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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, November 26, 2014

Follow The Sand To The Real Fracking Boom / Commodities / Fracking

By: OilPrice_Com

When it takes up to four million pounds of sand to frack a single well, it's no wonder that demand is outpacing supply and frack sand producers are becoming the biggest behind-the-scenes beneficiaries of the American oil and gas boom.

Demand is exploding for "frac sand"--a durable, high-purity quartz sand used to help produce petroleum fluids and prop up man-made fractures in shale rock formations through which oil and gas flows--turning this segment into the top driver of value in the shale revolution.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 25, 2014

Swiss Gold Referendum A Golden Opportunity for Switzerland / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Thorsten_Polleit

The referendum on the Swiss Gold Initiative will take place on November 30.1 The Initiative demands the following: (1) The Swiss National Bank (SNB) shall be prohibited from selling any of its gold reserves; (2) the SNB’s gold reserves must be stored in Switzerland; and (3) the SNB must keep at least 20 percent of its assets in gold (i.e., the “20-percent rule”).

The balance sheet of the SNB currently amounts to 522.3bn CHF (Swiss francs), with its gold holdings and claims from gold transactions amounting to 39.4bn CHF. The share of gold of the SNB’s assets is therefore about 7.5 percent — substantially lower than what the Initiative calls for.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 25, 2014

Silver: What COT Analysis Tells Us / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

Each week the CFTC publishes a Commitments of Traders Report (COT) in which “non-commercial” and “commercial” long and short futures positions are reported.  Many people have expressed doubts as to the validity, accuracy and consistency of the data.  However, my experience is that the data is mostly relevant, accurate, and useful in the long term, but not necessarily important each week.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, November 25, 2014

U.S. Dollar Near Top? Gold and Silver Trading, Platinum Breakout Invalidation / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion no speculative positions are currently justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Yesterday was a day when the precious metals market took a breather, but it's not true that nothing changed at all. Friday's breakout in platinum was invalidated. Is this a "short again" signal?

In short, not really, because this signal - even though it's bearish - is not enough to make the situation very bearish on its own.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, November 25, 2014

Gold Price Forecast 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: EWI

Greetings,

I just read a special report on a major market development you should be aware of, right now ......

A potentially BIG near- to intermediate-term opportunity in GOLD, a market no one else wants to talk about.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, November 25, 2014

The Swiss Referendum On Gold: What’s Missing From The Debate / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldSilverWorlds

This article is written by Eric Schreiber, independent asset manager, former head of commodities UBP, former head of precious metals Credit Suisse Zurich. All views expressed are his and may not reflect those of his former employers.

The Swiss will vote on a referendum on November 30th that would ban the Swiss National Bank (SNB) from selling current and future gold reserves, repatriate foreign stored gold holdings to Switzerland, and mandate that gold must comprise a minimum of 20% of central bank assets. The SNB does not usually comment on political referendums. However, in this case it has done so quite vocally.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, November 25, 2014

Where Is the Price of Crude Oil Price Going? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Long positions with a stop-loss at $72.78 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Friday, crude oil gained 0.47% as Thursday's solid U.S. data and talks that OPEC may consider trimming production continued to support the commodity. As a result, light crude left the recent consolidation and closed the day above $76. Will we see a rally to $80 in the coming days?

On Friday, crude oil climbed to an intraday high of $77.83 as the combination of solid U.S. data continued to support the commodity. How did this increase affected the very short-term picture of crude oil? (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Monday, November 24, 2014

The Gold Clock is Ticking in Switzerland / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Peter_Schiff

For most of my career in international investing, I had always placed a great deal of faith in Switzerland's financial markets. In recent years, however, as the Swiss government has sought to hitch its wagon to the flailing euro currency and kowtow increasingly to U.S.-based financial requirements, this faith has been shaken. But this week (November 30th) a referendum in Switzerland on whether its central bank will be required to hold at least 20% of its reserves in gold, will offer ordinary Swiss citizens a rare opportunity to reclaim their country's strong economic heritage. It's a vote that few outside Switzerland are following, but the outcome could make an enormous impact on the global economy.

