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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Avenomics - The Clock Runs Out for the Japanese Economy / Economics / Japan Economy

By: John_Mauldin

By Grant Williams: In 1853 the French romantic composer Charles Gounod wrote a melody that was especially designed to sit over the Prelude No. 1 in C Major written by Johann Sebastian Bach over a century earlier. He titled it (somewhat unimaginatively, perhaps) "Meditation sur le Premier Prelude de Piano de S. Bach."

Interestingly enough, Gounod's father-in-law, the magnificently named Pierre-Joseph-Guillaume Zimmerman, transcribed the improvised melody and arranged it for violin, piano, and harmonium; and thus a piece that Gonoud himself never actually wrote down went on to become one of the most-recorded and most-played pieces of music in the history of mankind.

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Economics

Sunday, November 24, 2013

Navigating the Tidal Shifts in Myanmar / Economics / Asian Economies

By: Submissions

Keith Hilden, Georgi Ivanov, and Dylan Waller write: Developments of tidal proportions have occurred in Myanmar in recent years, as the country adopted a pivot in its domestic and foreign policy to re-engage with the world. This polar shift occurred after 50 years of isolation under the rule of a military junta that seized power in 1962. Navigating in Myanmar's quickly evolving position is a challenge, because of the dynamically developing environment in which the country finds itself. Myanmar is emerging from a situation similar to the newly independent post-colonial states in the mid-1900s, as well as the flux in which the post-Soviet space found itself after the collapse of the socialist bloc system and the USSR in 1989-91. Myanmar is developing while straddling two parallel realities.

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Economics

Friday, November 22, 2013

Fed-induced Inflation - Pushing on a Rope or Lighting a Short Fuse / Economics / Inflation

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Many regard the risk of inflation as low, since the Fed's money distribution or credit mechanism is limited by how the banks decide to lend. While credit worthy businesses and consumers are still de-leveraging, the transmission mechanism will eventually come. This will occur, for the most part, thanks to the Treasury.

So then how can the Fed push money into the economy?

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Economics

Friday, November 22, 2013

Economic Recovery Doubtful as New Survey Shows Manufacturing Downturn / Economics / US Economy

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: After so many years following the Great Recession, it’s still quite astounding that job creation remains so slow. This obviously indicates the lack of economic growth, even after trillions of dollars have been pumped into the U.S. economy.

While there has been a lot of optimistic talk in the mainstream media, there have been an increasing number of data points indicating America’s economic growth is still very fragile.

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Economics

Friday, November 22, 2013

Today’s Wealth Destruction Is Hidden by Government Debt / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2013

By: Philipp_Bagus

Still unnoticed by a large part of the population is that we have been living through a period of relative impoverishment. Money has been squandered in welfare spending, bailing out banks or even — as in Europe — of fellow governments. But many people still do not feel the pain.

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Economics

Thursday, November 21, 2013

Trickle Down Economic Recovery: Monetary Expansion, Excess Bank Reserves, and Leftovers For Main Street / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Jesse

“Trickle-down theory - the less than elegant metaphor that if one feeds the horse enough oats, some will pass through to the road for the sparrows.” - John Kenneth Galbraith

"There are those who believe that if you just legislate to make the well-to-do prosperous, that their prosperity will leak through on those below." - William Jennings Bryant

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Economics

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Germany’s Dangerous Current Account Surplus / Economics / Euro-Zone

By: MISES

Frank Hollenbeck writes: The US government and the European Commission (EC) recently slammed Germany for running large current account surpluses. Paul Krugman jumped in with this beauty of a quote:

The problem is that Germany has continued to maintain highly competitive labor costs and run huge surpluses since the bubble burst — and that in a depressed world economy, this makes Germany a significant part of the problem.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

China's Next Baby Boom Will be a Boon for U.S. Business / Economics / Demographics

By: Profit_Confidential

George Leong writes: There you have it; the latest great news out of China, I think, will help drive sales of some U.S. companies going forward.

The news? There are going to be more babies born in China over the foreseeable future. In a surprise and strategic move, the Communist Party of China decided it was time to increase its baby population and look towards the future of the country.

