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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Japan Economy GDP Growth Recovery, Too early to celebrate? / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Fresbee

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHigh growth at 1.1% QoQ (4.6% saar) in 4Q 2009 The Japanese economy grew 1.1% QoQ after seasonal adjustment (or 4.6% saar) in 4Q (Oct-Dec) 2009, higher than DB forecast (0.7%; 2.8%). The noteworthy development is that private consumption registered the third consecutive quarterly increase (0.7% QoQ) thanks to fiscal stimulus on the purchase of consumer durables and that private capital investment recovered for the first time in seven quarters (1.0% QoQ).

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Economics

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

India Worries as China Builds Ports in South Asia / Economics / China Economy

By: Trader_Mark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleContinued signs of stress among the 2 developing Asian powers.  Not the first sign that China's new heavyweight status is causing consternation.  [Dec 15, 2009: China's Economic Power Unsettles Neighbors] [Jun 13, 2009: Australia in Perfect Position Aside China, but at a Cost?]  China appears to be following the same strategy in South Asia that it has taken in Africa ....

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Economics

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

Goldman Sachs Says China Currency and Economy Trouble Brewing / Economics / China Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith a lot of eyes focused on the PIIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, Spain), especially Greece and Spain, please don't forget about China. Goldman’s O’Neill Says ‘Something Brewing’ in China on Currency.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

UK Inflation Smashes Through 3%, Hits 3.5%, Bank of England Says Don't Panic! / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe inflation mega-trend continues to forcefully manifest itself in the continuing surge higher of UK Inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) which soared from 2.9% to 3.5% for January data. Inflation has virtually doubled in a little over 2 months rising from 1.9% for November data to now stand at 3.5%, the surge in inflation has caught the whole mainstream media and academic economists by surprise that barely 2 months ago were still contemplating deflation. The RPI continued its spike higher rising to 3.7% from 2.4% the month before, and the real UK inflation rate as measured by the Market Oracle rose from 2.7% to now stand at 4.3%.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

World Watches Greek Debt Sideshow as Latvia's Economy Collapses by 25% / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Michael_Hudson

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleProf Michael Hudson and Prof. Jeff Sommers write: World Economic Crisis: Latvia’s Neoliberal Madness - While most of the world’s press focuses on Greece (and also Spain, Ireland and Portugal) as the most troubled euro-areas, the much more severe, more devastating and downright deadly crisis in the post-Soviet economies scheduled to join the Eurozone somehow has escaped widespread notice.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

Is the Recession Over? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is some debate about whether the recession is over. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a non-governmental organization made up of economists, has a committee that meets and decides after the fact when recessions begin and when they end. Martin Feldstein, the former president of the NBER, focusing on the job market, said last November that "the current downturn is likely to last much longer than previous downturns ... We will be lucky to see the recession end in 2009."

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Economics

Monday, February 15, 2010

Marc Faber on China Economy Over Capacity Risk of Potential Crash / Economics / China Economy

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarc Faber discusses the financial markets, specifically China's building of over capacity that could result in a stock and economic crash. Though this would still just be a temporary set-back in the long-run as the infrastructure built would help the China continue to grow in the future.

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Economics

Monday, February 15, 2010

Is Krugman Harry Potter? Keynesian Fantasy / Economics / Economic Theory

By: William_Anderson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the things one learns (or should learn) in an economics graduate program is that while we hold to certain laws of economics, we do not view the world through a template, and especially one structured from political talking points. For example, as an economist, I can say that if one raises the minimum wage during a recession, one of the results will be increased unemployment among lower-skilled workers, and especially teenagers.

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Economics

Sunday, February 14, 2010

Nightmare Macro Economics, Keynesian and New Keynesian Variety / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Michael_S_Rozeff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePaul Krugman is such an economist. Austrian economist Bill Anderson's highly recommended blog, Krugman-in- Wonderland, deconstructs Mr. Krugman on a daily basis. There is a lot there that needs to be deconstructed.

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Economics

Saturday, February 13, 2010

Greece Debt Crisis a Precursor to New Era of Sovereign Risk / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA Path-Dependent World
Between Dire and Disastrous
A National Suicide Pact
It's More than Just Greece
R.I.P., Walt Ratterman

The news is somewhat "All Greece, All the Time," but most of the pieces miss the more critical elements, and in today's letter we will look at what I think those are, as well as at the important point that Greece is a precursor of a new era of sovereign risk. Plus, we glance at a few rather silly recent comments from economists. It will make for a very interesting discussion.

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Economics

Friday, February 12, 2010

Greek, European Debt Crisis Boosts the U.S. Dollar / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNews junkies, currency buffs, and economists of an Austrian tilt have been having quite an entertaining few weeks. Between massive blizzards from Virginia to New England, another baseless Dollar rally, and the hilarious notion that a little Greek debt could unwind the Euro, there certainly has been plenty to talk about. These ‘black swan’ events are certainly becoming more and more commonplace these days; almost to the point where they can’t even be called black swans anymore. What would previously have been considered ridiculous is now normal, and what was normal is now considered ridiculous. Such is the way of things as empires unwind. Our circumstance today is no different.

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Economics

Friday, February 12, 2010

Global Economic Crisis RED ALERT, Asian Financial Tsunami Wave About to Hit / Economics / Financial Crash

By: Matthias_Chang

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis will be one of my shortest articles as it is written as a RED ALERT.

When I send out Red Alerts, it is a dire warning and a call for immediate action to protect your wealth (if there is any remaining).

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Economics

Friday, February 12, 2010

Antal Fekete Fantasy Land Monetary Theory of Hyperinflation That Creates Bonds Boom and Falling CPI / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Gary_North

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAntal Fekete has published an article, "There Is No Business Like Bond Business." It was published on the 24hgold site, which my site links to (my gold price chart). Some of you may have read it. Some of you may be confused. Let me de-confuse you.

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Economics

Friday, February 12, 2010

Misguided Economists Say U.S. Unemployment Rate Has Peaked / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomists are giddy once again, following news that weekly unemployment claims dropped to 440,000.

"In the week ending Feb. 6, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 440,000, a decrease of 43,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 483,000. The 4-week moving average was 468,500, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's revised average of 469,500."

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Economics

Friday, February 12, 2010

Global Business Cycle Bottoms But Economic Recovery Remains Mixed / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGlobal data continues to reinforce the idea that the world business cycle has bottomed and that growth is starting to advance. Economic numbers stress that after six quarters of steady contraction, a floor appears to have formed in mid-2009. Most global economies have felt expansion for the last six months. But this increase is not well divided. Domestic developed nations have emerged from the depths at a considerably slower pace than many Asian nations. The USA has been dwarfed by the new Asian economies of China and India. This trend, going into 2010 and 2011, will likely reshape the trading patterns of the world from west to east.

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