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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

The Potential for Future Economic GDP Growth / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week I offer you two short pieces for your Outside the Box Reading Pleasure. The first is from my friends at GaveKal and is part of their daily letter. They address the real difference between those who think we will have a consumer led recovery (Keynesian) and those who think we will have a corporate profit led recovery (classical economics or Schumpeterian). This is actually a very important debate and distinction. I find that GaveKal pushes me to think almost more than any other group, as they constantly challenge my assumptions. (www.gavekal.com)

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Economics

Monday, August 17, 2009

Economic Recovery Foundation Built on Sand / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA Brief Review - Instead of allowing a cathartic and reconciling recession to run its course, the Fed decided last year to again bail out the economy by greatly expanding the money supply. In this latest case of artificial intervention, the expansion in the monetary base was a record-breaking trillion dollars, but that intervention has abated in the last few months. What should become clear fairly soon is that the apparent recovery in the markets and the economy has been built primarily on the devaluation of the US dollar, not from a healing of the economy’s fundamentals. That clarity will become evident once the dollar begins to make a brief rebound.

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Economics

Monday, August 17, 2009

Second Wave of the Economic Depression: Hyperinflation is Likely / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWebster Tarpley writes: The second wave of the world economic depression is coming soon. Larry Summers, the economics czar of the Wall Street puppet regime currently in power in Washington, recently confessed to the Financial Times in an unguarded moment: "I don't think the worst is over .." A few weeks earlier, Jacques Attali, who served in the 1980s as the main economics adviser to French President Mitterrand, told an audience at the International Economic and Financial Forum (FIEF) in Paris that the world might well soon face a planetary Weimar "in the form of a hyperinflationary depression similar to the German events of 1922 - 1923.

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Economics

Monday, August 17, 2009

Cash for Scrappage of Old Fridges Can’t Save the Global Economy / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: MoneyWeek

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJohn Stepek writes: ‘Scrappage’ fever is gripping the land. First it was about “cash for clunkers”. Governments across the world are giving people money in return for swapping their old dirty cars for newer, ‘greener’ models.

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Economics

Monday, August 17, 2009

Remarkable Economic Underway in Asia, Same True for the Western Economies? / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Lloyds_TSB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is clear that a remarkable economic recovery is underway in Asia, led by China and India, but is the same true of the developed economies? Recent economic figures for Germany and France have prompted many commentators to predict that recovery has started. But is this true or is it more a levelling off of activity? Moreover, not only have financial markets been expecting recovery, as shown by the strong rise in equities in recent months, but they have been looking for it to start in Europe ahead of the US. Further, the expectation was that, within Europe, the UK would be the first out of recession. Currency markets in particular have been marking down the US dollar relative to the pound, the euro and the yen.

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Economics

Sunday, August 16, 2009

Deflation Relative to What? / Economics / Deflation

By: Adam_Brochert

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the deflation versus inflation debate rages on, both sides present reasonable arguments that sound plausible. I am in the camp that believes stocks, commodities, corporate bonds and real estate have much further to fall. Now falling prices are not the same thing as deflation, but they are a visible symptom. To be honest, I am a pragmatist. I am not as concerned about getting my exact definitions right as I am understanding what to do with my savings.

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Economics

Sunday, August 16, 2009

Recession Ending, Celebrate Economic Growth in Third Quarter / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe had been expecting that real economic growth would emerge in the fourth quarter of this year, coinciding with the celebrations of the Thanksgiving and Christmas holidays. We now think that it might emerge, albeit, just barely, in the third quarter, in time for the Labor Day celebration - although labor will have little to celebrate. We arrive at this conclusion from observing some economic variables that typically signal the end of a recession. And these economic variables are subject to little, if any, revisions.

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Economics

Sunday, August 16, 2009

The Fight Between Inflation and Deflation is Over! / Economics / Inflation

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePorter Stansberry writes: There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit (debt) expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved.– Ludwig von Mises

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Economics

Saturday, August 15, 2009

Global Economic Depression and Regional Wars - Part I / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Stephen_Lendman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJames Petras is Binghamton University, New York Professor Emeritus of Sociology. Besides his long and distinguished academic career, he's a noted figure on the left, a well-respected Latin American expert, and a longtime chronicler of the region' popular struggles. He's also a prolific author of hundreds of articles and dozens of books, most recently his new one titled, "Global Depression and Regional Wars" addressing America, Latin America and the Middle East.

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Economics

Saturday, August 15, 2009

What Are the Prospects for the US Economy? / Economics / US Economy

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBob Chapman writes: “The trade of governing has always been monopolized by the most ignorant and the most rascally individuals of mankind.” — Thomas Paine

The 10-year note auction yielded 3.73%. The bid to cover was 2.49 to 1 versus the average of the last ten auctions of 2.48 to 1. Indirect participation was 45.7% versus an average of 30%; we believe this is because foreign central banks are buying in behalf of the Fed via money they swapped with them.

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Economics

Saturday, August 15, 2009

The Statistical Economic Recovery and Thoughts on the Housing Market / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Statistical Recovery, Part Two
A Recovery Statisticians Can Love
A Few Thoughts on the Housing Market
Some Thoughts from Maine

A few weeks ago I first used the term "statistical recovery" to describe the nature of today's economic environment. Today we are going to further explore that concept, as it is important to have a real understanding of what is happening. This coming "recovery" is not going to feel like a typical one, and those expecting a "V"-shaped recovery are simply making projections from previous economic recoveries, which, based on the fundamentals, are not warranted. And of course, a few thoughts coming back from Maine are in order. There is a lot to cover, and this may take more than one letter.

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Economics

Friday, August 14, 2009

Rising Exports, the Basis for a Sustained Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor decades, consumer spending led the U.S. economy. As the U.S. consumer curtails their spending to replenish finances, they will not be leading the way to economic recovery this time. Rather, the U.S. will be looking to the rising export economy to provide the power behind the country’s growth in Gross Domestic Product.

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Economics

Friday, August 14, 2009

Misguided Worries About Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInquiring minds reading about the threat of massive inflation looming on the horizon are asking "Where's the Inflationary Beef?" It's a good question too, so let's search far and wide for symptoms.

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Economics

Friday, August 14, 2009

Peas In The Deflationary Economic Pod / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the face of mounting job losses with the only real demand coming from cash for clunkers and other silly stimulus programs doomed to fail, it should not be surprising to anyone for retail sales to drop. Nonetheless, Bloomberg notes the following surprise: Sales Unexpectedly Decrease as Job Losses Mount.

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Economics

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Green Shoots Recovery Are a Mirage, Economy Will Deteriorate Further / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Moses_Kim

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf there's one thing you can bank on, it's that the public will be controlled by emotional whims rather than rational judgment. I do my best to lay out the facts, and whenever possible, support my claims with hard data. When the characteristics of the the data change, my outlook will as well.

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