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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2014

Gold and Silver Bottoming Out? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

The signs are good. With record short positions in gold and silver, hedge funds and algorithmic traders should be worried at the lack of price confirmation: gold is holding well above its bear-market lows and silver is refusing to weaken into new low ground.

The first chart is of the Managed Money short positions in gold futures on Comex, and the second is of silver futures.

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Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2014

Gold and Silver Stocks Begin Next Leg Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Yes you read that correctly. The miners have begun another leg higher because the evidence strongly supports the view that they have formed a higher low. Only time will tell for sure but the evidence is quite strong. It seems that every analyst was calling for a July low. I felt strongly that the miners would make their next low after Gold broke below $1200. I was far more confident in the bullish case at the June 2013 and December 2013 bottoms. I was even skeptical after Tuesday’s upside explosion. However, the weight of the evidence today argues that the miners have made a higher low and are starting their next leg higher. 

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2014

Gold Junior Miners Breaking Through Resistance to The Upside / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Jeb_Handwerger

The gold (GLD) and silver (SLV) price may be reversing over the next couple of weeks. The junior miner gold ETF (GDXJ) is reversing above the 50 day moving average and breaking above its recent three month downtrend.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2014

BRICS Gold Central Bank Outpost / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jim_Willie_CB

While the West has been mesmerized by the chaos in Ukraine, surely to become an implosion site, while attention has been directed on the Negative Interest Rate Policy coming into view, surely to become the norm for banker skimming on yields, while focus has been on Spain's royalty in abdication, surely a change of the dark nobility guard, the Jackass has yawned and turned the view toward Saudi Arabia, surely a significant event on their fund news. They have announced a new sovereign wealth fund to be established, independent of their central bank, devoted to prudent investment. Read Gold investment. The indication is clear movement away from the USDollar and USTreasury Bond complex.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2014

The World's Five Most Important Oil Fields / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Much has been made about the role that hydraulic fracturing – or fracking -- has played in revolutionizing the energy landscape, unlocking vast new reserves of oil trapped in shale rock. This "tight oil" is pouring into the global pool of oil supplies at a crucial time, preventing oil prices from spiking in an age of high demand and geopolitical turmoil.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2014

Gold & Silver Miners Break Out Despite U.S. Dollar's Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion no speculative positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

The precious metals market moved higher yesterday, which was in tune with what we've been expecting. The key question is if gold, silver and mining stocks have completed their rally or are they still likely to move higher before turning south again.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2014

What Gold Investments Casey Research Staff Are Buying This Summer / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jeff_Clark

I ran across a business show last week that advertised that its guests would give out stock picks. That piqued my curiosity, so I watched to see what they would recommend.

For disclosure purposes, a chart was shown that listed if the speaker, his family, his fund, or his clients owned the stock. By the end of the show, I was flabbergasted—not one speaker owned any stock they recommended!

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2014

Will Import Taxes on Solar Panels Hamper Silver Price Ability to Rally? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Bob_Kirtley

Background
Investors are disillusioned by the inability of silver prices to rise to higher ground as silver enters its 4th year of looking anything but sparkling. As a silver bug I think that we have suffered long enough but finding the ignition that will set silver on fire is proving to be difficult. There are a myriad of factors to consider before making an investment in silver such as: supply and demand, price manipulation, industrial usage, jewelry, investment, various metrics such as the gold/silver price ratio, etc. The list is almost endless so today we will look at just one of them which we think is important; the imposition of import duties on solar panels.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

GOLD Price Could Test $1000 - Elliott Wave Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Gregor_Horvat

GOLD Weekly

Gold is in sharp reversal mode from all time highs after a completed big five wave rally, so current pullback is probably corrective. We are tracking two counts, where both suggests another leg down. The primary labeling suggests that market is now in sub-wave 4) of (C) that could bottom around 1000 psychological level at the end of the year, or maybe in 2014.

