissents, although in recent speeches, Fed Presidents Plosser and Fisher (both voting members) had voiced their concern about imminent inflationary pressures.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

U.S. Debt Saturation and Money Illusion / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Gordon_T_Long

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMost of the clearly evident financial problems that surround us today stem from one cause - Debt Saturation.

Most, intuitively, sense this to be a correct assessment but few can either prove it or articulate it to the less sophisticated. Let me arm you to be the "Nostradamus" amongst your friends and colleagues in explaining the problem and what the future therefore foretells.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

Financial Press Talking Heads Focus on Bernanke's QE2 Money Printing Speech / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe mainstream press talking heads that repeatedly rely on near always wrong ivory tower academics that is further regurgitated at length by the BlogosFear will today be focused on the latest utterances from Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke, as if by magic he is going to pull new rabbits out of the hat that will surprise the financial markets with rumours of the early end of QE2.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

Nominal Yield (minus) TIPS = Inflation Expectations / Interest-Rates / Inflation

By: Tony_Pallotta

One way to determine inflation expectations is to take the treasury or nominal yield (not inflation adjusted) and subtract the TIPS or real yield (inflation adjusted). The difference of the two is the expected inflation.

Nominal Yield (minus) TIPS = Inflation expectation

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

What Exactly is the Function of the Federal Reserve Bank? / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat exactly is the function of the Fed? If it's to help the U.S. economy grow steadily, then how come in 2007-2009 we had the biggest stock market crash in decades followed by "the Great Recession" and a worldwide financial crisis?

For answers, let's turn to someone who has spent a considerable amount of time studying the Fed and its functions: EWI's president Robert Prechter.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

How the Fed Could Kill the U.S. Dollar Tomorrow / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: Months or years from now, when analysts are studying the death of the U.S. dollar, they'll look back and see that the greenback's demise began on a specific day - Wednesday, April 27, 2011.

As in ... tomorrow.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 25, 2011

U.S. Waking Up to Economic Realities / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

Last week the financial markets were roiled by Standard & Poor's announcement that they will change their outlook on the fiscal health of the United States over the next two years from "stable" to "negative". The administration decried this decision as political. However, it seems the only political thing about this decision is the fact that it took so long. The Washington Post recently reported that the White House and the Treasury Department put tremendous pressure on S&P not to do this.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 25, 2011

Warning: Investors Still Confident in the US Bond Market / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Bill_Bonner

First let us catch up with a news report from earlier this week. Bloomberg:

April 18 (Bloomberg) – Standard & Poor’s put a “negative” outlook on the AAA credit rating of the US, citing a “material risk” the nation’s leaders will fail to deal with rising budget deficits and debt.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, April 24, 2011

Global Monetary Policy Tightening / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Submissions

centralbanknews writes: Global monetary policy tightening continued through the past week.  Central Banks that increased interest rates included those of: Thailand +25bps to 2.75%, Sweden +25bps to 1.75%, and Brazil +25bps to 12.00%.  Meanwhile those that opted to hold interest rates unchanged were: Hungary at 6.00%, Iceland at 4.25%, and Turkey at 6.25%.  Aside from interest rate changes the week also saw another 50 basis point increase in China's required reserve ratio, bringing the average ratio for large banks to 20.50%, and the Central Bank of Turkey increased two of its reserve ratios by 100bps.  Elsewhere the Belarusian central bank instituted a secondary currency market, taking a step in the direction of a freely floating currency.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, April 24, 2011

Why the Fed Must End QE2 on April 27th / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Federal Reserve has lost all credibility on Wall Street, and most of the American public with the absolute refusal to recognize the dire effects on asset prices that QE2 has created. But the refusal is part of the problem. It reinforces the wide spread belief of investors that the Fed is out of touch with reality, and that they sit in their Ivory Tower implementing an exceedingly loose monetary policy, with the stated goal of inflating asset prices.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, April 23, 2011

Downgrades Galore, U.S. Debt Becomes Scary / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

As if there weren’t already ample reasons not to purchase US Treasury securities, the ratings agency Standard and Poors’ has provided investors with another reason: it may soon be downgraded.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 22, 2011

Bernanke Strikes Again, QE2 sends margin debt soaring to new highs / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInterest rates are the Fed's main tool for implementing policy, but when interest rates are already at zero and activity is still weak, then the Fed may try other unconventional strategies to rev up the economy. Quantitative Easing (QE) is one such strategy. In practice, it works like this; the Fed purchases some type of financial asset (stocks, bonds, mortgage-backed securities) which adds to the money supply thereby creating (in effect) negative interest rates. The Fed believes that this "monetary easing" can stimulate the economy.

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