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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Oil's Survival Of The Fittest / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

With crude oil prices collapsing and small American oil producers faced with grim choices for survival, the Darwinian nature of commodity market cycles rears its head, dictating that only the fittest will survive -- and only the fittest of the fittest will thrive. As the herd of small companies that formed the backbone of the shale boom is culled, there emerges a new focus on junior players who are sitting on prime prospects where oil can be produced at $20 per barrel or lower and still turn a healthy profit at today's prices hovering around $45 - $52 range. The biggest winners will be those investors who are stepping into the market right now, investing in conventional oil stories.

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Commodities

Monday, February 09, 2015

Crude Oil Price Capitulation Phase / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Bob_Loukas

After a long and relentless decline, the Crude market has finally enabled us to anchor its Cycles. Up until 2 weeks ago, Crude was locked in a clear crash Cycle, which made it impossible to expect anything other than a continuation of the crash. But now that Crude has reversed with a 20% rally, its moves are clearly the start of a new intermediate term Cycle.

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Commodities

Monday, February 09, 2015

Gold Price Consolidation Continues / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Alasdair_Macleod

This week precious metals continued to consolidate January's gains in volatile financial markets, with both gold and silver range-bound. Platinum and palladium are up on the week, noticeably stronger than gold and silver. Physical and paper markets appear to have been behaving differently, with prices tending to be firm in London (where physical deliveries take place) and weaker in New York (which is overwhelmingly derivative trading), though at the close of trading in New York prices appeared more often than not to steady ahead of the Asian markets opening.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 08, 2015

Gold and Silver Precious Metals Sector Pitchfork Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Submissions

Bryan Post writes: Gold and Silver had become overbought in recent weeks along with many of the mining stocks. On Friday the sector took a turn lower with Gold and Silver both dropping through major support levels.

Our trading plan doesn’t allow for shorting the precious metals sector so at this point we are waiting for the pullback to complete before taking new positions.

If you are accumulating the sector on weakness these symbols are displaying relative strength: NEM, SLW, CDE, HL and PAAS.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 08, 2015

Has Crude Oil Price Finally Bottomed? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Toby_Connor

Has oil finally bottomed? I think yes… well at least temporarily. Let me explain.

The main culprit driving the CRB and oil down over the last 7 months has been the powerful surge in the dollar.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 08, 2015

Gold Commitments of Traders and More / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

The COT report explains the reason we saw such a dramatic drop in the gold price ( along with all of the other safe havens such as bonds and the Yen) today once the payrolls number hit the wires.

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Commodities

Saturday, February 07, 2015

Gold And Silver – Forget The News. Silver $12 – 14? Gold $1,000 – 1,100? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

How are all them facts and figures about gold/silver accumulation by China, Russia, India, et al, shortages at the COMEX, LMBA for delivery of the [non-existent]physical metal, drainage of GLD, unprecedented public demand for coins, accompanied by pretty graphs and charts, working out?

Question – where are the results of all, and we mean all of the above considerations, and more? Have these factors [and they are legitimate], driven the price of gold and silver to unprecedented levels? If not unprecedented levels, have they driven the price of gold and silver to $1,400 and $25? If not, why not?

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Commodities

Saturday, February 07, 2015

Gold Chartography 101 - The Case for Gold Ownership in Ten Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_J_Kosares

... you will never see on CNBC.

"What's past is prologue." – William Shakespeare, The Tempest

These charts summarize gold's impressive performance during the tumultuous first fourteen years of the 21st century. Investors fearing some future Black Monday, a general bank or currency collapse, a 1930s-style economic depression, or a sudden and virulent inflation took precautions by purchasing gold coins and bullion as a form of portfolio insurance. Gold Chartography 101 is a record of that past. At the same time, though, it could very well be a glimpse of the future.

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Commodities

Friday, February 06, 2015

Is Russia Planning a Gold-Based Currency? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MISES

Marcia Christoff-Kurapovna writes: The “perfect-storm” of geopolitical instability, diplomatic isolation, severe currency depreciation, and economic decline now confronting Russia has profoundly damaged Moscow's international standing, and possibly for the long-term. Yet, it is precisely such conditions that may push the country’s leadership into taking the radical step that will secure its world-player status once and for all: the adoption of a gold-exchange standard.

Though a far-fetched idea at first glance, many factors suggest that remonetization in gold may be a logical next step for Moscow.

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Commodities

Friday, February 06, 2015

Gold Stocks Volume Growing / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

There’s no doubt the gold-mining stocks remain deeply out of favor, collateral damage from the Fed’s gross financial-market distortions of recent years.  But sentiment is shifting, with stock traders starting to regain interest in this left-for-dead sector.  Gold-stock trading volume is really growing as capital returns.  And since higher volume is an essential precursor to major new uplegs, its growth is a very bullish portent.

The leading gold-stock sector benchmark these days is Van Eck Global’s Gold Miners ETF, which is better known by its symbol GDX.  Its excellent basket of the world’s elite gold and silver miners, which are effectively market-capitalization weighted within this ETF, deftly mirrors the stock-market fortunes of this entire industry.  And they’ve certainly been ugly thanks to the Fed’s artificial stock-market levitation.

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Commodities

Friday, February 06, 2015

Silver Price Losing its Grip of the Recent Uptrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Joseph_Russo

Though still rising (for now) amid higher-highs and higher-lows, Silver is beginning to show signs of losing its grip on the uptrend established from its December low.

After peaking at $18.50 upon brief encounter with a well-established bearish and declining 200-day average, the dollar-price of silver today is breaching its short-term uptrend line.

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Commodities

Friday, February 06, 2015

Gold & Gold Stocks Consolidate at Resistance / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold and gold mining shares rebounded strongly from the end of December through the first three weeks of January. Over the past several weeks the sector has digested those gains while holding above rising 50-day moving averages. The sector is nearing a bit of a decision point where either a breakout could occur or further corrective activity.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 05, 2015

Long-term Relationship Between Gold and Crude Oil Price Challenged / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clif_Droke

Wall Street breathed a sigh of relief this week after a case of the jitters the last couple of weeks. Fears over a deflationary plunge in the euro zone had sparked an increased demand for safe haven assets, including gold and silver. The decline to multi-year lows in the crude oil market as recently as a few days ago also fed into investors’ desire for safety. In the last couple of days, however, those fears have at least momentarily abated as the oil price has rallied while Treasury prices and the U.S. dollar have declined. Consequently, gold and silver safe haven demand has declined in recent days.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 05, 2015

HUI Gold Stocks Chartology... Past Present and Future / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I would like to look at the precious metals complex and see how things are moving along. Consolidating would be an understatement. The PM complex has been in a very large consolidation pattern going all the way back to the June 2012 low where the HUI, GLD and SLV all bottomed together. From that low all three have been chopping in a falling type pattern making lower lows and lower highs. The combo chart below shows the three distinct but slightly different 18 month consolidation patterns starting at the June of 2013 low. The top chart shows the HUI that has yet to put in a 6th reversal point in it's big consolidation pattern. It doesn't have to have a 6th reversal point as it already has enough but if it does the top rail would come in around the 240 area.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 05, 2015

Coffee Market Brewing Something Big  / Commodities / Coffee

By: Austin_Galt

The coffee price has held up at a critical juncture and is now set to explode higher. Let’s take a look at the charts.

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