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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Sunday, May 24, 2015

Gold : Truth is Stranger than Fiction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

Below is a combo chart that has gold on top and silver on the bottom. This chart goes back to the bull market top for both gold and silver and the bear market that ensued. Silver topped out in April of 2013 with gold topping out in September of the same year. Their first bear market consolidation patterns were rectangles and both broke down at the same time. From that initial low in June of 2013 they both started to form consolidation patterns and that’s where they parted ways. Silver built out a 15 month 6 point triangle consolidation pattern before it broke down. The bottom rail of the 6 point triangle consolidation pattern has held resistance for nine months or so. The first thing that would get me excited about silver would be if it could take out the apex of the blue triangle above 18.65. Below the apex bearish and above bullish.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 23, 2015

What You Know for Certain - Huge Demand for Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

If there is any certainty in the world, [and there is very little], it is that the demand for gold and silver is at its highest and has been running at a fevered pitch for several years. From John Keats "Ode On A Grecian Urn," "...that is all ye know on earth, and all ye need to know." Anything else stems from subjective conclusions drawn from lying politicians, no matter the source or government. They all lie under the aegis of political diplomacy. For Obama and his entire administration there is very little diplomacy, so mostly just lies.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 23, 2015

Gold Miners Fail at 200-day Moving Average / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Last week we wrote that the precious metals complex had not broken out yet and had more work to do before it could attempt a true breakout. The metals had some more upside and so did the shares. However, the poor performance of the shares this past week could warn of a larger reversal.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 23, 2015

Gold Price Primary Driver Bullish / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold has been fairly volatile so far this year, seeing plenty of big daily surges and selloffs.  But with all these largely netting out to the sideways grind of recent months, gold’s price action has been frustrating for bullish and bearish traders alike.  Gaming gold in these strange central-bank-distorted times requires closely watching its primary driver, the collective bets of American futures speculators.  They portend a rally.

Just last week, the venerable World Gold Council published its latest comprehensive analysis of global gold supply and demand.  The intersection of these core fundamentals ultimately determines prevailing gold price levels.  And since bringing new gold mines online takes well over a decade, supply levels only change very gradually.  So gold prices are mostly determined by the shifting tides on the demand side.

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Commodities

Friday, May 22, 2015

BitGold - Imitation Is the Sincerest Form of Flattery / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Peter_Schiff

To hear BitGold founders Joshua Crumb or Roy Sebag talk about their new company, one would think they came up with the idea of individuals transacting in gold or using a debit card to access their gold holdings on their own. While I agree it’s a good idea, it’s certainly not original. 

I first began writing about this concept in my 2007 book, “Crash Proof: How to Profit from the Coming Economic Collapse”. I put it into effect with the establishment of my offshore bank, Euro Pacific Bank. In fact, BitGold is simply hoping to expand on my existing platform, which expanded on concepts first pioneered by e-gold and GoldMoney (which BitGold just purchased using its vastly overpriced stock).

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Commodities

Friday, May 22, 2015

Gold and Silver Rally Consolidates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Gold and silver rallied strongly last Friday and into Monday's overnight trading (UK time) before spending the rest of the week drifting lower from initial highs to consolidate above notional support at $1200 and $17 respectively. As of first thing this morning, UK time in US dollars gold is now up 2.2% and silver 10.2% on the year.

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Commodities

Friday, May 22, 2015

Gold Lifeboat to Global Economies “Titanic Problem” Warn HSBC / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

-“The world economy is like an ocean liner without lifeboats …” – HSBC
- Four areas of high risk identified by HSBC
- Risk of stock market crash
- Pension funds and insurers may not meet obligations
- Chinese recession may drag U.S. into recession or depression
- Premature rate rise would expose very fragile global economy
- “There aren’t enough lifeboats to go round”
- Gold vital lifeboat when global ship strikes iceberg  

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Commodities

Thursday, May 21, 2015

New World Currency Backed By Gold or Silver? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Chris_Vermeulen

History has proven that 100% of fiat currencies have failed the test of time. The average life span of a fiat currency is 40-50 years. With the US dollar now in it’s 44th year it makes you wonder if the end of the greenback is near.

The only money that has held the test of time has been asset-backed currencies using gold. Or through owning gold and silver bullion.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 21, 2015

Gold “Less Sexy” Than Bitcoin … For Now - GoldCore on CNBC / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- “There is a global financial bubble”
– Stock markets and bond markets at all time record highs
– Medium to long term, gold’s “fundamentals look very sound”

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Commodities

Thursday, May 21, 2015

This Innovation Will Help U.S. Companies Win The Oil Price War / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: OilPrice_Com

Although some US oil companies are struggling with low oil prices, a new wave of innovation is hitting the oil patch, allowing for a significant reduction in drilling costs.

A variety of different improvements in production are starting to show up at all levels across the industry from small firms to oil majors. Statoil for example recently noted that it is experimenting with different types of sand and chemicals to improve production. And a number of companies have noted that they are moving from drilling wells one at a time, on an ad hoc basis, to drilling multiple wells at once. GE Oil & Gas has produced variable-use pumps that can be turned on and off in order to save energy versus the previous 24-hour a day operation cycle.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 21, 2015

The US Dollar and the Precious Metals Complex / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

The first chart I would like to show you today is the long term monthly chart for the US Dollar I showed you a week or two ago. It was coming into contact with the top rail of a massive 30 year falling wedge at 93.50. I also drew in a neckline extension rail taken from the H&S top that formed back in 2000 which came in at 92. I put the little brown box to show you where I was hoping to find support. So far the top rail is doing its thing by reversing its role to what had been resistance to now support once it was broken to the upside. This is a critical test taking place right here which so far the US dollar bulls are winning.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 21, 2015

Gold GLD ETF Drawdown Continues Unabated / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

The giant gold ETF, GLD, reported yet another drawdown in its holdings this afternoon. This time around it was a 3 tons reduction bringing the total holdings to 715.26 tons. That is now up a mere 6.24 tons since the start of the year levels, a far cry from its peak in February of a 64 ton increase on the year.

There is no way to spin this to make it the least bit friendly for the cause of gold.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

It’s Time to Hold More Cash and Buy Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- Bank of America advises owning gold
- Markets in “Twilight Zone” transition period
- Fed policy normalisation poses risks
- Own gold and cash to protect against “cleansing drop in asset prices”
- Data show markets disconnected from reality
- Fragile system vulnerable to shock
- Gold is hedge against systemic risks

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Are US Shale Oil Drillers Actually Making A Comeback? / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: OilPrice_Com

Oil prices have rebounded strongly since March. The benchmark WTI prices soared by more than 36 percent in two months, and Brent has jumped by more than 25 percent. There is a newfound bullishness in the oil markets – net long positions on Brent crude have hit multi-year highs in recent weeks on a belief that US supply is on its way down.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Three Hidden Forces Pushing Crude Oil Price Back Up / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: The overall trajectory for oil prices remains upward, despite taking a breather today. I still see prices reaching $65-68 for West Texas Intermediate (WTI, the benchmark traded on the NYMEX) and $73-78 for Dated Brent (the other major benchmark set daily in London).

But this is hardly going to be a straight, linear rise. Rather, it’s going to occur in what I call a “ratcheting” pattern: occasionally jerking downward along the way.

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