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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, February 25, 2009

Five Signs the Economy is Recovering / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Q1_Publishing

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat a relief. The markets are up. We're all saved. It's time to spend again. Borrow away. The panic's over. A recovery is coming in 2010. We're home free, right?

If you listened to Fed Chairman Bernanke today that's what we would be led to believe. He said “there is a reasonable prospect” the recession will end this year.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 24, 2009

How the US Economy Was Lost / Economics / US Economy

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePaul Craig Roberts writes: The American economy has gone away. It is not coming back until free trade myths are buried six feet under. America's 20th century economic success was based on two things. Free trade was not one of them. America's economic success was based on protectionism, which was ensured by the union victory in the Civil War, and on British indebtedness, which destroyed the British pound as world reserve currency. Following World War II, the US dollar took the role as reserve currency, a privilege that allows the US to pay its international bills in its own currency.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 24, 2009

China's Internal Divisions, Economic Crisis and the Stimulus Plan / Economics / China Economy

By: STRATFOR

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDue in large part to fears of dire consequences if nothing were done to tackle the economic crisis, China rushed through a 4 trillion yuan (US$586 billion) economic stimulus package in November 2008. The plan cobbled together existing and new initiatives focused on massive infrastructure development projects (designed, among other things, to soak up surplus steel, cement and labor capacity), tax cuts, green energy programs, and rural development.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 24, 2009

Dispatches from the Front Lines of the Economic Crisis / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Stephen_Lendman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe more they do, the worse it gets, and world headlines confirm it. Recent ones include:

-- The New York Times, February 17: "After Manhattan's Office Boom, a Hard Fall;"

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Economics

Monday, February 23, 2009

Mainstream Economists Retarded Embrace of John Maynard Keynes' "Paradox of Thrift" / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMainstream economists and the mainstream media continue to embrace John Maynard Keynes' notion of the "paradox of thrift." While most economists subscribe to the view that the pace of long-run economic growth is a function of productivity and thrift (saving), short-run growth can be retarded by too much thrift. According to this view, if households in the aggregate decide to cut back on their current spending, i.e., save more, aggregate economic demand will be negatively affected. Hence, the paradox of thrift. A little later in this commentary, I will try to dispel the notion that thrift retards growth in aggregate demand in the short run.

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Economics

Monday, February 23, 2009

Global Economic Outlook: 2012 and Beyond / Economics / Global Economy

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDr. Abbas Bakhtiar writes: It is said that today is pregnant with tomorrow. What and how we have done things in the past has shaped out today and what and how we do things today determine the shape of our future. To see into the future of our economies, with some small degree of certainty, we have to pay attention to what is happening around us and what we do.

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Economics

Monday, February 23, 2009

There's only one Cure for a Depression / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn contrast with a depression, a recession is relatively easy to bring to an end. The genesis of a recession is caused by excessive credit creation on the part of banks and the Fed. The superfluous money drives prices higher and the rate of inflation begins to increase at a pace that makes the Fed uncomfortable. The Central bank then begins to raise rates in order to soak up that liquidity and put an end to its easy monetary policy.

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Economics

Monday, February 23, 2009

Debt Addiction Depression Destruction / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleModern economies were created by the collusion of bankers and government. The banks are now collapsing and only the governments are left. It's like watching a two legged man trying to stand on his one remaining leg. How long will he remain upright and in what direction will he fall?

Recently on the Oprah Winfrey Show, one of the most popular TV programs in America , a family of five—a father, mother, their two teenage sons and a baby—were featured because all, except for the baby, were addicted to heroin.

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Economics

Sunday, February 22, 2009

The Grand Economic Stimulus Experiment and the Catastrophic Flaw / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Mick_Phoenix

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWelcome to the Weekly Report. I have seen much head-scratching about the methods being employed by the US authorities in the attempt to turn off the road to depression and onto the highway to prosperity. Many have heard President Obama talk of the failure of government spending to turn around both the US '30s and the Japanese '90-current depressionary eras because the actions taken back then were too slow and too small.

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Economics

Sunday, February 22, 2009

Deflation - What You Should and Should Not Do / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhilst recent headlines have been grabbed by Barack Obama's $800 billion Economic Stimulus package which is part of a global collective total of approximate $2 trillion of stimulus spending that has been committed for during the next 1 to 2 years. However the fact of the matter is that this does not even come close to countering the REAL Deflationary impact of the $30 trillion across the board loss of value of assets from real estate to stocks to commodities.

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Economics

Sunday, February 22, 2009

World Economies Face Perfect Storm of Deepening Recession and Banking Crisis / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA perfect storm of a deepening global recession and banking woes last week battered equities and supported the safe havens of the US dollar, government bonds and gold bullion.

A dismal corporate earnings outlook, fears about bank nationalizations, especially Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C), and a warning by Moody's Investors Service of possible downgrades of European banks exposed to the slumping economies of Central and Eastern Europe, stoked investors' fears.

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Economics

Saturday, February 21, 2009

UK Unemployment Time Bomb to Explode July 2009 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOfficial UK unemployment data for November 08 stands at 1.97million, with unemployment as of the end of January estimated at 2.1 million as a consequences of the rise in claimant count for December 08 and January 09 of 226,000. However whilst the pace of unemployment increases is bad as it is, which is approaching 100,000 a month, unfortunately there also exists the unemployment time bomb of the estimated 600,000 graduates that are expected to join the labour market in July 2009, which could result in a surge of unemployment of as many as 250,000 in a single, with also extra high unemployed numbers for subsequent months.

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Economics

Saturday, February 21, 2009

ECB Dithers as Eastern Europe Bad Debts to Bankrupt European Banks / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: John_Mauldin

  • Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Risk in Europe
  • While Rome Burns
  • The Euro Back to Parity? Really?
  • Back to the Basics
  • Living in Paradise
  • The 20-Year Horizon
  • If I Had a Hammer

When I sit down each week to write, I essentially do what I did nine years ago when I started writing this letter. I write to you, as an individual. I don't think of a large group of people, just a simple letter to a friend. It is only half a joke that this letter is written to my one million closest friends. That is the way I think of it.

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Economics

Friday, February 20, 2009

U.S. CPI Reverts from Deflation Back to Inflation Mode / Economics / Inflation

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor the better part of the second half of 2008, the decision was an easy one. For the first 30 or so days of 2009, the decision remained easy. Then something changed. Something subtle, but at the same time worthy of our utmost attention. Producer and consumer prices began to climb off the mat and beginning in January 2009, there has been a rather remarkable turnaround. Granted, one month does not a trend make, but in this environment, big moves, which have become commonplace bear even more study when they reverse themselves on a dime.

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Economics

Friday, February 20, 2009

UK Public Sector Contraction to Trigger Double Dip Recession / Economics / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMy recent indepth analysis and forecast of the UK economy for the period 2009 to 2010 concluded that the UK is heading for GDP contraction of 6.3%, and will start to bounce from a 4th quarter 2009 low of -4.75% GDP into the end of 2010. This recovery is expected to be followed by further weakness due to the scale of government borrowing generated in advance of the 2010 general election. On further analysis of the prospects post 2010 suggesting that 2011 and 2012 economic weakness may be as a consequence of a Public Sector Recession.

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