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Category: US Dollar

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Currencies

Thursday, March 27, 2014

USD/JPY Capped In A Triangle / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gregor_Horvat

Despite strong sell-off from 103.74 two weeks back {{3|USD/JPY}} is moving sideways for too long now, so we assume that market is trapped in some bigger corrective pattern. Because swing low since start of February are still in place we are observing a triangle idea with wave (c) underway now to 103.00 area, especially bounce bounce from 101.20 is already showing signs of a corrective move. Keep in mind that each leg within a triangle unfold in corrective manner, thus in three legs.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

U.S. Dollar Value Could Suffer Instant Change / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Morgan

span style="color:#000000; ">Silver expert David Morgan is warning of coming financial changes that may be forced on the U.S. during the next G20 meeting.  Morgan says, “The impetus here is the U.S. has had too much financial power backed by the military for far too long, and they (G20) are going to implement change one way or the other.   The IMF is basically an extension of the United States.   Even though it’s called the International Monetary Fund, it is really U.S. based.  With what’s been proposed here, the IMF is not going to have the clout that it once did because the G-20 is going to be able to overrule the IMF vote.  This is a point in history, monetary history and global economic politics that could set a precedent . . . where it’s official that the U.S. dollar has lost its primary status as world reserve currency.” 

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

U.S. Dollar Bottom - Third Time’s a Charm? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ed_Carlson

The US Dollar index bottomed on Monday’s 21-day cycle and then rallied over 1% last week (after the previous week’s big cycle convergence). In doing so it printed an engulfing bullish candlestick on the weekly chart (not shown).

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Currencies

Friday, March 21, 2014

U.S. Dollar Extends Gains After Jobless Claims Data, Trend Forecasts / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadia_Simmons

The U.S. dollar moved higher against major currency pairs after better-than-expected initial jobless claims data. Earlier today, the Department of Labor showed in its report that initial claims for jobless benefits in the week ending March 15 rose by 5,000 to 320,000 from the previous week's total of 315,000 000, while analysts had expected an increase of 10,000. What impact did it have on major currency pairs? What is their current outlook? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's Forex Trading Alert.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 11, 2014

USD Remains In Bearish Mode / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gregor_Horvat

Markets are still very slow and in tight ranges since start of the week. The USD however is showing some recovery now, but only on the intraday basis. Generally speaking USD remains in bearish mode, while stocks remain up.

On EUR/USD we can see wave c now moving south that we highlighted it yesterday. Fibonacci ratios shows a nice support around at 1.3830/40 where pair may find a new base again. Rally back above 1.3880 will open door for new highs.

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Politics

Thursday, March 06, 2014

Ukraine as the U.S. Dollar Waterloo - Immediate Petro-Dollar Risk / Politics / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The desperation of the Anglo-American leadership, guided by the steady corrupt banker hands, has never been more acutely high, nor obvious in full view. The entire Ukraine situation is a travesty. It includes Langley agents killing police and street demonstrators from rooftops, the confirmation coming from the Estonian Embassy (translation of scripts). It includes thefts of official Ukrainian Govt funds, again sent to the Swiss hill sanctuary. It includes sanctions delivered by a US Paper Tiger, sure to cause horrific backlash. It involves the last gasp attempt to obstruct the Gazprom energy pipelines, which will inevitably corner the European market in monopoly. It involves subterfuge with the NATO card (aka Narcotics And Treachery Outlaws) with missiles placed on the Russian borders. Look for NATO members to find a back door to exit the spurious treaty. It involves playing with nitro-glycerine in the Petro-Dollar room. It involves putting tremendous risk for much more clear isolation of the United States. The more the USGovt pushes, the more the US will be isolated. Remember that Nazis steal from their enemy states, de-fraud from their allied states, and force themselves into an isolated state. In Ukraine, the United States has over-played its weak hand. Already, a secret document was leaked in London that the UKGovt would not support the US-led sanctions against Russia.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 06, 2014

U.S. Dollar's Long Term Decline / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

The cleanest of the dirty shirts doesn’t necessarily preserve your purchasing power. Sure, the U.S. dollar has beaten the Russian Ruble and some others of late, but when it comes to real competition, the U.S. dollar has taken a back seat. The U.S. dollar’s long-term decline may be firmly in place and investors may want to buckle up to get ready for the ride.

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Currencies

Thursday, February 20, 2014

Return of Goldilocks Economy Means a Weaker USD, but Beware the 3 Bears / Currencies / US Dollar

By: MahiFX

Central banks are shifting their policies in response to signs that economies are returning to growth. In many ways it looks like a comforting return to the 'old normal' when a broad range of indicators influenced currencies. If so that suggests USD weakness, but beware the three bears.

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 18, 2014

U.S. Dollar, Major Forex Market Forecasts for 2014 and 2015 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

It has been awhile since I have posted on the web and thought this was an appropriate article to share. This article focuses on technical analysis of 3 currencies and the US Dollar Index. A lot of the technical indicators I follow are universal, but the way in which they are modified and put together will not be found anywhere else. Developing the Contracting Fibonacci Spiral and the inverse chiral inversion that happened last summer have played a role in the forecast of this article. As unbelievable as the forecast may seem by time the end of this article, there is a significant amount of logic that went into this and may even defy logic. There is a mathematical basis to this pattern and hopefully it will be understood somewhat by the end of this article...

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Currencies

Monday, February 17, 2014

U.S. Dollar Remains Mixed / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadia_Simmons

The U.S. currency was little changed near recent lows against major currencies as U.S. markets are shut for the President’s Day holiday and trade volumes remain thin. Nevertheless, it’s worth noting that the greenback declined to a four-year low against the British pound earlier today. What is the current outlook for major currency pairs? We invite you to read our today's Forex Trading Alert.

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Currencies

Monday, February 17, 2014

AUDUSD Forecast - Resistance Around 0.9080 - 0.9170 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gregor_Horvat

AUDUSD has found a support in the past two weeks and rallied more than 300 pips from 0.8650 which can be wave C as part of a flat correction in wave B). The reason is a three wave decline from above 0.9080 that we think it's corrective wave B as a part of a bigger complex correction. If we are on the right track then pair will rise up to 0.9080 - 0.9170 resistance zone in the next few trading days where a completion of a contra-trend pattern may occur.

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Currencies

Monday, February 10, 2014

The Split Birth of New Scheiss Dollar, Vicious Cycle & Downward Spiral / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The United States is fast racking up characteristics of a Third World nation. Its finances are Third World. Its president is Third World. Its banking integrity is Third World. Its absent industry is Third World. Its decaying cities are Third World. It urgently begs for a Third World currency, but that is soon to be remedied. The nation has been a freeloader on the global reserve currency for too long. That is about to end. For the last three years, the United States has been living in a fairy tale with bailouts from the vast bond monetization. The Quantitative Easing with its amplified bond purchases and hidden channels to disguise higher volumes has been operating as an historically unprecedented Wall Street bailout and Fannie Mae fraud recycle room. Pressures are building. The USDollar held in foreign jurisdictions is beyond the legal authority of the USGovt, which cannot continue covering its debts with inflation spew in the grandest heretic experiment in history. The solution within the global currency reset is the launch of the new American Dollar, for its own usage, no longer a global reserve currency.

