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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Whalen Says Real Economy Is Dying, Q4 Bloodbath / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Submissions

Stocks rallied to start the week thanks to a better-than-expected ISM services sector report and a Goldman Sachs upgrade of big banks, including Wells Fargo, Comerica and Capital One.

But all is not right in either the economy or the banking sector, according to Christopher Whalen, managing director at Institutional Risk Analytics. In fact, Whalen says most observers are drawing the wrong economic conclusions from the stock market's robust rally.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Paul Krugman Would Fail as a Businessman / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Eric_Englund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecently, I traveled to Idaho to meet with several customers over a two-day period. As a surety bond underwriter, I predominantly deal with small-to-medium sized public works and commercial contractors. My objectives, for each meeting, were to gain a better understanding of local market conditions, to see if a viable business plan was in place for each contractor, and to determine which clients would survive this vicious economic downturn.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Strengthening Economic Data for UK, U.S. Economies / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Lloyds_TSB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter the recent spate of weak economic data, this week began on a more positive note, with yesterday's service sector reports in the UK and US both surprising on the upside. The UK CIPS services sector PMI was particularly firm, with the index rising from 54.1 in August to 55.3 in September - its strongest pace of expansion in two years. That conditions in UK services are improving was also signalled in the latest financial services report from the Confederation of British Industry, which showed confidence amongst UK financial services firms rising for the first time since the start of the credit crisis in 2007.

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Economics

Monday, October 05, 2009

Global Ageing Population Financial and Economic Crisis Brewing / Economics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe all know that a large wave of Baby Boomers in the US are approaching retirement. But what about the rest of the world? And what happens when those retirees need to spend out of savings? There is more than just a credit crisis and a government deficit crisis in our future. A rising level of retirrees to workers is happening even as I write. And the US is not, for once, the center of the problem. As this week's writer of your Outside the Box Niels Jensen explains, we cannot all export our way out of the problem. There is a global adjustment that must happen and when it does, it will have serious consequences for all. This week's letter is guaranteed to make you think. Set aside a few minutes to do so.

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Economics

Monday, October 05, 2009

Currency Crisis Lesson from War Ravaged Iraq / Economics / Fiat Currency

By: Edward_Gonzalez

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere has been much ado concerning the Federal Reserve's doubling of the monetary base this past year. Many believe a currency crisis or hyperinflation of the dollar is imminent. Some go as far as to say that this crisis will destroy America.

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Economics

Monday, October 05, 2009

Deflation Threat? What Deflation Threat? / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe deflation "recognition phase" has finally arrived. Kroger foods, Costco, and Walmart are blaming deflation for a drop in earnings. Moreover, many high profile names are discussing deflation, something most thought could never happen.

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Economics

Monday, October 05, 2009

Government Reports Point to Fiscal Doomsday / Economics / US Debt

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen our leaders have no awareness of the disastrous consequences of their actions, they can claim ignorance and take no action.

Or when our leaders have no hard evidence as to what might happen in the future, they can at least claim uncertainty.

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Economics

Monday, October 05, 2009

In Praise of Emerging Markets Investing / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: John_Derrick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you believe now is a good time to invest in U.S. stocks, emerging markets may offer even more opportunity.

We believe global growth is the most powerful investment theme now and for the foreseeable future. You can see this playing out as countries like China, India and Brazil grow in economic stature. As we saw in Pittsburgh last week, the G-7 is being supplanted by the more inclusive G-20 when it comes to global economic decision-making.

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Economics

Monday, October 05, 2009

Housing Rents Deflationary Impact on CPI Inflation Data / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn Bill Gross Bets On Deflation I posted some links on falling rent prices courtesy of Lansler on Real Estate. Here is a recap.

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Economics

Monday, October 05, 2009

What is Really Happening to the U.S. Economy? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile America's corrupt media ties itself in knots trying to put a smiley face on the recession the economic commentariat is thrashing around in the hope of finding an explanation for the economy's refusal to respond to Obama's policies (most of them overlook the fact that the economy might be doing just that) and Bernanke's criminally loose monetary policy. There is no doubt in my mind that business -- big and small -- is taking into account Obama's impending flood of taxes as well as the political support he is throwing behind job-destroying unions. I believe an administration -- any administration -- that ignores business expectations is committing a grave error of judgment.

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Economics

Monday, October 05, 2009

Faltering World Economic Recovery? / Economics / Global Economy

By: Lloyds_TSB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt would be nice and easy to believe that the road to economic recovery is now clear and straightforward after the financial market crash of 2007-2009. Equity markets have had one of the best quarters ever, corporate and government bond yields have fallen sharply and spreads, in cash and corporate bonds, are narrower than at any time since the crisis gathered momentum in 2008. Economic growth has resumed in Q2 or Q3 of 2009 for most economies after a year of declines. Housing markets (US, UK, Spain, Ireland) are seeing a flattening in activity after the sharp falls of the past year or some modest up-tick. And manufacturing output is recovering from its lows in most countries. But there are some signs that the pace of the recovery is losing momentum and faltering. We look at some of these issues in this Weekly Report, starting with recent trends in financial markets.

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Economics

Monday, October 05, 2009

Unemployment Economic Theory and the U.S. Dollar / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Howard_Katz

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold made a quick dip to the $990 area on Friday and then whipped around to close above $1,000.  We cannot completely rule out one final pull back to $960.  However, the U.S. dollar is in free fall.  So any dip in gold will be very brief.

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Economics

Sunday, October 04, 2009

On the Edge With Max Keiser, Risk of Deflationary Economic Collapse / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJanet Tavakoli is On The Edge With Max Keiser. Tavakoli says the Risk of deflationary collapse greater now than in 2007.

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Economics

Sunday, October 04, 2009

An Engineer's Solution for Sustained Economic Growth / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Steve_Morra

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSustained or increased economic chaos is the likely result of the public solutions offered for the worldwide macro-economic decline as of late 2009.  Comparing simple historical economic data with public rhetoric, the solutions offered promise further economic decline past recession into depression and beyond for the vast majority of our micro-economic futures.  It is time to publicly look at the “Golden Goose” in technical history to find a realistic solution with sustained economic growth.

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Economics

Sunday, October 04, 2009

U.S. Real Deflation of -5.1% on Case Shiller CPI / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Case-Shiller CPI is formulated by substituting the Case-Shiller housing index for Owner's Equivalent Rent in the CPI. For a complete description of the reasons and methodology, please see What's the Real CPI?

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