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Commodities

Monday, June 09, 2014

U.S. Bank’s Silver Short Positions send Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Submissions

Gold Reporter writes: U.S. Bank’s net short positions have dropped to lowest value in at least 5 years. Could indicate short term anti-cyclic buy signal.

In early June, U.S. banks trading future-contracts at the COMEX, only held a total of 13,234 contracts in net short positions, which equals 2,057 tons of silver forward-sales and depicts the lowest value since Goldreporter started analyzing the monthly data 5 years ago (see chart). For comparison: In February 2013 U.S. banks were 6,249 tons short!

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Commodities

Monday, June 09, 2014

Gold Bullish Summer Seasonals for July, August and September 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clive_Maund

Although gold remains on the defensive following its latest breakdown, the longer-term outlook remains very good. We can see why on the 2 long-term charts shown below.

On the 14-year log chart the retreat from the 2011 highs still looks like a correction within an ongoing major uptrend - which is not an unreasonable interpretation given that they have not stopped printing money. Gold looks like it has been basing over the past year above its long-term uptrend line, and at this point it looks like the support level at last year's lows at about $1180 will hold, although there are reasons why we could see near-term weakness towards this support that we will consider shortly.

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Commodities

Monday, June 09, 2014

Silver Price Bottom Targets $37.5 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clive_Maund

The public are now extremely bearish on silver, with a widespread perception that it is "done for", but as we will see, even if there is some further short-term weakness, the longer-term outlook for silver is very bright indeed.

On its 14-year chart, which shows all of the bullmarket in silver from its inception, we can see that, although the drop from the 2011 peak has been severe, involving losses of more than 60% from the highs, it has not thus far resulted in a breakdown from its long-term uptrend, which remains intact. Over the past year silver appears to have been basing in the zone of strong support shown with its supporting long-term trendline gradually coming into play to provide additional support. This is in fact the perfect setup for a major new uptrend to begin, and the only further supporting factor required is a favorable COT structure - and that we now have.

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Commodities

Monday, June 09, 2014

Gold and Silver Divergence vs Stock Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this report I would like to look at some charts for the precious metals complex and some stock markets that have been moving opposite to each since the PM sector topped out in 2011.

PRECIOUS METALS

First lets look at a daily chart for gold that shows the bearish blue falling wedge that broke down about two weeks ago. Right now it's in the process of backtesting the bottom rail around the 1265 area, I also drew in a thin black dashed horizontal line under all the previous lows at 1280, which should also act as resistance if the bottom rail of the falling wedge gets strongly backtested. The all important 150 moving average comes in today at 1279.65. As you can see from the March high gold has been making lower lows and lower highs for the most part which constitutes a downtrend.

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Commodities

Monday, June 09, 2014

Negative Interest Rates Fail to Change Trend in Silver - MAP Wave Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Marc_Horn

I have found some time to update silver and gold, and last weeks negative interest rate announcement by the ECB managed no more than to affect the centi fractal wave scale, not even putting a blip on the deci wave scale! The downtrend continues and I am beyond words about the stupidity of the decision. WE ARE IN A DEFLATIONAY SPIRAL GLOBALLY and even though critics will argue. This is confirmation of information that we have all known for a long time, however if there is one thing guaranteed - politiicans will only act once it is too late - CRISIS MANAGEMENT! I suspect France was pushing hard, as the French economy is now officially even LESS PRODUCTIVE than Greece!
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Commodities

Sunday, June 08, 2014

Crude Oil Price Turns Bearish / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Gregor_Horvat

Crude Oil has turned bearish recently, away from 104.00-104.50 resistance where we were looking for a wave (d) high. Notice that market turned nicely down, through the support channel line that confirms the bearish view for a three wave drop into wave (e) back to 100-101 area. Once those levels will be seen, we will turn bullish as big triangle since March could then be near completion. At the moment we see wave c) down in progress so triangle can already be in final stages.

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