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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Friday, June 03, 2011

U.S. Unemployment Now at Great Depression Levels, Jobs Destruction is Permanent / Economics / Unemployment

By: Washingtons_Blog

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUnemployment During the Great Depression Has Been Overstated and Current Unemployment Understated (We've Now Got Depression-Level Unemployment)

The commonly-accepted unemployment figures for the Great Depression are overstated.

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Economics

Friday, June 03, 2011

U.S. Labor Market Elevated Level of Initial Jobless Claims is Worrisome / Economics / Unemployment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Initial jobless claims fell 6,000 to 422,000 during the week ended May 28.  The underlying trend of initial jobless claims in the last two months has changed.  The number of initial jobless claims has risen to 426,000 during May from 423,000 in April after an extended period of a decelerating trend (see Chart 2).  These numbers suggest that labor market conditions remain worrisome.  The reversal of initial jobless claims is consistent with the slowing trend visible in other recent economic reports. 

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Economics

Friday, June 03, 2011

Inflation Expectations Reflect Slowing U.S. Economic Conditions / Economics / Inflation

By: Asha_Bangalore

Latest economic data (ISM manufacturing survey results for May, auto sales of May, factory production of April, consumer spending of April) underscore the shift in business momentum to a slower pace during the past two months.  Consistent with this change, inflation expectations have declined. 

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Economics

Thursday, June 02, 2011

Africa Riding the Red Dragon / Economics / Africa

By: Richard_Mills

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"When I entered the business world, three-fourths of the world was closed - China, Russia, Vietnam, India, most of Africa... In 2010, the entire world is wide open, the developing world is growing twice as fast as the developed world and there's still arguably several billion people out there that will modernize and progress." - Caterpillar's CEO Doug Oberhelman

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Economics

Thursday, June 02, 2011

U.S. Construction Spending Remains Lackluster / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Total construction outlays rose 0.4% in April, reflecting an increase in home improvement outlays (+7.6%) and expenditures of non-residential outlays (+0.5%).  Outlays pertaining to new housing (-0.9%) fell in April. 

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Economics

Thursday, June 02, 2011

World Factory Sector Output Shifts to Lower Gear / Economics / Global Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

The ISM manufacturing survey results of May show a decelerating trend in factory activity. The composite index declined to 6.9 points to 53.5 in May, which marks the third consecutive monthly drop. The sharp declines of indexes tracking new orders (-10.7 to 51.0) and production (- 9.8 to 54.0) are worrisome.

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Economics

Thursday, June 02, 2011

Economic Stimulus Wears Off / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe artificially engineered U.S. recovery is already starting to falter as a continuous procession of disappointing data continues to confirm the sad truth. Recent numbers on GDP, durable goods, housing, regional manufacturing, initial unemployment claims and leading economic indicators all indicate a sharp slowdown in GDP growth. Just today the ADP Employment report showed that the private sector added a paltry 38,000 jobs in May, down from 177,000 jobs in April, significantly below expectations, and the weakest number since September 2010.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 01, 2011

Sputtering U.S. Economy, Look Out Below! / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe slowdown has begun. The economy has started to sputter and unemployment claims have tipped 400,000 for the last seven weeks. That means new investment is too weak to lower the jobless rate which is presently stuck at 9 percent. Manufacturing--which had been the one bright-spot in the recovery-- has also started to retreat with some areas in the country now contracting. Housing, of course, continues its downward trek putting more pressure on bank balance sheets and plunging more homeowners into negative equity.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 01, 2011

Central Banks Choice Between Hyperinflation or Great Depression II / Economics / Central Banks

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWestern Europe has invented two institutions that have taken over the world: the university and the central bank. Today, both are under fire as never before. At the same time, both are in their respective diver's seats. The greater the criticism, the better they do for themselves.

We are finally seeing articles on the bubble in higher education. It isn't a bubble. Government money still flows in by the hundreds of billions a year.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 01, 2011

Falling U.S. Consumer Confidence Index Wipes Out Gains of Last Six Months / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 60.8 in May from 66.0 in the prior month.  The 5.2-point decline wiped out a large part of the improvement of the last six months.  The Present Situation (39.3 vs. 40.2) and Expectations (75.2 vs. 83.2) indexes both fell in May. 

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Economics

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Why Innovation Needs Big Government / Economics / Government Intervention

By: Ian_Fletcher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMost people realize that the Federal budget deficit and the trade deficit are serious problems. Unfortunately, as I have argued previously, few people grasp the importance of another big deficit in our economy, without which it will be extremely hard to fix the first two: our innovation deficit.

Simply put: despite appearances to the contrary, our economy is not innovative enough. And it’s costing us, big-time.

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Economics

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Europe on the Edge of Abyss, U.S. Housing Market In the Abyss / Economics / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRobert Samuelson on Real Clear Politics says Europe at the Abyss

It has come to this. A year after rescuing Greece from default, Europe is staring into the abyss. The bailout has proved insufficient. Greece needs more money, and it can't borrow from private markets where it faces interest rates as high as 25 percent. There is no easy escape.

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Economics

Saturday, May 28, 2011

Fiat Currency Economic Death Spiral Has Been Triggered / Economics / Fiat Currency

By: Gordon_T_Long

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor nearly 30 years we have had two Global Strategies working in a symbiotic fashion that has created a virtuous economic growth spiral. Unfortunately, the economic underpinnings were flawed and as a consequence, the virtuous cycle has ended. It is now in the process of reversing and becoming a vicious downward economic spiral.

One of the strategies is the Asian Mercantile Strategy. The other is the US Dollar Reserve Currency Strategy.

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Economics

Saturday, May 28, 2011

UK Inflation Invisible to Government Politicians Such as Vince Cable / Economics / Inflation

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhere-oh-where can all this inflation – which doesn't exist – be coming from...?

THERE'S NONE so blind as those who claim they can see.

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Economics

Thursday, May 26, 2011

U.S. Q1 2011 GDP Revision / Economics / Economic Statistics

By: Tony_Pallotta

The first of two revisions for Q1 2011 Real GDP came in unchanged at 1.8%. Internally though this report is rather concerning.

In a previous post I discussed the increased probability of Q2 GDP contracting (found here) with inventory, government and or trade the most likely sources.

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