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Currencies

Friday, January 17, 2014

U.S. Dollar Looks Bullish / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gregor_Horvat

USD  Index Weekly
Dollar Index is slow choppy and overlapping within two contracting trendlines for the last few years which we think it represents a triangle pattern, most likely placed in wave B) position. The reason is a five wave rally in wave A) from 2008 low which is first leg of a three wave A)-B)-C) recovery. As such, we will be looking up in wave C) after a completion of a triangle pattern. For now that's not the case yet, as we will need waves D and E before we may turn immediately bullish. In the next few weeks we however expect move up in wave D up to the upper trendline of the pattern.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 14, 2014

U.S. Dollar, Currencies and Gold Outlook 2014 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Rarely has the future been so clear. Really?? A lot of money has been lost jumping on the bandwagon. Let’s do a common sense check on the greenback to gauge where risks might be lurking and where there might be profit opportunities for investors.

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Currencies

Friday, January 10, 2014

The Parameters of the Coming U.S. Dollar Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Hyperinflation is a dynamic process - much like a positive feedback loop that, once entered, is almost impossible to exit.  The process can go on for years. In the feedback cycle, the more central banks print money and buy bonds, the less other entities want to hold bonds.

Simultaneously, the less others choose to hold bonds, the more the central bank is forced to buy so that the government has enough money to spend.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 08, 2014

Reasons Why The U.S. Government Is Destroying The Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Dan_Amerman

Overview

The United States government has six interrelated motivations for destroying the value of the dollar:

  1. Creating money out of thin air on a massive basis is all that stands between the current state of hidden depression, and overt depression with unemployment levels potentially rivaling those seen in the Great Depression of the 1930s.

  2. It is the most effective way to not just pay down current crushing debt levels using devalued dollars, but also to deal with the rapidly approaching massive generational crisis of paying for Boomer retirement promises.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Saturday, January 04, 2014

Why the World is Trapped with their U.S. Dollars / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Sam_Chee_Kong

To a lot people a country with large foreign reserves is equivalent to a strong country. In a way it is true because a country can only accumulate foreign reserves when it is running a budget surplus. Having large foreign reserves has its advantages like enabling it to finance more imports and also acting as a cushion against an economic downturn. However there are also disadvantages associated with having a large foreign reserve. Besides generating inflation it also increases our dependence on the US$ which we are unable to get out from. A lot of people might thought I am nuts, saying that Malaysia and the rest of the world are trapped with their Dollar denominated foreign reserves. I shall show you why we can’t as a group but before that let us go through our country’s international reserves holdings.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 17, 2013

USD Index Looks For Bullish Reversal / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gregor_Horvat

We believe that USD Index has now turned bullish with impulsive rise from 79.00 and breakout out of a downward channel. This breakout is important sign for a change in trend, even if just temporary. Based on a big picture with a triangle, we think that rise from 79.00 is start of a wave D that will unfold in three legs. If that is the case then current downward move is just a wave (B) correction that could stop around 78.6-61.8% Fibonacci retracement area. As such, move up in wave (C) could start unfolding in the second part of December.

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Currencies

Friday, December 13, 2013

Disaster Insurance Ahead of the U.S. Dollar Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Most people simply cannot conceive of a US dollar hyperinflation any more than a current resident of San Francisco could imagine a 1906 or 1989 earthquake. Many simply choose to not dwell on these potentialities, often rationalizing them against other existential if not abstract inevitabilities.

Dollar Confidence and Money Velocity

Money velocity can be defined simply as GDP divided by money supply.

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Currencies

Friday, December 13, 2013

NZD/USD Choppy Moves Ahead / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

The NZD/USD pair rose during the session on Tuesday, breaking the top of the hammer that had formed on Monday. That of course is a very bullish sign, but we did give back a little bit of the gains towards the end of the day. It is possible that this market will go higher, perhaps hitting the 0.84 level. However, this is not going to be the easiest of moves going forward, and as a result it is going to be choppy at best.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Fed Taper Is Almost Dead Certainty But May Not Trigger USD Rally Yet / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

Justin Pugsley writes: The economic and political hurdles for the US Federal Reserve to taper its bond purchases are steadily being removed making it almost a dead certainty – but don't expect it to necessarily spur a USD rally, at least not yet.

It appears Democrats and Republicans are closing in on a deal over the US budget, which looks likely to avoid a confidence damaging shut-down of the US government early next year.  On the economic front the surprisingly strong US jobs numbers last week and positive revisions to GDP are powerful incentives to start reining in the Fed's $85 billion a month bond purchasing programme. 

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Politics

Friday, December 06, 2013

The Fate of U.S. Dollar Hegemony / Politics / US Dollar

By: Andy_Sutton

Despite the quiet nature of things lately from a geopolitical standpoint, coupled with the mainstream media’s obsession with new nominal highs in the various paper indexes, there is definitely turbulence below the surface. There have already been a number of thought-provoking articles written regarding the future of dollar hegemony and the purpose of this week’s piece is to hopefully add to the discussion and stimulate some thought.

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Currencies

Friday, November 22, 2013

U.S. Dollar Index ETF Trading Strategy / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We all know quantitative easing devalues the Dollar but contrary to that general statement it looks as though we could see the dollar index continue to rise for a few more weeks.

If we analyze the chart of the Dollar ETF (UUP) it is clear that the short term momentum has turned up. The break above the down trend line and recent bounce off support bodes well for the dollar index.

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Currencies

Monday, November 18, 2013

US Dollar Index USD Rally Forecast / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gregor_Horvat

We believe that USD Index has now turned bullish after recent impulsive rise and breakout out of a downward channel. This breakout is important sign for a change in trend, even if just temporary. Based on a big picture with a triangle, we think that rise from 79.00 is wave D that will unfold in three legs towards 83 maybe even 84.00 region in weeks ahead.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Tuesday, November 12, 2013

Why I Sell the U.S. Dollar: From Dollar Strength to Dollar Weakness / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Q3 of 2013 marked a peak and reversal of direction for the dollar. The notable strength in the dollar during Q2 turned into an equally prominent weakness in Q3 compared to a basket of foreign currencies. All of the G10 currencies strengthened against the dollar during Q3, while the price of gold rose more than 7%. See attached chart for the performance of the U.S. Dollar Index for the year through 10/31/2013.

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Commodities

Monday, November 04, 2013

US Dollar and Crude Oil…The Inflation / Deflation Battle Rages On / Commodities / US Dollar

By: Rambus_Chartology

There were some interesting developments this week that I would like to focus on in the Weekend Report. The most important thing to happen was the rebound in the US dollar that was very impressive. Is the bottom in or is this just a short covering rally that will peter out when it's finished? Oil continues to fall at a rapid rate which could be signaling another deflationary event maybe on the horizon. There are still a lot of crosscurrents out there but if we can get a good read on the US dollar and Oil that should help us understand what is likely to take place over the intermediate term.

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Currencies

Saturday, November 02, 2013

U.S. Dollar Surge Implications / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

A rather interesting development occurred on Friday, and one that I wasn't really expecting. The dollar sliced right through its intermediate trend line on its first attempt. I thought for sure we would see some kind of pullback from that trend line before a break. In my opinion this signals that there are a lot of people caught on the wrong side of this market.

