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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

US Consumer Credit Shows Steepest Contraction in 5 Decades / Economics / US Debt

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePlease consider Monday morning's Breakfast With Dave regarding an unprecedented drop in consumer credit.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Slow Long-Term Economic Growth, And Government's Response / Economics / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment ideas, all of which were profitable by the end of the year. It is not unusual for Gary to give us over 75 charts and tables in his monthly letters along with his commentary, which makes his thinking unusually clear and accessible.

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Economics

Monday, August 10, 2009

Is Everything You Learned about the Great Depression Wrong? / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Q1_Publishing

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat if I asked you to forget everything you ever learned about the Great Depression?

You’d say I was crazy.

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Economics

Monday, August 10, 2009

Emerging Market Giants Much Better Risk than California / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Battle of the “Bears” - If I told you that an investment in California was riskier than Russia, would that surprise you?

Well according to the current prices for 10-year credit default swaps, Russia is less likely to default on its debt than the state of California.

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Economics

Monday, August 10, 2009

Economics Weekly, FOMC Meeting and BoE Inflation Report Take Centre Stage / Economics / Global Economy

By: Lloyds_TSB

After last week’s European central bank announcements, attention turns to Wednesday’s US FOMC meeting. We expect an unchanged 0-0.25% federal funds target range and for the policy statement to reiterate that this is likely to continue for an extended period. The statement may also touch on the exit strategy from QE, although the question of timing is likely to remain open. The Bank of Japan also announces its policy decision, amid signs that economic conditions have stopped deteriorating.

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Economics

Monday, August 10, 2009

On the Brink of Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomist Paul Krugman and Obama's economic adviser Laura Tyson claim U.S. Economy May Be on Brink of Recovery.

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Economics

Monday, August 10, 2009

Expanding Balance Sheets and Monetizing Debt to Engineer Economic Recovery / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Douglas_V._Gnazzo

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomy - Green shoots are starting to sprout all over the place - so say the talking heads, as they spin, spin, spin - adding new dimensions to the ancient craft of whirling dervishes.

When you go out to pick tomatoes or weed the garden this weekend, appreciate the natural beauty of green shoots and how they come to be, both in germination and fruition, and notice what fights hard to take over their place in your garden.

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Economics

Monday, August 10, 2009

U.S. Economy, Japan Depression Redux? / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleQuite a few economic commentators are hesitant about the direction of the US economy, uncertain about whether it will stagnate or recover. Some are making gloomy comparisons between the current state of the US and the Japanese economy of the 1990s: others are more optimistic. Overlooked by these commentators is the fact that the monetary policy that generated Japan's 1980s boom is basically the same one generated the US boom of the 1990s and the subsequent bust. In fact, this policy has generated every boom-and-bust cycle I know of. It's called credit expansion.

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Economics

Sunday, August 09, 2009

U.S. Financial System is Bankrupt, Economy is Spinning Out of Control / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe World needs a breather from the US. And they'll get it sooner than many think

We're making this way too complicated. It's simple really.

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Economics

Sunday, August 09, 2009

Iceland: Lessons to be Learned from The Economic Meltdown / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEva Joly writes: In the wake of the failure of the Icelandic banks Messrs Brown, Barroso and Strauss-Kahn prove that they have understood nothing.

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Economics

Sunday, August 09, 2009

Entering the Greatest Economic Depression in History, More Bubbles Waiting to Burst / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Global_Research

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAndrew G. Marshall writes: While there is much talk of a recovery on the horizon, commentators are forgetting some crucial aspects of the financial crisis. The crisis is not simply composed of one bubble, the housing real estate bubble, which has already burst. The crisis has many bubbles, all of which dwarf the housing bubble burst of 2008. Indicators show that the next possible burst is the commercial real estate bubble. However, the main event on the horizon is the “bailout bubble” and the general world debt bubble, which will plunge the world into a Great Depression the likes of which have never before been seen.

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Economics

Sunday, August 09, 2009

Efficient Market Hypothesis Destroying Industry and Forever Blowing Bubbles / Economics / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSix impossible things before breakfast, or how EMH has damaged our industry
The Dead Parrot of Finance
The Queen of Hearts and impossible beliefs
Slaves of some defunct economist
Prima facie case against EMH -- Forever blowing bubbles
The EMH 'Nuclear Bomb'

The Efficient Market Hypothesis, according to Shiller, is one of the most remarkable errors in the history of economic thought. EMH should be consigned to the dustbin of history. We need to stop teaching it, and brainwashing the innocent. Rob Arnott tells a lovely story of a speech he was giving to some 200 finance professors. He asked how many of them taught EMH - pretty much everyone's hand was up. Then he asked how many of them believed it. Only two hands stayed up!

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Economics

Saturday, August 08, 2009

Economic Suicide and the ABC’s of DEPRESSION!, Stocks Bear Market Rally Underway / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Ty_Andros

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMany analysts are calling an end to the recession.  No way, we are only in a countertrend bounce in economic activity before the next leg DOWN.  One has to look no further than the incredible bounces of 50% or more in markets halfway to the lows from 1929 to 1933, or in post-bubble Japan since 1989 to see the parallels.  The social welfare states of the G7 and their spawn known as FIAT currency and credit financial systems have just masked the unfolding death of their economies. 

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Economics

Friday, August 07, 2009

Depression Level U.S. Unemployment Statistics on Track to Break Above 10% / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the June Employment Report.

Nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline in June (-467,000), and the unemployment rate was little changed at 9.5 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Job losses were widespread across the major industry sectors, with large declines occurring in manufacturing, professional and business services, and construction..

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Economics

Friday, August 07, 2009

U.S. Economy, Confidence Games and Ponzi Schemes / Economics / US Debt

By: Tim_Iacono

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter hearing a lot of talk in recent days about hopeful signs for the U.S. economy and how it is vital that consumers regain their confidence in order for a recovery to truly take hold, it struck me once again that the U.S. economy, more so than most other economies around the world, is really just a "confidence game".

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