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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Two Leading Economic Indicators Point to Another Recession / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere are two well-known and important leading economic indexes for the U.S. economy:

• The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI), and

• The Weekly U.S. Leading Economic Index published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

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Economics

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

Money vs Wealth / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen discussing financial matters, people often conflate money with wealth. Although such loose language may be perfectly fine in everyday conversation, it's important to occasionally go over the basics and make sure we are thinking about these issues in the proper way.

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Economics

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

UK Budget 2010 Analysis, Consumers, Public Sector and Benefit Claimers to Carry the Weight / Economics / UK Tax & Budget

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGeorge Osbourne delivered his first budget flanked by Liberal Democrats Nick Clegg and Danny Alexander on either side, and clearing the uncertainty of the past 6 months which allows business's and individuals to make long-term decisions. The primary objective of the emergency budget is to address the unsustainable £156 billion annual budget deficit that risks bankrupting Britain, in this respect the budget appears to have succeeded in projecting that over the term of the parliament this deficit will be reduced to £20 billion per year.

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Economics

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

What's the Point of Macro Events Research in Forecasting? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI am back in Tuscany and will head to Milan tomorrow early, give a speech at the Bloomberg offices and then back home. But it is Monday and that means it is time for another Outside the Box. And I have found a most excellent offering. Dylan Grice from Societe Generale in London wrote on value for an OTB a few weeks ago, and he follows that up with more thoughts on the use of macro trends versus value investing. This is a real think piece, and worthy of more than one read.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Economics

Monday, June 21, 2010

UK Emergency Budget 2010: George Osbourne's Wage Inflation Price Spiral VAT Increase / Economics / UK Tax & Budget

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGeorge Osbourne, the Coalition governments chancellor looks set to announce deep spending cuts and significant tax rises in tomorrows budget. However what will be the lasting impact of the budget will be the changes to the rate and scope of VAT with the aim of raising at least £15 billion extra revenue per year, that will come to be seen as the budget that sparked the wage price spiral.

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Economics

Monday, June 21, 2010

101 Scary Thoughts about the U.S. Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: Gary_North

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article1. The crucial objective factor promoting economic growth in a private property social order is per capita investment.

2. Americans save less than 5% of household income.

3. The Federal Reserve System runs the show economically; Congress doesn't.

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Economics

Monday, June 21, 2010

Systemic Crisis of the World Economy, Global Geopolitical Dislocation / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGEAB write: Each day the news confirm the extent to which the global systemic crisis has now entered into the phase of global geopolitical dislocation, even if the media only timidly begin to interpret the historic upheavals which unfold before our own eyes. For LEAP/E2020, the second half of 2010 will thus correspond to a new step in the global geopolitical dislocation, characterized by an acceleration in the process of strategic, financial, economic and social convulsions centered on four single points of failure (1) of the international system analyzed in this GEAB issue.

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Economics

Monday, June 21, 2010

Consumer Deleveraging: the New “wall of worry” / Economics / US Economy

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEverywhere one turns it seems that fear lurks just behind the corner, just waiting to pounce. Every day we’re bombarded by fear in the news headlines, be it from a financial, economic or geopolitical perspective. Nowhere is this more apparent than the current fear campaign over the U.S. debt situation, specifically, consumer deleveraging.

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Economics

Saturday, June 19, 2010

Following the Worst Crisis Since the Great Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt’s easy to lose perspective on where the global economy stands … to be confused by the daily deluge of information.

So today, in the first of a two-part series, I want to give you some perspective on the big-picture and where we are today, because as an investor the “big-picture” is critical for you. It can mean the difference between making and losing a lot of money.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Economics

Saturday, June 19, 2010

Deficits and Economic Growth, GDP = C + I + G + (X-M) / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Everyone" is upset with the level of fiscal deficits being run by nearly every developed country. And with much justification. The levels of fiscal deficits are unsustainable and threaten to bring many countries to the desperate situation that Greece now finds itself in. We must balance the budget is the cry of fiscal conservatives. But there are unseen consequences in moving both too fast or too slow in the effort to get the deficits under control. Today we look at them as we explore what a fine mess we have gotten ourselves into. (I am working without internet today so the letter will be shorter with fewer references than normal.)

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Economics

Saturday, June 19, 2010

Economic Depression Solutions, Krugman vs. Greenspan / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCourtesy of Calculated Risk here are a pair of articles, one from Krugman and another from Greenspan on the limits of debt.

That ’30s Feeling

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Economics

Friday, June 18, 2010

Talk of Double-Dip Recession No Longer Crazy? / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJust a month or two ago opinions that the serious recession that ended in the last quarter of last year, will return in a double-dip later this year were blown off as crazy.

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Economics

Friday, June 18, 2010

The Next Catastrophic Bubble to Pop Will Be Private Sector Debt / Economics / US Debt

By: Andrew_Butter

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMuch is said about the propensity of USA to pile on public debt to try and right the wrongs of the moronic lenders of yester-year ….and the risks that entails, but private sector debt is a much bigger “Elephant” in the Jacuzzi than public sector debt.

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Economics

Friday, June 18, 2010

Sovereign Crisis from Economic Stimulus to Debt Austerity Snowball Effect / Economics / Economic Austerity

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA blockbuster draft report from the European Commission saw the light of day recently, thanks to some reporting from Bloomberg. It highlights an incredibly dangerous Catch-22 facing many sovereign nations — the “Snowball Scenario.”

Let me give you an example how this works …

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Economics

Friday, June 18, 2010

Trade Cycle Impact on the Market Economy / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe popularity of inflation and credit expansion, the ultimate source of the repeated attempts to render people prosperous by credit expansion, and thus the cause of the cyclical fluctuations of business, manifests itself clearly in the customary terminology. The boom is called good business, prosperity, and upswing. Its unavoidable aftermath, the readjustment of conditions to the real data of the market, is called crisis, slump, bad business, depression. People rebel against the insight that the disturbing element is to be seen in the malinvestment and the overconsumption of the boom period and that such an artificially induced boom is doomed. They are looking for the philosophers' stone to make it last.

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