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Politics

Saturday, November 02, 2013

Does the U.S. Dollar Have a Future? / Politics / US Dollar

By: Mike_Whitney

“If the dollar does indeed lose its role as leading international currency, the cost to the United States would probably extend beyond the simple loss of seigniorage, narrowly defined. We would lose the privilege of playing banker to the world, accepting short-term deposits at low interest rates in return for long-term investments at high average rates of return. When combined with other political developments, it might even spell the end of economic and political hegemony.”– Economist Menzie Chinn, “Will the Dollar Remain the World’s Reserve Currency in Five Years?”, CounterPunch 2009

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 01, 2013

Huge Cracks In US Financial Fortress, Petro-Dollar Final Death Throes / Stock-Markets / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Many analyst writers choose the Black Swan analogy to describe deeply ominous events in progress, with little forward notice. The analogy simply does not fit anymore, as an armada of black swans is more appropriate, spotted on regular and frequent sightings. The Jackass preference is to describe a series of major cracks in the financial fortress that defends the USDollar system and its decrepit USTreasury Bond shuttle buggy. The vehicle is overloaded with supply and bereft of investors, upheld by a printing press, explained by pure heresy. Its derivative coil on the undercarriage axel system is broken from the overdone leverage and hidden machinations. The integrity of the USD/USTB brand name was cast off the American coat of arms along with the Lehman Brothers killing to save Goldman Sachs, the adoption of Fannie Mae to conceal the fraud, and the AIG to contain the derivative payouts. The October Hat Trick Letter explains the Wall Street saga behind the scenes on the GSax rescue, managed by the USDept Treasury office. The US financial fortress died in September 2008, when the Jackass made the USGovt debt default forecast. What has happened in the following long five years has been an incredibly prolonged and desperate attempt, its creativity recognized, to extend life support to a corpse beset by necrosis and sclerosis, whose blood has turned toxic, lacking any oxygen (capital). The US nation has lost its way, no longer capable of comprehending capitalism. Its policy initiatives actively destroy precious capital on the banker altar, celebrating the dark side with celebrations of fire. The emaciated body economic is being prepared to be handled by the JPMorgue for processing.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

U.S. Dollar Long-term View / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I finally had to look at the monthly chart on the Dollar to get a handle on its position.  I identified the Dollar being in a triangle pattern prior to the low in 2011.  At that time, I surmised that we were looking at an Intermediate Wave (E).  It was an easy mistake to make, since it had escaped the lower trendline as it typical of a Wave (E).  However, having turned back at both the top and bottom trendline subsequently gave me pause.  Looking at the long-term pattern suggests that the triangle may just be ending now with a second break of the lower trendline for Wave (E). 

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Currencies

Sunday, October 27, 2013

Large Forex Speculators Cut US Dollar Bullish Bets to 7-month Low / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

CountingPips writes: The weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report, not published for close to a month due to the partial US government shutdown, was released on Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and showed that large futures traders & speculators continued to decrease their bullish bets of the US dollar for a third week in a row on October 1st.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large International Monetary Market speculators, cut their overall US dollar long positions to a total of $692.8 million as of Tuesday October 1st. This was a decline of $-2.89 billion from the total long position of $3.58 billion that was registered on September 24th, according to data from Reuters that calculates this amount by the total of US dollar contracts against the combined contracts of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

How Long Until the U.S. Dollar Loses Its Reserve Currency Status? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: DailyGainsLetter

Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: As Congress has come to a decision about the debt ceiling and kicked the can a few months down the road, I hear a significant amount of noise about the U.S. dollar losing its reserve currency status.

With this, I ask: could this really happen anytime soon?

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Politics

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Peter Schiff Warns Collapse Of The U.S. Dollar Is Unavoidable / Politics / US Dollar

By: GoldSilver

In a Q&A with GoldSilverWorlds, Peter Schiff, CEO and Chief Global Strategist of Euro Pacific Capital, explained why the mother of all collapses is still in front of us and shared his top tips on how to protect financially.

Peter Schiff has an outspoken libertarian view on the world and economics. It is no coincidence he will be one of the keynote speakers at the first Liberty Forum Conference 2013 on December 4 to 8. His libertarian view was mainly influenced by his father, more so than any of the books he has read. From a young age, he discussed with his father topics related to government, economics, the Constitution, and history of the US. His personal view and the free market oriented perspective were a perfect fit even if these ideas were in contrast with the majority of economic experts and governments. According to Schiff “many people just buy the establishment; they accept a lot of nonsense.”

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Currencies

Saturday, October 12, 2013

How Much Longer Will the Dollar be the Reserve Currency? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: MISES

Patrick Barron writes: We use the term “reserve currency” when referring to the common use of the dollar by other countries when settling their international trade accounts. For example, if Canada buys goods from China, it may pay China in US dollars rather than Canadian dollars, and vice versa. However, the foundation from which the term originated no longer exists, and today the dollar is called a “reserve currency” simply because foreign countries hold it in great quantity to facilitate trade.

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Politics

Friday, October 04, 2013

U.S. Government Shutdown: Next Step Dollar Collapse? / Politics / US Dollar

By: Sahil_Hafeez

Not a single person might make a conciliatory sentiment for rehashing cautioning that, on account of the grim Obama administration and Republicans, Uncle Sam is closed down. Genuine monetary analysts are currently anticipating mobs in the streets that there is presently nothing the USA can do to avert the fall of its currency, and its economy. It has no reserves to back its worth, and has the most indebted country in the world, is dependant of the credit from America's previous foes.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 01, 2013

Room For More U.S. Dollar Weakness After The Government Shutdown / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gregor_Horvat

USD is sharply down across the board after the US government shutdown. Some would think that US stocks futures will turn lower, but we in fact can see higher prices since the news came out. However, we may see a risk aversion (lower stocks) if government will be shutdown for too long, lets say around 3 weeks. In the past the longest close was 21 days, back in 1995 (source Wikipedia). The longer the shutdown will last, more nervous investors will become.

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Currencies

Friday, September 20, 2013

U.S. Dollar Still Hanging on the Fiat Cliff / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Joseph_Russo

Arguably, throughout the ages, money and the immense power it manifests, is the most potent driver of systemic corruption.

Further to such argument, it is self-evident that high-level branches of modern-day governments and their attendant institutions alongside private foundations and transnational corporate alliances have been wholly subject to such corruption for centuries.

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 18, 2013

U.S. Dollar Outlook: Taper, Yellen and German Elections / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Why are the markets so excited that the smartest guy in the room takes his name out of the running for the (second?) most powerful job in the world? With Larry Summers no longer holding back the markets, what's next for the dollar, currencies and gold?

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Currencies

Thursday, September 05, 2013

U.S. Dollar Clues for Trend Over Next Few Months / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Rambus_Chartology

Tonight I would like to show you some charts on the US dollar that is finally showing a little action after a month or so of chopping around towards the lows. I have many different looks that might give us a clue or two on what to expect over the next month or so.

