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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Government Quest to Buy Inflation, Print Baby Print / Economics / Inflation

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week I thought I would give you an Outside the Box with a more European flavor, as I am in Tuscany at the moment and on to Paris later this week and then back here for a working weekend with partners. Life is tough. :-)

Dylan Grice of Societe Generale (based in London) is fast becoming one of my favorite writers. This thought-provoking piece makes us meditate on whether central banks will print money in response to the fiscal crisis in the developed world countries. I am not certain that all central banks will print with abandon, BUT we need to think about what happens if they do.

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Economics

Monday, June 14, 2010

Can China Save the World Economy? / Economics / China Economy

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNope. No chance.

For starters, let’s look at the basic numbers. China’s GDP is now $4.3 trillion, making it the fourth largest economy in the world. However, there’s a HUGE drop off from the first two economies (Europe $16.4 trillion and the US $14.2 trillion) to the third and fourth (Japan $5.0 trillion and China $4.3 trillion). 

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Economics

Monday, June 14, 2010

U.S. Economy Slows as States Lose Federal Stimulus Funds / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor only the second time in 50 years, state budget cuts will act as a fiscal drag on GDP as noted by Bloomberg in Economy in U.S. Slows as States Lose Federal Stimulus Funds.

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Economics

Monday, June 14, 2010

Deflation Scare Dead Ahead / Economics / Deflation

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAccording to John Williams of shadowstats.com, although the Employment Report to be released this Friday will appear robust on the surface, May payrolls could contract net of the temporary census boost, setting up a buy the rumor sell the news trade in the stock market. So this, combined with positive seasonality and the fact stocks are technically oversold on a short-term basis suggests gains should be expected into Friday, or Monday at the latest, however afterwards a resumption of the downtrend established over the past few weeks should return, potentially yielding significantly lower prices. Heaven knows the fundamentals support such a view, and have for some time, but now we also have bearish speculators exhausted as evidenced in falling US index open interest put / call ratios, where the bureaucracy’s price managers are unable to squeeze our faulty and fraudulent stock markets higher anymore.

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Economics

Monday, June 14, 2010

Economic Stimulus Sovereign Debt Crisis End Game / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAnyone not blinded by greed can plainly see the sick cycle we’re in:

First, the government helps create a great asset bubble.

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Economics

Monday, June 14, 2010

U.S. Economy Heading For the Rocks? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you read Reuters, Associated Press and the rest of the phony news outlets the US economy is on the mend and it's only a matter of time before happy days are here again. If you are one of the unemployed or underemployed things are indeed gloomy. And no wonder. The Wall Street Journal reports that in the first quarter not one venture-backed company went public. This hasn't happened since 1980. Adding to the economy's woes we find that of the 431,000 non-farm jobs created last month a mere 41,000 was in the private sector, less than 10 per cent. To top it off, manufacturing also started to slow.

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Economics

Sunday, June 13, 2010

Deflation? Try a Tale of Two Inflations / Economics / Inflation

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe crisis in Europe is causing concerns about deflation in the U.S. and other developed economies after weeks of financial-market turmoil. The fears are most pronounced in Europe, where a combination of spending cuts and tax increases could weigh on economic growth and feed into deflation.

Financial markets are reflecting a diverging expectation. Gold prices have been soaring—a potential indicator of inflation fears—while many other inflation indicators are going the other way.

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Economics

Sunday, June 13, 2010

Is Deflation in the United States Possible? / Economics / Deflation

By: Frank_Shostak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAccording to some analysts, a sharp decline in major commodity-price indexes has raised the specter of deflation. The Journal of Commerce's index (JCOM) fell by 8.5% in May from April while the Commodity Research Bureau's index (CRB) fell by 8.2% during that period. Also the growth momentum of these indexes plunged in May. The yearly rate of growth of the JCOM index fell to 47.9% from 77% in April, while the yearly rate of growth of the CRB index plunged to 0.7% from 24.9%.

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Economics

Saturday, June 12, 2010

Investors Face Long-term Structural Changes of Lower Growth, Higher Volatility and Unemployment / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

The Frog in the Frying Pan
Three Structural Changes
The Economy Won't Produce Enough Jobs
The End Game
Like an Army But with No Discipline

Tonight I am in Venice, but I have arranged for a special edition of Thoughts from the Frontline, written by Jonathan Tepper of Variant Perception, a research firm in London. I have been corresponding with Jonathan for some time, and we have had some solid, and lately quite frequent, conversations. I am very impressed with this young man, whose perceptions and insights I find quite thoughtful.

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Economics

Friday, June 11, 2010

World Spotlight on South Africa / Economics / Africa

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSouth Africa takes to the world stage today as it hosts the first World Cup to be played on the African continent. For the next 30 days, the eyes of the globe will be watching Rooney, Cristiano Ronaldo, Maicon and Messi battle it out for world soccer supremacy.

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Economics

Friday, June 11, 2010

Why Won't the Global Debt Crisis Die, and With it Gold? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: David_Galland

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Galland, Managing Director, Casey Research writes: Back when I had more time, I would occasionally play Oblivion, a video game. A game so addictive, it's been known to contribute to flunking out of colleges and the failure of marriages.

When persevering in a sword fight, your computerized opponents were prone to angrily muttering the phrase "Why won't you die, damn it!"

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Economics

Friday, June 11, 2010

The Monetary or Circulation-Credit Theory of the Trade Cycle / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe theory of the cyclical fluctuations of business as elaborated by the British Currency School was in two respects unsatisfactory.

First, it failed to recognize that circulation credit can be granted not only by the issue of banknotes in excess of the banks' holding of cash reserves, but also by creating bank deposits subject to check in excess of such reserves (checkbook money, deposit currency). Consequently it did not realize that deposits payable on demand can also be used as a device of credit expansion. This error is of little weight, as it can be easily amended. It is enough to stress the point that all that refers to credit expansion is valid for all varieties of credit expansion no matter whether the additional fiduciary media are banknotes or deposits.

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Economics

Friday, June 11, 2010

How to Survive Deflation, Important Warnings From Robert Prechter / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTelegraph.go.uk, May 26: "US money supply plunges at 1930s pace... The M3 money supply in the U.S. is contracting at an accelerating rate that now matches the average decline seen from 1929 to 1933, despite near zero interest rates and the biggest fiscal blitz in history."

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Economics

Friday, June 11, 2010

After Government Economic Stimulus / Economics / US Economy

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is perhaps no better example of the destructive nature of government intervention than the current housing and retail goods markets. For the past three years a spend-happy Congress lavished these areas with stimulus spending, tax credits, and other palliatives all aimed at papering over the structural defects in these markets. In the case of housing, the problem was years of easy money, sky-high prices, and zero-standards lending.

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Economics

Friday, June 11, 2010

Brazil BRIC Economic Growth and China Retail Sales Analysis / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Dhaval_Shah

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week we examine the GDP results from last "BRIC" economy to report, Brazil, then we look at another one; China and see how international trade and retail sales are tracking. Then we analyze the recent US consumer credit data, and finish up with a review of four of the monetary policy decisions this week.

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