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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Monday, October 05, 2009

Housing Rents Deflationary Impact on CPI Inflation Data / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn Bill Gross Bets On Deflation I posted some links on falling rent prices courtesy of Lansler on Real Estate. Here is a recap.

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Economics

Monday, October 05, 2009

What is Really Happening to the U.S. Economy? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile America's corrupt media ties itself in knots trying to put a smiley face on the recession the economic commentariat is thrashing around in the hope of finding an explanation for the economy's refusal to respond to Obama's policies (most of them overlook the fact that the economy might be doing just that) and Bernanke's criminally loose monetary policy. There is no doubt in my mind that business -- big and small -- is taking into account Obama's impending flood of taxes as well as the political support he is throwing behind job-destroying unions. I believe an administration -- any administration -- that ignores business expectations is committing a grave error of judgment.

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Economics

Monday, October 05, 2009

Faltering World Economic Recovery? / Economics / Global Economy

By: Lloyds_TSB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt would be nice and easy to believe that the road to economic recovery is now clear and straightforward after the financial market crash of 2007-2009. Equity markets have had one of the best quarters ever, corporate and government bond yields have fallen sharply and spreads, in cash and corporate bonds, are narrower than at any time since the crisis gathered momentum in 2008. Economic growth has resumed in Q2 or Q3 of 2009 for most economies after a year of declines. Housing markets (US, UK, Spain, Ireland) are seeing a flattening in activity after the sharp falls of the past year or some modest up-tick. And manufacturing output is recovering from its lows in most countries. But there are some signs that the pace of the recovery is losing momentum and faltering. We look at some of these issues in this Weekly Report, starting with recent trends in financial markets.

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Economics

Monday, October 05, 2009

Unemployment Economic Theory and the U.S. Dollar / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Howard_Katz

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold made a quick dip to the $990 area on Friday and then whipped around to close above $1,000.  We cannot completely rule out one final pull back to $960.  However, the U.S. dollar is in free fall.  So any dip in gold will be very brief.

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Economics

Sunday, October 04, 2009

On the Edge With Max Keiser, Risk of Deflationary Economic Collapse / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJanet Tavakoli is On The Edge With Max Keiser. Tavakoli says the Risk of deflationary collapse greater now than in 2007.

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Economics

Sunday, October 04, 2009

An Engineer's Solution for Sustained Economic Growth / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Steve_Morra

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSustained or increased economic chaos is the likely result of the public solutions offered for the worldwide macro-economic decline as of late 2009.  Comparing simple historical economic data with public rhetoric, the solutions offered promise further economic decline past recession into depression and beyond for the vast majority of our micro-economic futures.  It is time to publicly look at the “Golden Goose” in technical history to find a realistic solution with sustained economic growth.

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Economics

Sunday, October 04, 2009

U.S. Real Deflation of -5.1% on Case Shiller CPI / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Case-Shiller CPI is formulated by substituting the Case-Shiller housing index for Owner's Equivalent Rent in the CPI. For a complete description of the reasons and methodology, please see What's the Real CPI?

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Economics

Sunday, October 04, 2009

IMF Optimistic About Russian Economy in 2010 / Economics / Russia

By: Pravda

The International Monetary Fund published a report about the situation in the Russian economy in 2010. The nation’s GDP will drop by 7.5 percent in 2009, which is a larger number than in the previous report, but a smaller one if compared with the expectations of the Russian government. As for the next year, the IMF is more optimistic about it and expects a 1.5-percent growth of the GDP.

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Economics

Saturday, October 03, 2009

The Economic Recovery is an Illusion / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Andrew_G_Marshall

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWar is Peace, Freedom is Slavery, Ignorance is Strength, and Debt is Recovery

In light of the ever-present and unyieldingly persistent exclamations of ‘an end’ to the recession, a ‘solution’ to the crisis, and a ‘recovery’ of the economy; we must remember that we are being told this by the very same people and institutions which told us, in years past, that there was ‘nothing to worry about,’ that ‘the fundamentals are fine,’ and that there was ‘no danger’ of an economic crisis.

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Economics

Saturday, October 03, 2009

The Economy and Debt, A Pragmatic View / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn Australia (as in many other countries of the world), our Federal Government’s reaction to the financial crisis was to distribute money in the form of “gifts”. Their intentions were supposedly honorable. They wanted to stimulate the economy.  In the first instance, they wanted to stimulate the construction industry because housing is a very important element of the economy. So they offered the gift of a significant cash rebate (funded by taxpayer money) to first home buyers. What was the impact of this?

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Economics

Friday, October 02, 2009

Financial Markets & Economic Warning Signals Flashing, Prepare to Protect and Profit / Economics / Great Depression II

By: DeepCaster_LLC

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAugust New Orders for Durable Goods Remained in Great Depression Territory

Economic and Liquidity Crises Remain Ongoing No Recovery in New Orders or Housing Fed Pushes Monetary Base to Record High

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Economics

Friday, October 02, 2009

Is A Double Dip Recession Possible? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe economic slowdown and severity of the stock market decline last year, and in January and February of this year, had the financial media and investors convinced the recession was headed down into the next Great Depression, and the Dow was therefore headed down to 1,000.

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Economics

Friday, October 02, 2009

The Economic Recovery That Isn't / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor those market boosters who are prattling on about the possibility of a "jobless recovery," I offer an invitation to join me for a breakfast of "fat-free bacon," "eggless omelets," and "no-carb bread." As unappetizing as such a meal may sound, it would nevertheless offer more substance than the oxymoronic concept of an economic resurgence without job creation.

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Economics

Friday, October 02, 2009

U.S. Unemployment Soars to 26 Year High / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSorry folks, I was one month early. In January I forecast the unemployment rate would hit 9.8% by August. Meanwhile, even though it was clear the Fed was wildly off base in its adverse scenario, the Fed upped it total to a mere 9.2% to 9.6% for the year as noted on May 21, 2009 in Fed's Economic Forecast Worsens; Still Ridiculously Optimistic.

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Economics

Friday, October 02, 2009

We Are Certainly in a Deflationary Economic State / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFueled by overcapacity, shrinking credit, reduced corporate spending and falling consumer demand, Deflation is taking root in global economies.

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