The first chart is a 6 month daily chart that shows a potential double inverse H&S bottoming formation. As you can see the smaller inverse H&S #1 had a nice long bar on the breakout followed by a backtest the next day. That completed the smaller inverse H&S bottom. The rally only lasted one day which gave us a point to drawn in the 2nd Neckline. The price action is now getting ready to backtest NL #1 again that would create the right shoulder for the bigger inverse H&S #2. So this is a critical backtest taking place in the next day or two to the 81.90 area. If neckline #1 can hold support the price objective of the bigger H&S bottom would be up to the 84.85 area which would be back at the previous high made in July.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

U.S. Dollar Gains Strength Off Remarks of the Federal Reserve Bank / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

Brett Chatz writes: US dollar gains ground against all of its major trading partners. The US dollar held firm and gained ground against most of its major trading partners in the currency markets. This about-turn in expectation materialized after a poor forecast for US durable goods failed to dampen the dollar’s appreciation against major world currencies. Economists pointed out that the dollar had gained ground against most of the 16 traded currencies. Further news for investors is that the Fed looks set to cut bond purchases in upcoming months. The dollar gains were however halted after John Kerry (US Secretary of State) declared that President Barack Obama will hold the government of Syria responsible for its actions. This is seen as a potentially dramatic shift in foreign policy after the administration seemingly backpedalled on its red line comments.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 22, 2013

US Dollar Index Five Waves Up Points to Higher USD / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gregor_Horvat

EURUSD found some support an hour back or so, after disappointing US Unemployment claims. So I decided to check the intra-day structure on USD Index to see where the buck is positioned and headed next. Well, on the line chart I can see some very clear impulse to the upside, but its presented on a line chart. Its a clear five wave move with a textbook example of an extended wave three. If you are still learning Elliott Wave, then I suggest you to save and print this chart.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

U.S. Dollar Index Forming A Complex Correction – Elliott Wave Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gregor_Horvat

USD Index is trading lower for few weeks now but decline from 85.00 has a corrective look for now so we suspect its part of a larger complex correction from May highs. We are tracking a W)-X)-Y) correction, so if we are correct the USD should find a support somewhere around 80.30-81.00 level.

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Currencies

Saturday, August 10, 2013

U.S. Dollar - Time to Worry? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Four weeks ago, the USD index hit 3-year highs, metals licked their wounds from the biggest decline in decades and the US growth story stood out in the headline. The Fed was considered the only major central bank capable of scaling down its quantitative easing, while the ECB mulled cutting interest rates to zero. The greenback was boosted by a powerful combination of fundamental and technical moving in tandem.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 08, 2013

Bye Bye Euro, Hello U.S. Dollar! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Marc_Horn

It has been a while!!! My wife and I are cruising in Oman and internet access is not widely available! But when I saw this today I really felt I should make the effort!

Talk about coincidence.... or not. Today the Euro has so far failed to make a new high, by a tiny margin and provided it fails to make a new high it has only one way to go - DOWN - it is in centi-3 of deci -3 of daily-3 of weekly-3 of monthly-3 !!!

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 07, 2013

U.S. Dollar Breaks Support, The Next Currency Crisis has Begun! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

Today the dollar broke through 80.40. This is a major development as it signals that the current daily cycle topped in only 2 days, thus confirming that the intermediate cycle has also topped.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 06, 2013

U.S. Dollar - A Diamond in the Rough? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I want to take an in depth look at the US dollar as it is so important to the overall big picture regarding the deflationary outlook that appears to be headed our way. There are just two pieces of the puzzle that need to come into focus and one is a strong US dollar and the other is a weak oil price. Everything else seems to be lining up. I have many different charts for the US dollar that are showing us nothing is broken and basically this consolidation area is still developing.

Lets start with a daily chart for the US dollar that I showed you a while back that shows an expanding triangle forming. Notice the brown shaded support and resistance zone that is made off the top of the blue 5 point triangle reversal pattern just below. As you can see this expanding triangle has been getting bigger so has the volatility been increasing. This is volatility to the max.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 30, 2013

Concerned about the U.S. Dollar? How to Manage Dollar Risk / Commodities / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Are you concerned about the U.S. dollar? Are these concerns justified? If so, what do you do about it?

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

USD Index Could Find A Support Around 82.00 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: ForexPros

The USD Index has moved out of wave B range yesterday so prices are now already in wave C, final leg of a three wave decline. As such, traders must be aware of a trend reversal, especially if we consider that move out of a triangle is final within the larger structure. From a confirmation point of view we need an impulsive rally back through 83.15 to turn bullish on the buck.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 17, 2013

Frustrations of a Portfolio Manager: Why I Sell the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Markets are meant to exert the maximum amount of frustration on investors; indeed, the markets have lived up to their side of the bargain. To survive and possibly thrive in the business, portfolio managers need to be a special breed. This newsletter is a bit different from our typical analysis in that I provide insight as to how I approach the markets, what makes me get up in the morning, and how you can get the most out of your portfolio manager.

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Currencies

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Major Bank Makes A Freudian Slip About The U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jeff_Berwick

The cognitive dissonance about the dollar never fails to amaze me. People know in their bones that their dollars will be worth a lot less in the future...yet they continue to trust and cling to the dollar as a store of value.  They invest in things denominated in dollars that pay interest well below the rate of inflation.  Or they go for all out gambling in the stock market to have a hope of outpacing inflation enough to build a tiny bit of wealth to leave to their grandkids. 

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 03, 2013

Why the Rising U.S. Dollar is Still Doomed to Crash / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: Many have wondered - and rightly so - why the U.S. dollar is rising even though the U.S. Federal Reserve has done just about everything possible to debase the currency over the past five years.

Over the past two years, the U.S. Dollar index, which measures the dollar against a basket of major world currencies, is up by more than 12.6%.

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 11, 2013

U.S. Dollar At Risk? Case for Profiting from Managing Currency Risk / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

The “cleanest” dirty shirt, the U.S. dollar, is down versus the euro so far this year; and was down last year. Yet, S&P, in upgrading the credit outlook of the U.S., cites U.S. dollar strength. If this is a strong dollar environment, are investors prepared for a weak one? With plenty of dirty laundry in the world, we ponder how investors might be able to profit from actively managing currency risk.

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 04, 2013

Sell the U.S. Dollar? Case for Hard Currencies / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

The Fed’s “tapering,” the dollar’s up, bonds are down. Is this time to bet on the greenback, or to diversify out of the dollar?  We believe the dollar may not only have gotten ahead of itself, it also rallied for the wrong reasons. Only the future will tell whether this is an opportunity to sell the dollar, but we can look at risks and opportunities presented.

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Politics

Thursday, May 30, 2013

The Rise and Fall of the U.S. Dollar / Politics / US Dollar

By: Mark_Thornton

Over the last century America’s money—the dollar—has come to dominate the global monetary system. It is used not just by Americans, but in other countries, in the global black market, and by importers and exporters. And it is the primary reserve currency for central banks. This status is what Barry Eichengreen calls an “exorbitant privilege,” because it confers numerous benefits to individuals, companies, and governments. Collectively, it also confers the ability for Americans to consume beyond our ability to produce.

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Politics

Monday, May 20, 2013

The Feds Are Worried About the U.S. Dollar / Politics / US Dollar

By: Paul_Craig_Roberts

Over the past month there has been a statistically improbable concurrence of events that can only be explained as a conspiracy to protect the dollar from the Federal Reserve’s policy of Quantitative Easing (QE).

Quantitative Easing is the term given to the Federal Reserve’s policy of printing 1,000 billion new dollars annually in order to finance the US budget deficit by purchasing US Treasury bonds and to keep the prices high of debt-related derivatives on the “banks too big to fail” (BTBF) balance sheets by purchasing mortgage-backed derivatives. Without QE, interest rates would be much higher, and values on the banks’ balance sheets would be much lower.

