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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Thursday, December 17, 2009

German Finance Minister Says "No Alternative But To Borrow" / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGermany, the last of the stalwarts fighting to heed the European Union’s limit of 3 percent budget deficits, is about to throw in the towel.

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Economics

Thursday, December 17, 2009

Austrian Economists WIn, Keynesians and Friedmanians the Big Intellectual Losers / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Gary_North

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNiall Ferguson is an academic hotshot. He is a professor at both Harvard University and the Harvard Business School. This is unique. He is both an economist and an historian. This is rare. He writes very well. He writes widely respected books and very readable articles.

He is also on target about what happened to the American economy in 2009. This is simply astounding.

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Economics

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Rise and Fall in Dubai, An Austrian Economics Perspective / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Fernando_Ulrich

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAll Is Well - It was January 2008 when I first set foot in Dubai. It was a land full of grandiose, landmark projects. Few cities in the world could match the sheer number of high-rise buildings and skyscrapers being built in the emirate (more than 80 units over 150 meters high are completed or under construction as of this writing).

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Economics

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

The Inflation Mega-trend and the Illusion of Price Deflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis seeks to get to the heart of the matter to answer the question - Have we experienced Deflation and IF we have are we still in Deflation Now ?

This is the next in a series of articles as part of my unfolding inflationary mega-trend scenario that is an important stepping stone towards the formulation of a inflation forecast for 2010 and beyond. I am to complete the whole scenario and implications of before the end of December which will be published as an ebook that I will make available for FREE. Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter to get the latest analysis in your email box and check my most recent analysis on the probable inflation mega-trend at http://www.walayatstreet.com

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Economics

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Deflation or Inflation, Which Lurks Around the Corner? / Economics / Deflation

By: Jeff_Clark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the short term, a catastrophic deflation is quite possible. But in the long term, extremely high levels of inflation are now inevitable. The situation is very serious. Gold is the best hedge against both of these things. The better part of your financial assets should be in gold, augmented by well-thought-out speculations. Doug Casey, November, 2009.

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Economics

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

UK CPI Inflation Soars as RPI Deflation Comes to an Abrupt End / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Inflation mega-trend scenario that I have been writing on during the past month is starting to manifest itself as UK Inflation data for November illustrates showing the Governments preferred CPI inflation surging higher to 1.9% up from 1.5% and RPI reversing October Deflation of -0.8% to now stand at Inflation of +0.3%.

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Economics

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Sovereign Government Debt Defaults Come Full Circle / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe continuation of the bank dominoes took 14 months, but it occurred. The initial destructive impact craters were carved in the United States and England. To be sure, major damage was done to assets in Spain and Greece and other smaller nations in the last year, but their banks had remained insulated. The discredit and death of the central bank franchise system showed first clear evidence in September 2008 on Wall Street. The unique mysterious aspect of banking systems is how they cannot be rebuilt once they turn insolvent. They rot in place, a process accelerated by rotten ethical values, euphemistically called moral hazard. To be sure, much so-called money flows through the dead rotten parts, but nothing becomes resuscitated except balance sheets. And besides, those balance sheets only look better due to accounting rules changes that deviate from mark to market (reality).

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Economics

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Economic Contraction will Continue in 2010 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMy wife and I watched Oprah interviewing President and Mrs. Obama for her Christmas Special. The closing message that President Obama tried to communicate was one of hope – that the worst is behind us and, with hard work and determination, America can rebuild.

Whilst the sentiments are admirable and probably believable in terms of America’s ability to rebuild – and possibly even true – there are serious questions regarding whether the worst is behind us.

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Economics

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Further Misery for UK Savers as Inflation Erodes Value of Savings Pot / Economics / Inflation

By: MoneyFacts

Savings rates are still annoyingly low, with the average no notice rate currently at 0.81%, not far above bank base rate.

The recent published inflation figures shows that the real return after basic tax and inflation on an average no notice savings account is at a worrying minus 1.25 per cent, the lowest since May this year.

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Economics

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Fundamental Economic Data for the Week Dec 14-18 / Economics / Global Economy

By: ForexPros

EU:
• Monday: France Current Account (Previous -3.7B, Forecast N/A). Euro-Zone Employment QoQ (Previous -0.5%, Forecast N/A) & YoY (Previous -1.8%, Forecast N/A). Euro-Zone Industrial Production MoM (Previous 0.3%, Forecast -0.7%) & YoY (Previous -12.9%, Forecast -10.8%).

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Economics

Monday, December 14, 2009

Economic Recovery Mission Not Accomplished / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAlthough Barack Obama has refrained, at least for now, from delivering triumphant speeches in a naval flight suit, there is nevertheless a strong tone of accomplishment emanating from the President and his deputies. Over the weekend, top White House economic adviser Lawrence Summers even pronounced that the recession is now over.

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Economics

Monday, December 14, 2009

Stephen Roach Vs Mike Shedlock on Fed's Easy Money Exit Strategy / Economics / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFormer Fed economist and current Morgan Stanley Asia Chairman Stephen Roach Sees ‘Great Risk’ in Fed Exit Strategy.

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Economics

Monday, December 14, 2009

U.S. Economy Forecast 2010, The Year of Severe Economic Contraction / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUpbeat reports in the financial media, belie the effects of the ongoing credit contraction. Massive injections of central bank liquidity have prevented the collapse of financial markets, but have done nothing to ease the deleveraging of households or stimulate activity the broader economy.

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Economics

Monday, December 14, 2009

U.S. Economy Looking Very Sick Indeed / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNo matter how the administration's friends and media lapdogs try to paint it the US economy is still in rotten shape. In fact, the situation is far worse than most people realise. Manufacturing surveys suggest a slow though steady recovery. I don't buy it, at least not yet. These surveys also report that the situation for unfilled orders is deteriorating, which means that orders for capital goods in the form of machinery is falling. Industrial production for October to October was down  7.1 per cent. Although it's true that industrial production from May to October is up by 2.5 per cent it is still below its 2002 level.

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Economics

Monday, December 14, 2009

It’s “Money in Circulation” Stupid / Economics / Money Supply

By: Joseph_Toronto

During the 1991 recession (if you can call it that) Bill Clinton made a campaign issue of “It’s the economy stupid.” It’s true, it is all about the economy. But it’s also a little more fundamental than that. It’s something that people have known intuitively for centuries. In a good economy, there was always “plenty of money” and in hard times it was “money is scarce”. Things haven’t changed, except that now those responsible for money creation are intentionally clouding the picture with all kinds of economic jawboning (dutifully reported daily by the media) to create a paranoia of both hyperinflation and deflation.

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