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Economics

Monday, November 18, 2013

Perfect Storm Brewing for Ireland’s Economy / Economics / Euro-Zone

By: Global_Research

Caoimhghin Ó Croidheáin writes: “We are now mainly borrowing to pay interest on the burgeoning national debt”[1]

While much has been made recently of Ireland’s exit from the punishing EU/IMF bailout programme, Michael Noonan, the Finance Minister, has welcomed post-bailout ‘surveillance’. Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem, said Ireland would be subjected to ‘intensive surveillance’ “twice a year, but this would involve monitoring as supposed to new measures being imposed” because “under new European budgetary rules, countries leaving a bailout will be subject to extra attention until at least 75pc of the money owed is repaid.”[2]

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Economics

Monday, November 18, 2013

Europe’s Bank Money Blues, Academics Declare War on Germany / Economics / Euro-Zone

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Well, it’s official, the economic talking head establishment has declared war on Germany. The opening shots in this battle were fired by none other than the United States Treasury Department, which had the audacity to blame Germany for a weak Eurozone recovery in its semi-annual foreign exchange report. The Treasury’s criticisms were echoed by IMF First Deputy Managing Director David Lipton, in a recent speech in Berlin — a speech so incendiary that the IMF opted to post the “original draft,” rather than his actual comments, on its website. Things were kicked into a full blitzkrieg when Paul Krugman penned his latest German-bashing New York Times column.

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Economics

Sunday, November 17, 2013

New York's Skyscraper Curse Signaling Economic Crisis / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mark_Thornton

It is now official! New York City has won the title of having the nation’s tallest structure. The heated controversy between New York and Chicago was settled recently when the Council of Tall Buildings and Urban Habitat (based in Chicago) decided that the 408-foot spire sitting atop the One World Trade Center could be included in the total height of the building.

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Economics

Sunday, November 17, 2013

The End of German Hyperinflation - 90 Years Ago / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Thorsten_Polleit

On 15 November 1923 decisive steps were taken to end the nightmare of hyperinflation in the Weimar Republic: The Reichsbank, the German central bank, stopped monetizing government debt, and a new means of exchange, the Rentenmark, was issued next to the Papermark (in German: Papiermark). These measures succeeded in halting hyperinflation, but the purchasing power of the Papermark was completely ruined. To understand how and why this could happen, one has to take a look at the time shortly before the outbreak of World War I.

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Economics

Saturday, November 16, 2013

Venezuela’s House of Cards Inflation Trending Towards Hyperinflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Steve_H_Hanke

The story of the Venezuelan economy and its troubled currency, the bolivar, can be summed up with the following phrase: “From bad to worse”—over and over again. Yes, the ever deteriorating situation in Venezuela has taken yet another turn for the worse.

In a panicked, misguided response to the country’s economic woes, Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro has requested emergency powers over the economy. And the Maduro government recently announced plans to institute a new exchange rate for tourists in an attempt to quash arbitrage-driven currency smuggling.

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Economics

Friday, November 15, 2013

East African Infrastructure Development - The Northern Corridor / Economics / Africa

By: STRATFOR

Summary

Editor's Note: This is a four-part series on the development of transport infrastructure in East Africa. The region is looking to expand its economy and increase international trade as it becomes a seemingly attractive destination for low-end manufacturing. Part 2 examines how such economic growth will necessitate the expansion and improvement of the Northern Corridor transport route.
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Economics

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

The Language of Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: John_Mauldin

My good friend Dylan Grice takes a very interesting tack in the latest issue of his Edelweiss Journal, today's Outside the Box. Rather than attacking our macroeconomic problems directly with economic tools, he approaches them from the point of view of what he calls a "subtle but significant devaluation of language." Now, you might think that the words we use to describe and understand the economy are not in themselves very powerful economic determinants, but Dylan lays out a convincing case to the contrary.

Dylan has fun with a Google app called Ngram Viewer, which allows users to search for the occurrence of words or phrases (or n-grams, which are combinations of letters) in 5.2 million books published between 1500 and 2008, containing 500 billion words, in American English, British English, French, German, Spanish, Russian, and Chinese.

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