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Currencies

Friday, May 17, 2013

US Dollar Ends Another 9 Year Down Cycle / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Recent rallies in Non-USD currencies resulting from poor US data have not lasted long. And those rallies resulting from strong US figures via the indirect effect of rallying equities (risk-on) have not lasted either. Broadening pro-USD sentiment may stay for longer than we had thought as the US dollar index has exited from another 9-year down cycle.

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Currencies

Friday, May 17, 2013

Dollar Crisis, the Coming Collapse of US Global Hegemony / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Pravda

Colin Todhunter writes: The US is bankrupt. Yet Uncle Sam continues to stride the world stage and can simply print more money to get by because the dollar is the world's reserve currency. Remove it as the reserve currency, and the US will no longer be able to remain supreme or fund its wars by relying on what would then be a worthless paper currency. Today, more than 60 percent of all foreign currency reserves in the world are in US dollars, and the US will attempt to prevent countries moving off the dollar by any means possible.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Don't Bet Against a Surging U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Ben Gersten writes: In the midst of a brewing currency war, Japan's out-of-control monetary policy has caused the yen to fall to an almost five-year low against the U.S. dollar.

With an economy one-third the size of that of the United States, Japan has committed itself to a fiscal program that's almost double the U.S. Federal Reserve's current $85- billion a month stimulus.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 08, 2013

USD Index Forming A Bullish Reversal Pattern / Currencies / US Dollar

By: ForexPros

The USD index reversed higher last week from 81.32. This appears to be a first impulsive structure that is part of a larger and new bullish cycle for the dollar.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 01, 2013

Warning U.S. Dollar Collapse Underway, Massive Shortages in Gold and Silver / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

I've been pointing out for several months now that the recent rally in the dollar was a mirage, an illusion generated by the yen, euro, pound, and Canadian dollar all dropping into yearly, or intermediate cycle lows together. This selling pressure in the four major currencies that make up the dollar index spawned what looked like a strong dollar.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 01, 2013

The Rising U.S. Dollar Myth / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Year-to-date, the U.S. dollar is up; does that mean we are in a rising dollar environment? Or is it an opportunity to diversify out of the greenback?

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Currencies

Sunday, April 28, 2013

GBP/USD Corrective Rally Could Extend To 1.56 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: ForexPros

The GBP/USD finally broke higher on Thursday, after a recent unsuccessful push through the lower support line connected from early March lows. Notice that the pair closed well above 1.5407 trend-line on Thursday, which sets a stage for a new impulsive rally, now towards the 1.5500/1.5600 area.

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Currencies

Friday, April 19, 2013

U.S. Dollar and Assets - America’s ‘Exorbitant’ Privilege Will Continue / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Richard_Mills

In July 1944, delegates from 44 nations met at Bretton Woods, New Hampshire - the United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference - and agreed to “peg” their currencies to the U.S. dollar, the only currency strong enough to meet the rising demands for international currency transactions.

Member nations were required to establish a parity of their national currencies in terms of the US dollar, the "peg", and to maintain exchange rates within plus or minus one percent of parity, the "band."

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 17, 2013

U.S. Dollar DownTrend Confirmed / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

Just another quick post tonight. As I have been saying for over a year now, the dollar will not make new highs, and it will collapse as the consequences of QE infinity ultimately take their toll.

Today the dollar confirmed that an intermediate degree decline has begun by closing strongly below the previous daily cycle low. A new pattern of lower lows and lower highs has now begun. (Although the dollar is due for a bounce sometime soon, but it should fail to make new highs and quickly continue the pattern of lower lows and lower highs.)

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Say Goodbye to the Purchasing Power of the Dollar - Bernanke Goes to Crazytown / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Adam_Taggart

On a long solo car trip last week, I listened to several podcasts to pass the time. One was a classic: The Invention of Money, originally released by NPR's Planet Money team back in January of 2011. I highly recommend listening (or re-listening) to it in full.

The podcast is an effective reminder of how any currency in a monetary system is a fabricated construct. A simpler way to explain this is to say it has value simply because we believe it does.

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Currencies

Monday, March 25, 2013

The U.S. Dollar and the Real Inflation Story / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

I can’t tell you how many talking heads I've watched in the media recently touting the strong dollar. Sometimes I really wonder whether Homo sapiens are an intelligent life form. Remember, this is the same species that created the Tulip mania … and the tech, and real estate bubble.

Folks, in the real world it just isn't possible to have a strong dollar if you are counterfeiting 85 billion of them a month. That’s just basic common sense, which seems to be an extremely rare commodity in the world today.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 23, 2013

U.S. Dollar Fiat Cliff / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Joseph_Russo

I would like to start this piece by recommending a rather thorough and viable chart study of the US dollar by an analyst writing under the pseudonym Rambus, titled Dollar Bears Prepare to Hibernate. Rambus has produced some excellent charts in this piece along with sound analysis, and in my view, provided readers with valuable information and insights.

It is my hope that Rambus and the readership at large will not mind if I attempt to add another layer to his cogent work.

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Currencies

Monday, March 18, 2013

U.S. Dollar Bears Prepare to Hibernate / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I would like to show you the Chartology of the US Dollar based on charts from the short term to the very long term that are painting a positive picture for the US Dollar. What I’m seeing on the charts is not going to be just a short term event type thing but a longer multi year positive change for the dollar. Understanding the movements in the dollar can help us understand other movements in other areas of the markets which is very important to getting the big picture right. If you can get the big picture and trend right that goes along way in knowing which side of the market to be on. In a bull market you want to trade with the uptrend and when your in a bear market you want to trade with the downtrend. This is simple to understand but much harder to do in practice. So with that said lets take a good long hard look at the US dollar and see what the charts are telling us.

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Currencies

Thursday, February 21, 2013

Fiat U.S. Dollar Approaching Resistance In Middle Of Trading Range / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Michael_Noonan

The best thing about reading developing market activity is that it leads you to a logical conclusion, and when things are not clear, that too, is a logical conclusion, saying: No edge, stay away. Because charts are the visual form of final decisions made by all participants, we are getting the best source for collective thinking about a market's direction. What we get to do is read what message the market is sending.

It is always important to put the market into a context. Many traders are eager to "catch the next move," often based upon a myopic view of price behavior. Most who look at charts view the daily and intra day, looking for the next winner, often getting another loser. Here is a current daily:

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Currencies

Monday, February 11, 2013

Forex Fiat U.S. Dollar Index – Charting Imagination / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Michael_Noonan

Federal Reserves Notes, [FRNs], are not "dollars," despite the purposefully deceptive mislabeling of them, [mis]using that noun. FRNs are commercial debt instruments, issued by the privately owned Federal Reserve Bank whose owners are responsible for the largest Ponzi scheme [un]known to man. Some get it, the vast majority do not.

[For those incapable of dealing with facts that shake their reality, you can skip to the charts, below, or just skip this commentary in its entirety. The Rothschild Formula, what we call the Great Ponzi Scheme, is unraveling.]

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 29, 2013

Is the Fed Doping the Greenback? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

For seven years Ben Bernanke has played Master of the Universe, that is, has been Chairman of the Federal Reserve (Fed). Bernanke vehemently denies his actions put the US economy at risk. Au contraire, having prevented the US economy's collapse, the Fed's actions have yielded profits to taxpayers. Naysayers lament money doesn't grow on trees, value can't be created through the printing press.

