Analysis Topic: Market Oracle's Stocks PortfolioThe analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, July 10, 2007
On the face of it, it seemed like a great idea: an insurance policy for investment portfolios. No wonder it was popular with the Wall Street crowd. Unfortunately, it was not until the strategy was put to the test in the fall of 1987 that its many shortcomings came to light. By then, of course, it was too late.
“Portfolio insurance” was first developed more than two decades ago in an attempt to limit the damage caused by significant share-price declines. Previously, fund managers found it hard to adjust quickly to sudden market turbulence, mainly because of practical issues associated with rebalancing large portfolios at a time when technological solutions were limited and communications networks sluggish.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 15, 2007
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 11, 2007
The markets seem to be undecided. I wish there would be a good old-fashioned correction so I would feel comfortable spending some money.
Gold: Last Monday would have been a good time to pick up some gold. I didn't get my order in so I'm hoping to see a little bit more downside so I can buy at a slightly better price.
I am bullish on gold so I always buy when the price gets close to the 180-day Moving Average and I back up the truck and load it when the "Accum" trigger is hit, now at -.37. If you are building your portfolio, now would be a good time to buy some gold.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 06, 2007
I'm late with my post since I was at a remote, isolated Costa Rican jungle location on vacation last week. What a surprise it was to pick up a copy of the jungle news after a week of isolation and read that CNBC was being sold to the Chinese National Broadcasting Company, hell, they don't even need to change the call letters! It's really interesting to get away while the markets melt down.
OK, I lied. Staying at the Four Seasons Resort Peninsula Papagayo, Guanacaste, Costa Rica is living in the lap of luxury. I saw the market melt down between golf, swimming, good food, drinks, sailing, reading, windsurfing and monkey watching. Too awesome to describe here. What was interesting, however, was that the resort seemed to empty out on Tuesday. Not sure why but I'm speculating that a number of the guests were in some way intimately tied to the markets...."Dear, I believe we may need to cut this vacation short as I've got to get back to New York/London to check our hedge fund...We're short a few Yen/Swissies and long mortgages and stocks". Gulp.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 25, 2007
The Permanent Portfolio fund hit a new record high this week, again.
Gold: I just love it when gold moves up like this. Not only does the value of my portfolio go up a lot but I get a warm-positive feeling that there are people out there in the world that understand that gold is precious. I'm not buying or selling right now. I am bullish on gold so I always buy when the price gets close to the 180-day Moving Average and I back up the truck and load it when the "Accum" trigger is hit, now at -.37.
If you are building your portfolio, you might want to wait for the next dip. If you are in sell-mode the past few days would have been a good time to sell a few coins to get you through the month. If you are balancing your Permanent Portfolio to get gold to 25% selling now is OK. Put the proceeds into the Long Bond or into whatever class you are short.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 18, 2007
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 11, 2007Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 16, 2006
Stock Portfolio Update - Portfolio Roars ahead as the FTSE Makes NEW 5 Year high / Portfolio / Investing
Against expectations the FTSE continues to march higher to new highs, pushing the Market Oracle portfolio higher with it. The portfolio is now up over 40% on a 12 month basis (dividends) reinvested.
Despite getting itchy fingers with regards some of the gains racked up. I am again not making any changes to the portfolio, other than the inclusion of the speculative online poker stock Party Gaming, which is showing a small loss.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 05, 2006
Over 65% off the price of PartyGaming ! An opportunity presents itself !
Partygaming gets maybe 60% to 75% of its revenue from the USA, so it will initially be a big hit to revenues and prices, but over the last 6 months it has expanded its overseas base by some 150% earning $150 mill in revenue! So given that were investing rather than playing poker, it is conceivable that they will be back to $1.6 billion of revenue within 2 years which would suggest a price of some £1.60 ! Much higher than the current low of 37p !!! Okay the dividend has now been removed ! which given the circumstances is expected.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 12, 2006
The portfolio surprises to the upside by making exceptional gains since June 06!
As 'safe' blue chip stocks come back into vague the marketoracle portfolio benefits from this shift in market sentiment, posting an overall gain of 10% since June alone ! Additionally the portfolio earns £294.40 in income.
Given the surge in prices, I cannot at this point see any thing appealing for the long-run, though the online gambling stocks as a speculative interest would make a good addition at the the right price.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 25, 2006
The portfolio was expected to decline a little given the drop in the market during May / June 06, but two stocks going strongly against the grain result an overall gain - TATE up some 40p to £5.93 and Enodis the speculative pick up over 60p !!! at £2.11 Dividends - Rolled in this month totaling £205.39 !, with LLOYS topped the list paying at a whopping £117 !, then came BATS at £66, hmmm BATS, I am starting to think it may have been a mistake to liquidate BATS in April, luckily the price is a little lower now, so it may be worth recommitting for the long-run !
For this portfolio update I will look at what to do with some of the £11k in cash, time to go looking for some cheap stocks, I would love to add to it the United Utilities holding but this is already the largest single investment, as well as wanting to take a closer look at why Enodis rallied so much.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 30, 2006
The portfolio has continued to perform well beyond expectations, with the stocks running well ahead during the most favorable seasonal period of the 12 month stock market cycle, resulting in a 15% gain to date ! Dividend income is also coming on stream with the portfolio receiving some £200 in income, with further large dividends expected in the coming months from the likes of Lloyds TSB and United Utilities.
Time to Take Some ProfitsIn advance of the expected downturn some of the stronger performing stocks are being liquidated so as to lock in some profits, as of last Fridays closing prices as below. The remaining positions will be held throughout the market downturn for the long-term.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 04, 2006
The expected seasonal rally boosted the model stock portfolio by 9% in just over 2 months, this is much better than expected !. The strongest performance was amongst the commodities stocks namely TATE and BLT, with UU contributing a strong 9%. The weakest performer was the small speculative stock holding in Enodis.Overall the portfolio is up some £1804 - AFTER charges, and we have yet to receive any dividend income !
So where to next ?The analysis on the FTSE posted recently suggests the bull market is set to continue, so there is no reason to make any changes to the portfolio at this time. Nor can I see any reason to commit the remaining £2,454 of cash to the portfolio.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 29, 2005
The aim of the Market Oracle Portfolio is to present a long-term income and growth portfolio, with a starting capital of some £20,000. The Portfolio actually mirrors my own portfolio as virtually all of the stocks mentioned here form part of my investment portfolio, as nothing engages ones mind than if one has ones own money on the line ;).
The portfolio has 3 key types of stock selected :
1. Income - This is likely to form the bulk of the portfolio, as high dividend stocks tend to be more stable as long as they continue to pay high dividends, but also with an eye on capital growth from these stocks.
2. Capital Growth - There is some overlap with Income Stocks as many of the capital growth stocks also inline with the philosophy of the portfolio i.e. safety and long-term investment provide good dividend yields. The actual allocation is more on a sector basis where those sectors likely to perform the best are targeted.
3. Speculative- This is a small section of the portfolio and as the name suggests are very long-term punts, the whole allocation is to be kept to below 10%.