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Commodities

Monday, November 24, 2014

Why Gold Price is Headed Much Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Pento

What really drives the price of gold? Some say it's a fear gauge. Others prefer to look at the demand coming from the Indian wedding season. But the silliest of all conclusions to reach is that the dollar price of gold should be determined solely by its value vis-à-vis another fiat currency.

The truth is the primary driver of gold is the intrinsic value of the dollar itself, not its value on the Dollar Index (DXY). The intrinsic value of the dollar can be determined by the level of real interest rates. Real interest rates are calculated by subtracting the rate of inflation from a country's "risk free" sovereign yield. Right now the level of real interest rates in the U.S. is a negative 1.55%.

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Commodities

Monday, November 24, 2014

The 2014 Crude Oil Price Crash Explained / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Raul_I_Meijer

This is an article by our good friend Euan Mearns at the University of Aberdeen. It was originally published here .

  • In February 2009 Phil Hart published on The Oil Drum a simple supply demand model that explained then the action in the oil price. In this post I update Phil’s model to July 2014 using monthly oil supply (crude+condensate) and price data from the Energy Information Agency (EIA).
  • This model explains how a drop in demand for oil of only 1 million barrels per day can account for the fall in price from $110 to below $80 per barrel.
  • The future price will be determined by demand, production capacity and OPEC production constraint. A further fall in demand of the order 1 Mbpd may see the price fall below $60. Conversely, at current demand, an OPEC production cut of the order 1 Mbpd may send the oil price back up towards $100. It seems that volatility has returned to the oil market.
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Commodities

Monday, November 24, 2014

122 Tonnes of Gold Secretly Repatriated to Netherlands / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

The Dutch central bank said Friday it is repatriating some of its gold reserves from the U.S., making it the latest central bank in Europe to address public concerns about the safety of its gold in the wake of the eurozone debt crisis.

As the debate regarding whether or not Switzerland should keep the bulk of its gold reserves at home on Swiss soil reaches it's climax - the referendum takes place on Sunday - it is telling that the Dutch announced on Friday that they have just secretly repatriated 122 tonnes of their sovereign gold reserves from New York back to Amsterdam.

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Commodities

Monday, November 24, 2014

Gold, Silver, and Blue Dollars / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

“Whether the single medium is gold, silver, seashells, cattle, or tobacco is optional, depending on the context and development of a given economy. In fact, all have been employed, at various times, as media of exchange. Even in the present century, two major commodities, gold and silver, have been used as international media of exchange, with gold becoming the predominant one. Gold, having both artistic and functional uses and being relatively scarce, has significant advantages over all other media of exchange.

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Commodities

Monday, November 24, 2014

Gold Golden Gains Come After The Pain / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Richard_Mills

HUI/Gold Ratio, National Inflation Association

When the HGR is rising, gold stocks are outperforming gold. Conversely when the HGR is falling, gold is outperforming gold stocks.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 23, 2014

Why Crude Oil $80 Is the New Normal, Reasons Saudi Arabia Will Not “Swing” / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_Butter

Now the dust from the Shock & Awe of the 30% drop in oil prices has started to settle, two things are clear: (a) Saudi Arabia did not engineer anything (b) they don’t have a Machiavellian plan to stick one up the wildcatters in North Dakota, or the Russians...the Iranians...the Venezuelans, or even the genius from the Daily Telegraph who was bemoaning the fact that if oil prices go down it will be hard to import inflation into U.K.
Here are five good reasons why they are going to pass on the opportunity to slash their oil production by 30% so that other OPEC members can cheat and make a windfall, like they all did in 1987/8.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 23, 2014

Who’s Ready For $30 Crude Oil Price? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Raul_I_Meijer

How low can and will oil prices go, and what will the effects of those prices be? I bet you’ll have a hard time finding even just two people who have the same opinion on that. Not that it’s merely a matter of opinion, mind you, there are a great number of real life factors that come into play. It’s not an easy game.

OPEC gets together next week, and it’s a cartel divided. Many if not most of its members are suffering some kind of losses at present prices, and the obvious choice seems to be to cut output in order to raise prices again. But that’s not easy either, because at lower prices they need more output, not less, to minimize the damage. Besides, is non-OPEC producers don’t cut their output, OPWC cuts may do very little to lift prices.

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