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Politics

Sunday, January 27, 2013

The Fed’s Plan B - "We're Going to Kill the Dollar" / Politics / US Dollar

By: Mike_Whitney

How do you solve a problem when you’re running a 10% fiscal budget deficit? You are not going to get growth without private sector credit demand. The government’s idea right now is that we’re going to export our way out of this, and when I asked a senior member of the Obama administration last week how are we going to grow exports if we will not allow nominal wage deflation? He said, “We’re going to kill the dollar.” Kyle Bass interview.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 27, 2012

Comex Pressure Point, The Coming Isolation Of The US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The typical human reaction to any infection, vermin, danger, or toxicity is to stand back, to isolate the agent, to trap it, to prevent its further spread or release, then to remove it in a safe secure way if possible using trained professionals. Eventually decisions must be made on the level of acceptable risk on the removal, like what is willing to be lost or damaged or killed in the process. Risk analysis, cost trade-offs, and minimization decisions must be evaluated and executed. The toxic agent in global trade, global banking, and global bond market is the USDollar. In 2009, the Jackass began making a certain firm point. Those nations that depart from the entire USDollar system early will be the leading nations in the next chapter, with stronger foundations, richer solvency, emerging economies, healthier financial markets, efficient credit engines, growing wealth, stronger political helm activity, and better functioning systems generally. Imagine a contaminated blood system that infects, corrupts, and destroys all interior organs from the spread of the toxin.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 13, 2012

US Dollar Index Very Long Term Chart - A Rake's Progress / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jesse

Here is an end of year update on the very long term US dollar chart, la douleur du monde.

As a reminder, this is a chart based on the DX dollar index.

That index is woefully out of date with the progress of the world economy and the currency wars with their competitive devaluations and rising currencies of the developing nations.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 11, 2012

Dissecting the US Dollar, Biotech – The Next Major Bull Market After 2020 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

Sometimes a very simple picture can replace 1000 words, so as such, this brief update will illustrate what is driving the market. There was a minor shooting star doji put in place yesterday, which suggests weakness into the start of next week before starting to rise towards 81.5. Other charts that will be presented on Wednesday will illustrate that the coming top will be just that and in the process, create a setup for a very sharp decline. After wave [E] completed a long-term triangle, a subsequent cliff-like decline occurred, which appears to take the form of an elongated flat to form wave (A).

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 05, 2012

More Cracks Appear for U.S. Dollar as Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: The U.S. dollar has been the world’s reserve currency for decades, but that position might be under attack. With the rising level of U.S. debt, many countries around the world are questioning the position of the U.S. dollar as the reserve currency.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 05, 2012

U.S. Dollar Cliff? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

As election euphoria settles and the "fiscal cliff" approaches, what are the implications for the dollar? Even as federal deficits may be unsustainable, stocks and bonds are up, and while the dollar may have resumed its long-term downward trend, the greenback has hardly fallen off a cliff. We look at how different tax policies might affect the U.S. dollar.

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Currencies

Thursday, November 08, 2012

Cost of Presidential Campaigns Show Big Problems for the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: William_Bancroft

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere has been much discussion recently about the growing cost of running to be President of the United States. The Presidency has been described as the ultimate recession proof commodity. Others might tell you it’s just the price to climb aboard and loot the good ship America.

Whatever is true, the dollar cost of getting into the Oval Office has been rising at a stunning pace, and this is no new phenomenon. Interestingly though, the cost in gold ounces of running for office has not been rising nearly so fast.

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Currencies

Thursday, November 08, 2012

U.S. Dollar Technical Analysis and Trend Forecast 2013 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNo surprise, Barrack Obama handily one the US election, which means that with silly season over, they voted the same rascals back into the White House instead of a different batch of rascals. In the end, Mickey Mouse or the Pope could have been stuck into power in the US, the fate of the currency was baked in the cake a long time ago and we are simply following the cycle path. Today's update will provide some clarity regarding the US Dollar Index, as the developing pattern is somewhat recognizable (Refer to Figure 7).

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Politics

Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Fiscal Cliff's Biggest Surprise Could Be a Rising U.S. Dollar / Politics / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: My grandmother Mimi had a saying that was as blunt as it was uncouth. "When the stuff hits the fan," she used to say, "it will not be evenly distributed."

This one came up often when she sensed that world events were about to take a turn for the worse.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 31, 2012

U.S. of A(sia) United to Weaken the U.S. Dollar?! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOur leaders want a weaker dollar and a stronger Chinese renminbi (RMB). That’s our assessment based on recent comments by President Obama, presidential hopeful Romney and Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Bernanke. If you join them in that call, OK, just be careful what you wish for, or at least consider taking action to protect your portfolio.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 09, 2012

What to Expect When U.S. Dollar Reign Comes to an End / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: Lloyd Blankfein has got it all wrong again.

Speaking last week, the Chief Executive of Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) claimed that if the "fiscal cliff" of tax increases and spending cuts go into effect on January 1, the U.S. dollar would lose its reserve currency status.

As the Vampire Squid's representatives often do, Blankfein actually has it backwards.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 03, 2012

The Fed Plays All Its Cards, Road Map for Currency Debasement / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere never really could be much doubt that the current experiment in competitive global currency debasement would end in anything less than a total war. There was always a chance that one or more of the principal players would snap out of it, change course and save their citizenry from a never ending cycle of devaluation. But developments since September 13, when the U.S. Federal Reserve finally laid all its cards on the table and went "all in" on permanent quantitative easing, indicate that the brainwashing is widely established and will be difficult to break. The vast majority of the world's leading central bankers seem content to walk in lock step down the path of money creation as a means to economic salvation. Never mind that the path will prevent real growth and may ultimately lead off a cliff. The herd is moving. And if it can't be turned, the only thing that one can do is attempt to get out of its way.

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Death Knells For The US Dollar, Gold Price Ready To Explode Upward / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe recent decision by the US Federal Reserve to contaminate the financial body until it responds favorably was the last straw in my book. Witness a declaration of permanent QE and hyper monetary inflation of the most virulent strain, unsterilized. The USFed is essentially admitting failure. The signal serves as the loudest death knell for the USDollar among many in a sequence. On a similar parallel note, lighter and more humorous, one might be reminded of the pirate swash buckling style of yelling at the swabbies that the beatings will continue until morale improves. The QE bond monetization of USGovt debt has turned viral and entrenched. It is sold as stimulus, when in fact it acts like a giant wet blanket on the USEconomy. It is intended as stimulus to businesses, but the effect is felt on the financial speculation and on Asian direct business investment. In the past the emergency lever device had been successful only because it was used on a temporary basis. But now the USFed high priest assures it is a permanent fixture, a sign of their failure. The public is too ignorant to comprehend the ruin. They can only see the threat to their personal ruin.

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 19, 2012

Fed to Debase U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIs the Fed’s goal to debase the U.S. dollar? The Federal Reserve’s announcement of a third round of quantitative easing (QE3) might have been the worst kept secret, yet the dollar plunged upon the announcement. Here we share our analysis on what makes the FOMC tick, to allow investors to position themselves for what may be ahead.

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Currencies

Thursday, September 13, 2012

US Dollar Technical Analysis and Forecast, the Fate for Gold / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe following article was presented to the benefit of subscribers on September 12th, 2012. Rather than mimic a few previous articles I have penned, this one will focus on technical analysis of one Index, with interspersed commentary fitting to what is observed. The most interesting part I found from all of the analysis is how well the Elliott Wave pattern of the US Dollar Index matched initial expectations. At the end of the article, it is hoped that the reader has a better understanding of how economic situations unfolding over the next 8-12 months are going to ultimately hinge on the path of the US Dollar.

