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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, September 20, 2014

Gold And Silver - Current Price Is The Story / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

Forget all the news, all the fundamentals, all the [mostly errant] price projections. There is a reason why a picture is worth more than 1,000 words, and this is one of those times where it is best to focus on pictures of the market, over various time frames, to get a better handle on what to expect moving forward. Put to rest every so-called PMs pundit or blogger that has persistently been calling for higher prices or saying the low is in.

We keep saying that the best and most reliable indicators come from the market. Time to stop listening about what others have been saying about the market and pay closer attention to what the market is saying about others. Several months ago, we expressed the thought that 2014 would likely be more like 2013 and to not expect a dramatic increase in gold and silver prices. Even that was optimistic as silver just reached recent 4 year lows.

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Commodities

Saturday, September 20, 2014

Russian Sanctions 'Putin' Pressure On Uranium Supply / Commodities / Uranium

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Summary

  1. Spot uranium price rebounding strong over the past few weeks, rallying more than $3 per lb or more than 10% in a short timespan.
  2. End users such as the nuclear utilities with deep pockets need safe and secure long term supplies from stabile jurisdictions.
  3. Recent sanctions with Russia could already be putting pressure on uranium supply. Europe and the U.S. relied on cheap uranium from Russia for decades.
  4. What happens when the cheap uranium runs out? Look for off take agreements, M&A and strategic equity investments in junior uranium miners.
  5. Sanctions on Russia and Putin could be putting pressure on the supply side of uranium.
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Commodities

Saturday, September 20, 2014

Cheap Gold Stocks Upleg Intact / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold stocks have plunged in September, crushed by the withering selling pressure from heavy futures shorting hammering gold.  As usual, these falling prices have kindled extreme bearishness on this left-for-dead sector.  But despite this rotten sentiment, gold stocks’ young upleg remains very much intact technically.  This impressive resiliency is fueled by these miners’ incredibly-cheap fundamental valuations.

Gold stocks are without a doubt the most despised sector in all the stock markets.  Thanks to the Fed’s brazen debt monetizations and manipulations of interest rates, the global markets are distorted beyond belief.  Stock markets have soared to extreme valuations on the Fed’s implied backstopping, leading to epic complacency, greed, and hubris.  That artificial levitation sucked vast capital out of alternative investments.

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Commodities

Saturday, September 20, 2014

The London Gold Pool - 1961 to 1968 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Of course the Gold Price is manipulated, that's the point!

By the beginning of the 1960s, the U.S.$ 35 = 1 oz. Gold price was becoming more and more difficult to sustain. Gold demand was rising and U.S. Gold reserves were falling, both as a result of the ever increasing trade deficits which the U.S. continued to run with the rest of the world.

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Commodities

Friday, September 19, 2014

Finding Zero / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

“If you want to find the secrets of the universe, think in terms of energy, frequency and vibration.”
― Nikola Tesla

The silver market is always one day from panic. The same could be said for the bond market or the dollar. In the age of electronic price discovery and massive reckless monetary Imbalance anything can happen - and it probably will. 

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Commodities

Friday, September 19, 2014

Another Miserable Week for Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Gold and silver drifted lower over the course of the week, with a challenge to the $1200 level for gold becoming a distinct possibility. Silver is struggling to hold $18.50. Mainstream opinion has been negative for commodities generally, with a strong dollar undermining them. Brent crude, for example, is now well under $100.

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Commodities

Friday, September 19, 2014

Bird's Eye View of the Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Since last summer, investing in the mining sector has been akin to riding a mini roller coaster. There have been two huge rallies, two sudden and sharp declines while more than a handful of individual stocks have rebounded over 200% from their lows. Nevertheless, as we noted a few weeks ago the weakness of the metals won out and are dictating the terms. Since we covered the metals in our last missive we wanted to focus soley on the miners. A look at the bear market analog chart as well as a very long-term chart of GDM illustrates the coming risks and opportunities.

