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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, February 24, 2014

Gold and Silver Juniors Mining Stocks Outperformance / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

In short: In our opinion short positions (half): gold, silver, and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Gold, silver and mining stocks didn't do much on Friday, so what we wrote in Friday's alert is generally up-to-date. However, since the week is over, we have weekly closing prices and volume levels. One of the ratios that we monitor provides a very significant indication as far as weekly price changes are concerned. Let's take a closer look (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Monday, February 24, 2014

The Coming Silver Storm: The Public Is Not Prepared / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Steve_St_Angelo

The financial sky is growing dark.  The stock markets are experiencing volatile trade winds.  The barometer of the economy grows weak as indicators point to another recession looming on the horizon.

The Precious Metal Storm is coming... unfortunately, the public is not prepared.

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Commodities

Monday, February 24, 2014

GDXJ Signals Imminent Breakout Into Major Gold and Silver Stocks Sector Uptrend... / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Clive_Maund

A lot of investors are going to miss out on the huge bullmarket advance in the Precious Metals sector that is just starting as this is written, because they are frightened of the impact of the broad market on the sector, but as we will see, the sector itself is signaling that it is going up, big time.

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Commodities

Monday, February 24, 2014

An Historical Look at Gold and Silver Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this Report would like to show you some very long term charts for some of the precious metals stocks that shows us where we’re at in the big picture. For me it’s important to know where a stock has been so I can have and idea if it’s close to a previous low or high or is it just trading in the middle of no mans land. It just provides perspective that one can use as they can then start to reduce the time lines down to the daily and even hourly charts to help make a decision on where to buy or sell a stock.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 23, 2014

Gold and Crude Oil Short-term Outlook / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Gregor_Horvat

Gold has moved well above 1300 mark, and is forming an extended leg from 1251, triangle low. Notice that we have adjusted the wave count, but we see a corrective advance from 1181 now at 1330 resistance. We are observing more simple count now this time; a zigzag with a triangle placed in wave (b). We also know that wave (b) pattern CANNOT be labeled as wave two, because triangles never occur in wave two position. So, because of that situation we are even more confident that rally is a contra-trend and that gains will be limited. A decline beneath 1290 area could be an important sign for a confirmed top.

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Commodities

Saturday, February 22, 2014

Stocks Bull Market Continues / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Tony_Caldaro

Even though it was a holiday shortened week the market finished a rally on Wednesday at SPX 1848, dipped to 1825 by Thursday, then started another rally. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.20%, the NDX/NAZ were mixed, and the DJ World index was +0.60%. Economic reports came in slightly lower for the third week in a row. On the uptick: the CPI/PPI, leading indicators, the monetary base, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the NY/Philly FED, the NAHB index, housing starts, building permits, existing home sales and the WLEI. Next week we get Q4 GDP, Durable goods orders and more Housing reports.

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Commodities

Saturday, February 22, 2014

All Eyes On Gold And China When Silver Could Be The Tipping Point / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

incense - [noun] an aromatic substance acquired from certain resinous trees with aromatic biotic materials which release fragrant smoke when burned. The odor produced from smoke is not the incense, but the substance that is burned.

Fundamentals for gold and silver have become the incense of reality for Westerners. The primary focus is on how many tonnes of gold China has been importing for the past many years, the depletion of available stocks from the central bankers straw men, aka the LMBA and COMEX, the number of coins sold by various governments to the public, [a relative drop in the bucket, but its reporting has a sensation factor], etc, etc.

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Commodities

Saturday, February 22, 2014

Gold Price Off To A Good 2014 Start / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Aden_Forecast

Gold has moved to the front burner. It's risen nearly 11% from its December low to a 3+ month high. So 2014 is off to a good start.

Gold shares stronger

Gold shares are rising even more than gold. We like gold shares and recommend buying both gold and gold shares. The upside is open to at least a decent intermediate rise.

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Commodities

Saturday, February 22, 2014

Crude Oil Price Declines Slightly / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term): In our opinion no positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Thursday, crude oil moved lower as the U.S. dollar strengthened after solid U.S. economic data and stocks of distillates fell less-than-expected. Despite this small drop, light crude still remains near a 4-month high, slightly below $103 per barrel.

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Commodities

Friday, February 21, 2014

Big Gold Stocks Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold stocks have been on fire this year, blasting higher to 2014’s pole position of best-performing sector.  And this powerful rally’s internals are looking as good as its headline gains.  The recent months’ gold-stock buying has been on big volume, with large capital inflows.  This is very bullish behavior revealing a sea change in sentiment and strong conviction among returning gold-stock investors and speculators.

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Commodities

Friday, February 21, 2014

The Counter-Intuitive Gold Play / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clif_Droke

Gold has so far enjoyed a terrific start to the New Year, most recently closing at its highest level late October 2013. It has even succeeded in closing above its psychologically significant 200-day moving average for the first time in over a year.

In summary, gold futures have risen over 12% through Feb. 18, reversing its biggest annual drop in over three decades. It also hit a three-month high on Tuesday. Holdings in ETFs backed by bullion increased by 3.2 metric tons last week - the greatest amount since December 2012 - after slumping 869.1 tons in 2013, when prices were down 28%.

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Commodities

Friday, February 21, 2014

Gold and Silver Extend Their Price Rallies Amid Escalating Chinese Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

This week has seen precious metals prices rise strongly, with the bears caught on the hop. The chart below shows gold which at the time of writing has been consolidating under overhead supply in the $1330-50 level.

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Commodities

Friday, February 21, 2014

Extreme Cold Weather Boosting Natural Gas Profits / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: DailyGainsLetter

Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: Just like any other commodity, natural gas prices are affected by supply and demand metrics. If demand increases and supply remains the same (or declines), you have a perfect recipe for higher prices. Since the beginning of the year, this commodity’s prices are up more than 40%!

Before you start judging where the prices will go next, you have to see what kind of factors can affect the demand or supply. Consider gold prices, for example. If the demand for gold increases and, at the same time, there’s a discovery of a major mine—the prices may not move as much as anticipated if the mine wasn’t discovered. The reason behind this is simple: there’s supply to meet the demand.

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Commodities

Friday, February 21, 2014

Gold, Silver, Acceleration and Money Velocity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The wall of fiat money created over the last five years is staggering, offset only by the stasis that pervades its exchange. Money velocity is the key variable that will signal the character of confidence and the next wave of inflation.

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Commodities

Friday, February 21, 2014

The Probability That the Gold & Silver Miners Bear Market is Over is Now High / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Rory_Gillen

It’s been a tough bear market for the gold and silver miners. The Philadelphia Gold & Silver Miners Index (XAU) reached a weekly high in April 2011 (225.79) and declined some 64% peak to trough by December 2013 (weekly low 80.43). After an 11-year bull market in the gold price from 2001 to 2013, which took it from $255 a troy ounce to a peak of $1,900 an ounce and back to $1,300 currently, the gold miners are not just back to 2001 levels, but also the mid-1980s levels. In other words, the gold and silver miners have not added value for investors over the long-term, and even a quadrupling in the gold price in the 2000s did not see them deliver higher and sustainable earnings, cash flows and dividends for investors.
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