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Currencies

Thursday, September 13, 2012

U.S. Dollar: Don't worry, be happy / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMay we suggest a Twitter version of today's FOMC statement: "Don't worry, be happy! " – No, the economic outlook hasn't improved. In fact, the Fed may want you to take a valium to stomach the ride ahead. Alternatively, if you don't get mollified by the Fed's "communication strategy", you may want to consider taking action to protect the purchasing power of your hard earned dollars.

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Politics

Tuesday, September 04, 2012

Ron Paul, How Long Will the U.S. Dollar Remain the World's Reserve Currency? / Politics / US Dollar

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

We frequently hear the financial press refer to the U.S. dollar as the "world's reserve currency," implying that our dollar will always retain its value in an ever shifting world economy. But this is a dangerous and mistaken assumption.

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Politics

Sunday, August 26, 2012

The US Dollar, the World's Controller / Politics / US Dollar

By: Pravda

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe administration of Britain's Standard Chartered Bank has been accused of violating U.S. laws this week. The bank allegedly concealed illegal operations with Iranian financial institutions in circumvention of U.S. sanctions against Tehran. How can one accuse a non-US company of violating U.S. law? It can be possible due to the use of dollars in settlements.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 23, 2012

Expect Stronger U.S. Dollar, More Volatility Heading into September / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Elliot_H_Gue

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecent economic data unambiguously shows that the European Union (EU) has slipped into a recession, with little sign that a turnaround will occur soon. In fact, with most European countries facing additional rounds of fiscal austerity, the EU economy is poised to get worse before it eventually finds its footing.

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Currencies

Monday, July 23, 2012

Rising U.S. Dollar Forces Bernanke’s Hand / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Michael_Pento

Could it be that world governments and central banks are now taking drastic measures to re-inflate their economies because they don’t believe their own economic statistics? For example, China reported that GDP growth came in at 7.6% last quarter. That’s slower growth, but still not so bad. However, China’s electricity consumption has slowed much faster than growth in official GDP (electricity generation was unchanged in June from a year earlier at 393.4 billion kilowatt-hours), when they normally move in tandem. Turning to the U.S., the Labor Department announced last week that initial jobless claims fell 26k to 350k. Sounds great…but wait. Digging into the unadjusted data, there was actually an increase of 69,971 claims for the week—an increase of 19% from the week prior. Now that’s some seasonal adjustment!

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Gold to Outshine U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the price of gold has gone up fivefold over the past 10 years, why would one buy it at today's prices? For the same reason an investor would buy any other asset: if one believed it would be a good investment now, that is if one believed it may appreciate in value and add portfolio diversification benefits. A key reason to hold gold today might be to prepare for the crisis tomorrow.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 28, 2012

US Dollar: Wave Counts, Flight-to-Safety? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Joseph_Russo

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn light of how political systems have so utterly ruined the purpose and utility of the modern worlds essential and fungible units of exchange, and despite the oxymoron in our alluding to a flight-to-safety, we shall nonetheless endeavor to add a meaningful level of clarity to the disposition of the US dollar.

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Currencies

Friday, June 08, 2012

Strong U.S. Dollar Fallacy / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter a shocking upset in Greece’s parliamentary elections, the US dollar surged dramatically.  Soaring 5.4% in May alone, the world’s reserve currency won legions of fans among traders.  “King Dollar” was universally lauded, with everyone jumping on the strong-dollar bandwagon.  But this dazzling strength was merely a short-term phenomenon.  Zoom out a little, and today’s “strong dollar” is a fallacy.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 07, 2012

What's Next for the U.S. Dollar? QE3? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe dismal U.S. jobs report for May, released last Friday, caused the price of gold to soar as the market appears to be pricing in an ever-greater chance of "QE3" - another round of quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed). But given that 10-year government debt is already down at 1.5%, the Fed may dive deeper into its toolbox in an effort to jumpstart the economy. Investors may want to consider taking advantage of the recent U.S. dollar rally to diversify out of the greenback ahead of QE3.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 06, 2012

Reasons Why the U.S. Dollar is Really Rising / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: By all accounts, the U.S. dollar should be the functional equivalent of a Zimbabwean bill.

The Fed has pumped trillions into the worldwide financial system as part of misguided stimulus efforts that should be incredibly inflationary.

Yet, instead of a disastrous repeat of the Weimar Republic, the U.S. dollar has strengthened considerably.

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Currencies

Friday, June 01, 2012

China and Japan Abandon U.S. Dollar as a Means of Trade / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the next month China and Japan (China's main trading partner) will no longer use the U.S. dollar as the only currency in trade with each other. They will use the Yuan and the Yen directly with each other. This will see the dollar removed from a large chunk of the world's trade -in itself, not a very large percentage, but a significant one. It's the start of a trend that is set to grow. We've no doubt that China is tailoring its trade with all its trading partners to use the dollar only so far as it is required to deal with the U.S. and other dollar-dependent nations. Oil from Russia utilizes the Yuan and Rouble, and Australia has arranged a similar deal.

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Politics

Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Reform of US Monetary System: Message of 12 Year Old Goes Viral / Politics / US Dollar

By: Ellen_Brown

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe youtube video of 12 year old Victoria Grant speaking at the Public Banking in America conference last month has gone viral, topping a million views on various websites.

Monetary reform—the contention that governments, not banks, should create and lend a nation’s money—has rarely even made the news, so this is a first.  Either the times they are a-changin’, or Victoria managed to frame the message in a way that was so simple and clear that even a child could understand it.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 07, 2012

U.S. Dollar and Manipulation Control the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / US Dollar

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOver the weekend I had an interesting conversation with a local trader. We typically meet a few times a year to share our market outlooks, new trading tools and techniques, and usually finish our session off in a debate about the US market manipulation and how to trade around it.

Talking about market manipulation always opens up a can of worms and sparks some interesting theories… And while everyone has their own views and opinion on this subject I thought I would briefly share the main points I pulled from our conversation.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 03, 2012

US Stocks Fight to Hold Up While EU and US Data Give Mixed Signals / Stock-Markets / US Dollar

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInvestors and traders just can’t seem to catch a break when it comes to economic news. For example Tuesday in the United States we saw strong ISM manufacturing numbers which surprised the market. The numbers were way above expectations and it triggered a feeding frenzy in US based investments like stocks and the green back.

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Currencies

Thursday, April 26, 2012

The Fed and their Influence on Gold and the US Dollar, Behind The Curve! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: UnpuncturedCycle

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI am not surprised to see that the Federal Reserve on Wednesday stood pat on interest rates and said economic growth will remain moderate over coming quarters and then only pick up gradually. The decision to make no changes was expected. Economists think the Fed will wait for more data before deciding how to proceed next. Recent data, such as the monthly jobs report from the Labor Department, point to a slowing pace of economic growth. In a statement, the Fed announced that it will leave its target range for its federal-funds rate unchanged at 0 to 0.25% — as it has for every meeting since December 2008. The central bank also did not change the forecast that “exceptionally low rates” will be here until late 2014. Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker cast the lone dissent, continuing a trend at all three meetings this year. Lacker, one of the more hawkish regional Fed presidents, has argued against the 2014 rate forecast.

