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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Sunday, October 04, 2009

U.S. Real Deflation of -5.1% on Case Shiller CPI / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Case-Shiller CPI is formulated by substituting the Case-Shiller housing index for Owner's Equivalent Rent in the CPI. For a complete description of the reasons and methodology, please see What's the Real CPI?

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Economics

Sunday, October 04, 2009

IMF Optimistic About Russian Economy in 2010 / Economics / Russia

By: Pravda

The International Monetary Fund published a report about the situation in the Russian economy in 2010. The nation’s GDP will drop by 7.5 percent in 2009, which is a larger number than in the previous report, but a smaller one if compared with the expectations of the Russian government. As for the next year, the IMF is more optimistic about it and expects a 1.5-percent growth of the GDP.

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Economics

Saturday, October 03, 2009

The Economic Recovery is an Illusion / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Andrew_G_Marshall

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWar is Peace, Freedom is Slavery, Ignorance is Strength, and Debt is Recovery

In light of the ever-present and unyieldingly persistent exclamations of ‘an end’ to the recession, a ‘solution’ to the crisis, and a ‘recovery’ of the economy; we must remember that we are being told this by the very same people and institutions which told us, in years past, that there was ‘nothing to worry about,’ that ‘the fundamentals are fine,’ and that there was ‘no danger’ of an economic crisis.

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Economics

Saturday, October 03, 2009

The Economy and Debt, A Pragmatic View / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn Australia (as in many other countries of the world), our Federal Government’s reaction to the financial crisis was to distribute money in the form of “gifts”. Their intentions were supposedly honorable. They wanted to stimulate the economy.  In the first instance, they wanted to stimulate the construction industry because housing is a very important element of the economy. So they offered the gift of a significant cash rebate (funded by taxpayer money) to first home buyers. What was the impact of this?

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Economics

Friday, October 02, 2009

Financial Markets & Economic Warning Signals Flashing, Prepare to Protect and Profit / Economics / Great Depression II

By: DeepCaster_LLC

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAugust New Orders for Durable Goods Remained in Great Depression Territory

Economic and Liquidity Crises Remain Ongoing No Recovery in New Orders or Housing Fed Pushes Monetary Base to Record High

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Economics

Friday, October 02, 2009

Is A Double Dip Recession Possible? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe economic slowdown and severity of the stock market decline last year, and in January and February of this year, had the financial media and investors convinced the recession was headed down into the next Great Depression, and the Dow was therefore headed down to 1,000.

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Economics

Friday, October 02, 2009

The Economic Recovery That Isn't / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor those market boosters who are prattling on about the possibility of a "jobless recovery," I offer an invitation to join me for a breakfast of "fat-free bacon," "eggless omelets," and "no-carb bread." As unappetizing as such a meal may sound, it would nevertheless offer more substance than the oxymoronic concept of an economic resurgence without job creation.

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Economics

Friday, October 02, 2009

U.S. Unemployment Soars to 26 Year High / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSorry folks, I was one month early. In January I forecast the unemployment rate would hit 9.8% by August. Meanwhile, even though it was clear the Fed was wildly off base in its adverse scenario, the Fed upped it total to a mere 9.2% to 9.6% for the year as noted on May 21, 2009 in Fed's Economic Forecast Worsens; Still Ridiculously Optimistic.

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Economics

Friday, October 02, 2009

We Are Certainly in a Deflationary Economic State / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFueled by overcapacity, shrinking credit, reduced corporate spending and falling consumer demand, Deflation is taking root in global economies.

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Economics

Thursday, October 01, 2009

Progressive Perspectives on Solving the Global Financial Crisis Video / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Submissions

Francois Houtart – Member of the UN High-level task force on the financial crisis. Founder and President of the Centre Tricontinental and Professor Emeritus of Sociology at the Université Catholique de Louvain speaks about Progressive perspectives on solving the global economic crisis challenging the current government responses.

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Economics

Thursday, October 01, 2009

Stock Markets Take Fright From Weak U.S. Economic Data / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Lloyds_TSB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleStock markets have taken fright at yesterday’s generally weakerthan- expected US economic data, with Treasuries moving higher. Final Q2 GDP figures showed a fairly benign 0.7% annualised pace of contraction against a consensus estimate of -1.2%. But the combination of a weak ADP and Chicago PMI report has cast fresh doubt on the sustainability of the US economic recovery, notwithstanding the noticeably firmer FOMC policy statement last week.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

PMI Economic Surprise and Biggest Stocks Rally Since 1998 / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Mike_Shedlock

With each passing day the number of people that think the bottom is in, earnings will keep improving, and even a correction is unthinkable keeps rising. Here are a pair of interesting headlines moments apart on Bloomberg.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

U.S. Economy Better Than Expected in Second Quarter / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: LiveCharts

Many American consumers and businesses have been closely watching for verifiable signs that the US economy is, in fact, returning from recession. Many top economists, including Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke have been saying for weeks that that is the case, but after a very dismal period for many homeowners and employees, proof is helpful.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Deflation, What You Can do to Survive the Economic Depression / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGovernments across the world have adopted "Quantitative Easing" aka "Printing Money" to fight against Deflation that was threatening to push global economies into a downward deflationary spiral towards a prolonged period of economic depression. The question now is will printing money coupled with ZERO interest rates work ?

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Economics

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Fractional Reserve Banking Made Easy / Economics / Central Banks

By: Terence_Gillespie

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe paper bills in our wallet are not money. And they are not Notes as in "Federal Reserve Note" written on the top of the bill. They are actually just Tokens. Federal Reserve Tokens, if you like, is what should be written on top of the bills. They are not redeemable for anything other than themselves. And they represent only one thing: Your belief in their value. Hopefully, your belief extends to the next person you try to give them to.

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