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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Friday, April 02, 2010

US Labor Market adds 163k Jobs? Is it for Real or another Sham? / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Shaily

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBlog writers have been overwhelmingly negative on the increasingly deteriorating unemployment situation in the US. No matter what data is released, they are discarded as unreal or so full of holes that an elephant could walk through them.

Even the current BLS report seems to have been bashed pretty badly by most blogs.

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Economics

Friday, April 02, 2010

U.S. Jobs Increase by 136,000, Unanswered Questions About Seasonality / Economics / Employment

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis morning the BLS reported an increase of 136,000 jobs. Headline unemployment was unchanged at 9.7%. Before diving into the numbers let's look at a couple questions from a live Q&A session. The BLS took questions in advance.

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Economics

Friday, April 02, 2010

Increasing Debt Increases Economic Growth Say the Keynesians / Economics / US Debt

By: Gary_North

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYou may not have watched my video seminar, "Retirement Armageddon." It's here.

Let me explain why you should.

In fiscal 2010, the Federal debt will increase by an estimated $1.5 trillion, give or take $100 billion.

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Economics

Thursday, April 01, 2010

U.S. Debt–to-GDP Situation, When Will the Dominos Align / Economics / US Debt

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn February 19, 2010 Wall Street Journal, Daniel Henninger included the following chart in his column. Federal spending has grown seven times the real median household income over the last 40 years. At some point, the government will be unable to pay for all the new programs, stimulus, healthcare, rapid expansion in number of government employees, etc. The market will drive up the cost of debt to levels that lead to default. Many say it cannot happen to the U.S.

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Economics

Thursday, April 01, 2010

India Economy and Stock Market Relentless Surge / Economics / India

By: Shaily

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIndia has been on a relentless surge, both in the real economy and the equity markets. 100% return in 12 months is not something one would have had expected in April 2009, as Fund Managers, Hedge Funds and Private Equity funds were running for cover. Index had just dipped below 9,000 in 2009.

In fact Rahul Bhasin (MD, Barings PE) was on record: India Sensex Fair Value 7,500.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 31, 2010

You Still Believe The Fed Can Stop Deflation? / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecent history proves that the Fed's "control" is just an illusion. March 31, 2010

Think back to the fall of 2007. The deflationary "liquidity crunch" that over the next year-and-a-half cuts the DJIA in half, decimates commodities, real estate and world markets is only starting. Almost no one believes that the crash is coming -- to a large degree, because everyone is convinced that the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank, with Ben Bernanke at the helm, will never allow deflation to happen: It can just print money!

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Economics

Wednesday, March 31, 2010

U.S. Unemployment Increasing Seasonal Adjustment Amplitude / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMy question is on the the increasing amplitude of BLS seasonal adjustments as noted in BLS Seasonal Adjustments Gone Haywire; 11% Unemployment Coming by May?

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Economics

Wednesday, March 31, 2010

The China Economic Growth Juggernaut Is Alive and Well / Economics / China Economy

By: Tony_Sagami

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is becoming quite popular to say that China’s bubble is about to burst. Not a chance. Like Mark Twain said, “reports of my death have been greatly exaggerated.”

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Economics

Wednesday, March 31, 2010

Solving Britain's Economic Crisis Through Micro Business Capital Investments and Credit / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBritain had bet its future on the financial sector as the means for delivering economic prosperity and lost. The financial sector over the past 3 decades had mushroomed to an enormous size on terms of over leveraged liabilities extending to more than 5 times UK GDP that has imploded in spectacular style following the start of the Credit Crisis in August 2007 which has now left the country on the brink of bankruptcy under the burden of the liabilities of the banking sector (most denominated in foreign currencies), unsustainable annual budget deficit and the growing public sector debt mountain.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

U.S. Census Numbers Uncensored / Economics / US Economy

By: Casey_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleVedran Vuk, Casey Research writes: The Census aims to be every man’s hero. It promises an economic stimulus, a reduction in unemployment, and greater funds for every community. Of course, the reality is much closer to a game of musical chairs with your money. And guess who will be left standing?

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Economics

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

10 Signs of Speculative Mania in China / Economics / China Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInquiring minds are reading a GMO white paper on China’s Red Flags

In the aftermath of the credit crunch, the outlook for most developed economies appears pretty bleak. Households need to deleverage. Western governments will have to tighten their purse strings. Faced with such grim prospects at home, many investors are turning their attention toward China. It’s easy to see why they are excited. China combines size – 1.3 billion inhabitants – with tremendous growth prospects. Current income per capita is roughly one-tenth of U.S. levels. The People’s Republic also has a great track record.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

Academic Economics Profession in Crisis / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDear economics department chairman,

In all the formal economic study I have sat through, I have developed a growing concern for the direction of the economics profession in general, and economic education in particular. Let me explain — and challenge you.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

U.S. Economic Stimulus Works, Economy Recovers Under Obama / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Daniel_Bruno

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomists at Deutsche Bank are calling for a big surge in employment numbers as retail sales recover in the United States. The chart below, from www.fxboss.info  shows the relationship between retail sales and non-farm payrolls.  In America’s consumer driven economy, retail sales lead the way out of business recession and consequent double-digit unemployment.   “Retail sales have turned up as recession fatigue has worn off sharply,” said Joseph LaVorgna, chief economist at Deutsche Bank in New York. “There should soon be a pretty big pickup in job growth. If history repeats, we’ll be blindsided by job gains.”

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Economics

Monday, March 29, 2010

It's Not the Debt, It's the Government Spending / Economics / Government Spending

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Last Friday afternoon I listened to a senator get all worked up about the avalanche of federal debt that is about to roll over America. He is correct that there is an avalanche of debt on the way. But his concerns are misplaced. More precisely, his concerns were misplaced. To reiterate a popular rant of mine, it is not the deficit or debt that is the real economic cost of government, but rather it is the spending of the government. The government always gets its funds by taxing, by borrowing and/or by printing (if the central bank is willing). All three means of government funding are pernicious with respect to economic performance. So, it is not the government debt that we should be concerned with, but rather the government spending.

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Economics

Monday, March 29, 2010

Greenspan Signals warnings for Bubble-maniacs, the Break-out of Inflation Has Already Begun / Economics / Inflation

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“I guess, I should warn you. If I turn out to be particularly clear, you’ve probably mis-understood what I’ve said,” former Federal Reserve chief Alan Greenspan was fond of saying, when he controlled the Fed’s money spigots. For many Fed watchers, it was a great relief when “Easy” Al finally retired from the Fed, since there is nothing more vexing - than correctly interpreting Green-speak.

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