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Commodities

Friday, September 19, 2014

Silver Price at Critical Juncture / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Austin_Galt

Silver has just kept tanking and tanking over the last couple of months. And taking my silver longs with it. It's been painful stuff. That will teach me to trade against the trend. It's certainly a different picture to all the hooting and hollering of the bulls back in June.

Silver is now back to just above its major yearly low of US$18.17 set in 2013. I often remark how the market likes to take things to the extreme and once again we have a clear case of that here. So, we are now at a critical juncture. If price were to break to new yearly lows now then price would likely capitulate. I just do not see this happening. Let's investigate.

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Commodities

Friday, September 19, 2014

Silver - Almost Time to Backup the Truck and Load up / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Joseph_Russo

The following is a plausible forecast / prediction

Despite my known disdain for time and price predictions, I base the plausible forecast for an October 2014 generational low in the dollar-denominated value of Silver upon the cyclical duration of a prior elongated bear market that occurred from May 1968 thru November 1971.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 18, 2014

Silver Price: A Collapse and a Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

Complaint From A Silver Bull

The last 3 plus years have been difficult. My faith in the silver bull market and my fear of fiat currencies has been shattered. There is no joy in "Silverville" - nothing but worry and despair!

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Commodities

Thursday, September 18, 2014

Silver Buyers Keep Stacking And Demand Higher Despite Falling Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

The silver price has remained subdued this year, falling just less than 5% year-to-date, and is now near a 14 month low. Naturally, investor psychology has been affected by the price weakness.

Quoted today in Bloomberg News, Mark O’Byrne, director of GoldCore said that “sentiment remains quite bad in the silver market.”

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Commodities

Thursday, September 18, 2014

Monetary Policy Weighs on Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Bob_Kirtley

Background

Gold has an inverse relationship with the US Dollar so when the dollar declines gold rises. The dollar is affected by monetary policy as decided by the various central bankers across the planet. We recently covered the effect of the European version of QE with an article entitled; ‘Why ECB QE Is Bearish For Gold Prices’ so today we will take a quick look at the ramifications for the precious metals sector emanating from the monetary policy meeting of the Federal Reserve held today.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 18, 2014

Gold Price Hammered by Strong U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clive_Maund

The Pope just observed that the situation in the world today amounts to a Third World War - he's right and although he didn't point the finger, we know what it's all about - the maintenance and imposition of the dollar as the dominant world currency, by diplomacy or by force as deemed necessary. We will come to these geopolitical considerations later as they of course have huge implications for the dollar and thus for Precious Metals.

As you probably know we had expected gold and silver to start picking up in the last update, for various reasons, the most important of which was that they are at important support at the most bullish time of year, seasonally, for the Precious Metals, but the dollar rally accelerated even more, driving gold and silver still lower and deeper into key support which is now being severely tested. If the dollar continues higher then gold and silver could crash key support, but this doesn't look likely short-term because the dollar is now critically overbought and needs to take a breather.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 18, 2014

It’s Not the Fed Taking Gold Down, but the Vote in Scotland / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Some of you might be wondering what happened to gold at the 4pm (MDT) open, particularly in light of the rather benign, steady-as-she-goes Fed announcement. This looks like it might have to do with the Scotland independence vote in the UK tomorrow. [One man's opinion] A late poll has the vote closing to 51% (No) – 49% (Yes). In other words a complete toss-up with the Yes vote gaining momentum going into tomorrow’s proceedings.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

Gold Report - U.S. National Debt Surges $1 Trillion In Just 12 Months / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

The U.S. financial position continues to deteriorate badly and in the last 12 months has increased by over $1 trillion dollars.

Nick Laird of Sharelynx has just reproduced his fascinating and timely chart showing the US debt limit, the actual US debt and the gold price all in one chart. From 2000 until around the first quarter of 2013, there was a very strong and close correlation between the growth of the US national debt and the rise in the US dollar gold price.

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