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Category: UK General Election

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

ElectionOracle

Monday, October 06, 2014

UK General Election Forecast 2015 - Cameron Tory Tax Cut Fact Check / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The big election bribe news out of the recent party conferences was David Cameron's promise / voter bribe to substantially raise both the starting and higher rate tax bands that the mainstream media uniformly costed at £7 billion to be added to Britain’s black hole (budget deficit of £95 billion per year).

I can tell you now that a future Conservative Government will raise the tax-free personal allowance from £10,500 to £12,500.

That will take 1 million more of the lowest paid workers out of income tax – and will give a tax cut to 30 million more.

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, May 25, 2014

Britain's Zombie Marginal Democracy to Deliver Labour General Election 70 Seat Majority? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The housing market is booming and the economy within a matter of months will have recouped the whole of the loss of the last Labour governments catastrophic drop in GDP of over 7%, the worst since the 1930's Great Depression. But still there has yet to be any feed back towards an improvement in Tory general election prospects as illustrated by the local election results that show that the Conservatives currently stand in a far worse state than where they were at the start of the Coalition government as the surge in UKIP votes claims seven Tory votes for every one Labour vote taken.

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Politics

Monday, January 06, 2014

UK General Election Results Forecast May 2015 - Video / Politics / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

George Osborne has finally succeeded in sparking a debt fuelled housing market led economic recovery that looks set to gain momentum all the way into the May 2015 General Election. This video is based on recent in-depth analysis and detailed concluding multi-year trend forecast for UK house prices and the implications of in terms of the outcome of the next General Election.

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Politics

Monday, December 16, 2013

UK General Election Forecast 2015, Who Will Win, Coalition, Conservative or Labour? / Politics / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Recent opinion polls put Labour 6 points ahead of the Conservatives which would translate into Labour winning an general election with a 74 seat majority (Independant on Sunday). Similarly the bookies also have Labour (oddschecker) as hot favourites to win the most seats at the May 2015 general election, though the odds marginally favour another hung parliament, whilst the Conservatives trail a distant third in their chances for an outright election win. However, what the opinion pollsters, bookies and the mainstream media commentators fail to grasp is the likely impact of accelerating UK housing market momentum on an general election that is still 18 months away (May 2015).

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, May 12, 2010

How the British Election Could Supercharge the UK Economy / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: In the depths of the Depression-ridden 1930s, two years after a British General Election that yielded a "hung parliament" - came the formation of a coalition government that resulted in one of the strongest decades the British economy has ever enjoyed.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Gordon Brown Mission Accomplished, Labour General Election Plan a Magnificent Success / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGordon Brown Mission Accomplished as he leaves office by delivering a bankrupt scorched earth UK economy to a weak Conservative / Liberal Democrat coalition government that will sooner or later rip itself apart in the face of deep rooted ideological differences between the two which sows the seeds for a series of landslide Labour election victories possibly as soon as 2012 despite talk of an agreed fixed 5 year term.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Prime Minister Gordon Brown Stepping Down; What's it Mean to the British Pound? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt seems like ages ago yet it was only yesterday when I said Good Riddance to "Clown" Brown

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Hung Parliament Disaster for Britain, Liberal Democrats Holding Country to Ransom / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Brit's are starting to wake up to the reality of what hung parliaments mean which is that voters see what they voted for on the basis of party manifestos at the General Election being stripped out of parties programme's for government to result in a mish mash of weak sludge as coalition governments slowly take form in secret smoke filled rooms.

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ElectionOracle

Monday, May 10, 2010

Political Impasse in Britain in the Wake of the General Election / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: William_Bowles

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“The public and markets want…to see a “government in place”” — Alistair Darling

You didn't need a visit to the Delphic Oracle in order to figure out what would happen, in any case I doubt that many want to visit Greece these days. So, on 8 May the carve-up began with Nick Clegg, leader of the Liberal Democrats meeting a team of Tory advisors in order to strike a deal to try and form a ‘coalition’ government. So much for ‘first past the post’ electoral system, designed in pre-historic times to maintain the hegemony of the ruling class. And if a deal can’t be struck with the Tories the next stop will be the Labour Party, though a deal with Labour is unlikely as it would require every party, aside from the Tories that is, to vote with the Lib-Dem/Labour coalition on the substantive policy issues.

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, May 08, 2010

UK General Election Result, Opinion Polls Forecasts Analysis, What's Next? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe election is over but Britain still waits to find out who will form the next government. The outcome has resulted in a just about as hung a parliament as one could have expected. As things stand clearly the two parties that are most likely to form a coalition government are the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats with a combined total of 364 (307+57), well above the 326 seats necessary for an overall majority.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, May 07, 2010

Sheffield General Election and Local City Council Results 2010, Labour Repels Liberal Democrats / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: N_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGoing into the General and Local Elections, the battle for Sheffield's council seats and Central Constituency was expected to be extremely tight between Labour and the Liberal Democrats as a consequence of the Lib-Dems national 10% surge in the polls from 20% to 30%, putting Labour into third place in many opinion polls which risked Labour losing as many as a 1/3rd of it's city councilors and the Central Parliamentary Constituency.

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, May 06, 2010

U.K. General Election Exit Poll Result Does Not Make Any Sense / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe BBC / SKY / ITV election exit poll released as the polls closed at 10pm, projects for a hung parliament with the Conservatives in front on 307 seats, Labour second on 255 seats and Liberal Democrats third on 59 seats.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, May 04, 2010

U.K. General Election Forecast 2010, Hung Parliament or Conservative Win ? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe mainstream press obsesses over national opinion polls that are clearly suggestive of hung parliament that typically places Conservatives on 35%, and both Labour and the Liberal Democrats on 28% which translates into a decidedly hung parliament. The Conservatives to win outright typically need a swing from Labour to Conservatives of at least 7% to reach 39/40%, instead they are only achieving a 5% swing nationally.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, May 04, 2010

Manish Sood Worst Candidate in Labour's History? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Manish Sood an apparently delusional Labour candidate for the North West Norfolk parliamentary constituency launched an incomprehensible broad side attack against Gordon Brown and the Labour party barely 48 hours from the general election.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, May 04, 2010

U.K. General Election That Cannot Be Won / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: The British general election campaign reaches its climax on Thursday, and at this point appears to be anybody's game. The most likely outcome is a "hung parliament" in which no party has a majority and a government is formed through backroom haggling.

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