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Currencies

Thursday, April 26, 2012

So Long to the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Marin_Katusa

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarin Katusa, Casey Research writes: There's a major shift under way, one the US mainstream media has left largely untouched even though it will send the United States into an economic maelstrom and dramatically reduce the country's importance in the world: the demise of the US dollar as the world's reserve currency.

For decades the US dollar has been absolutely dominant in international trade, especially in the oil markets. This role has created immense demand for US dollars, and that international demand constitutes a huge part of the dollar's valuation. Not only did the global-currency role add massive value to the dollar, it also created an almost endless pool of demand for US Treasuries as countries around the world sought to maintain stores of petrodollars. The availability of all this credit, denominated in a dollar supported by nothing less than the entirety of global trade, enabled the American federal government to borrow without limit and spend with abandon.

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Politics

Thursday, April 12, 2012

The War at the End of the U.S. Dollar / Politics / US Dollar

By: Ron_Hera

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe history of the U.S. dollar is closely linked to U.S. involvement in a series of wars.  The Bretton Woods Accord and the resulting world reserve currency status of the U.S. dollar were both byproducts of World War II (1939-1945).  The Korean War (1950-1953) was followed six years later by the Vietnam War (1959-1975) which led to the end of the Bretton Woods system.  Unfettered by the constraint of gold backing after 1971, the U.S. dollar became a weapon in the Cold War (1945–1991) between the U.S. and the former Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (U.S.S.R.).  Each war corresponded with an increase in the U.S. money supply.  The Gulf War (1990-1991) was followed by wars in Afghanistan, beginning in 2001, and in Iraq, beginning in 2003, and, simultaneously, by the U.S.-led War on Terror that began in 2001.  Like the wars that came before them, the recent staccato of U.S. wars is correlated with increases in the U.S. money supply.  The Iraq war, for example, is estimated to have cost as much as $4 trillion.

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Currencies

Tuesday, April 10, 2012

The U.S. Dollar Remains the Preferred Choice of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Asha_Bangalore

The IMF’s Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (COFER) database continues to indicate that dollar remains the preferred reserve currency. In the fourth quarter of 2011, the dollar made up 62.1% of official reserves vs. 61.8% in the third quarter. The dollar accounted for 61.4% of official reserves in 2011 vs. 61.8% in 2010 and 62% in 2009.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 04, 2012

Emerging Markets Look to Drop BRICS on U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Eric_McWhinnie

On Friday, gold prices increased $17.10 per ounce while silver gained 49 cents. Despite volatile trading for the precious metals, both logged positive gains for the first quarter of 2012. Gold climbed about 6.5 percent and silver surged 16 percent. Both metals continue to receive support as countries around the world weigh financial fears. Reports of a new emerging market bank are highlighting concerns about troubled currencies.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 27, 2012

Is the US Dollar Headed for a Major Fall? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the facts of life over the last 40 years has been that the U.S. dollar is the world's sole global reserve currency. This is despite the fundamental factors underlying the U.S. balance of payments, which has been awful over that entire time. Nevertheless, the dollar ruled the global monetary system through these four decades and appears to be doing so still. But is that coming to an end? Next week there is a meeting of the BRIC nation over the use by the U.S. of the SWIFT system to block Iran from selling its oil. The BRIC nations are buyers of that oil. Their views on Iran's nuclear policies do not go as far as refusing to buy their oil. The SWIFT system is the system used to make international payments and covers most acceptable currencies.

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Currencies

Monday, March 26, 2012

Can Bernanke Break the U.S. Dollar Rally? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn response to a bursting real estate and credit bubble in 2007 Bernanke's solution was to crank up the printing press and flood the world with dollar bills. Unfortunately it didn't solve our problems, it only made them worse. The real estate and credit bubbles stayed busted, but that liquidity had to land somewhere. In 2008 it went straight into the energy and agricultural markets spiking the price of crude, gasoline and food. This in turn collapsed a fragile global economy that was already reeling from the real estate implosion. The end result was the exact opposite of what Benjamin intended. Instead of halting the real estate collapse he just magnified the severity of the recession.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Falling U.S. Treasury Bonds, A Currency Perspective / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat are the implications for the U.S. dollar and investors’ portfolios if bond prices continue to fall, as they have of late? Within that context, should investors care whether the U.S. retains its status as a “reserve currency”? Should it effect the way investors think about their own cash reserves?

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Currencies

Sunday, February 19, 2012

The US Dollar in the week ahead / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDr. Chad Bennis writes: The rally in the US dollar beginning in November of last year saw a series of higher highs and higher lows in the price of the index. While the price action moved higher the stochastic indicator showed a bearish divergence as each successive higher high in the price action was reflected by a lower high in the stochastic indicator. This is known as bearish divergence and means that the current uptrend in price is getting weaker with each higher high in the price of the index.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 31, 2012

How U.S. Dollar Value Fit Into the Economy Big Picture? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMore credit is denominated in U.S. dollars than any other currency. What does this mean for the value of the dollar as the credit crisis continues its strangle-hold on the world economies?

Enjoy this video clip of Bob Prechter from an October interview with The Mind of Money host Douglass Lodmell, in which Bob discusses the debt implosion and the value of the U.S. dollar.

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Economics

Sunday, January 29, 2012

U.S. Economy Q4 2011 GDP Trouble Below The Surface / Economics / US Dollar

By: Tony_Pallotta

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe release of Q4 2011 GDP highlighted just how close the US economy is to actual contraction as well as how vulnerable it is to the events in Europe. On the surface the 2.8% growth was a nice rebound from the 1.8% growth in Q3 2011.

But like anything if you dig beneath the headline you will see three areas of concern. Interesting that just two days before this release when asked about the recent uptick in economic activity Chairman Bernanke was less optimistic than the reporter asking the question. Apparently he was privy to the soon to be released data.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 26, 2012

The Broken U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

It has been my theory that this year we would see one of the worst performances by the stock market since 2008. However that has always been dependent on Bernanke not being able to break the dollar's rally out of its three year cycle low. As of this morning the dollar has printed a failed daily cycle. More often than not a failed daily cycle is an indication that an intermediate degree decline has begun.

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Politics

Thursday, January 26, 2012

Will Iran Kill the PetroDollar? / Politics / US Dollar

By: Marin_Katusa

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarin Katusa, Casey Research writes: The official line from the United States and the European Union is that Tehran must be punished for continuing its efforts to develop a nuclear weapon. The punishment: sanctions on Iran's oil exports, which are meant to isolate Iran and depress the value of its currency to such a point that the country crumbles.

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Politics

Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Sovereigns Declare War on US Dollar / Politics / US Dollar

By: Chris_Blasi

Iranian Crisis Evolving into Dollar Hegemony and Western Power Challenge

Profoundly significant news came out of the Middle East on Monday January 23, 2012.  The headline via DEBKAfile* reads:

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Currencies

Monday, January 23, 2012

Bullish Set Up on US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: readtheticker

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US Federal Reserve meets next week (Jan 24/25) and many are expecting Bernanke to release the next financial QE details. The markets are poised for Ben next market leading action.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 19, 2012

Eye on U.S. Dollar vs Commodity Index / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Paulenoff

One chart set-up that we need to watch closely in the coming hours and days is the comparison of the dollar and commodity indexes, as their directional price implications could have a major impact on a cross-section of markets.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

U.S. Dollar Premature Obituaries / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is open season for wild monetary prognostications. More premature obituaries on the dollar have been posted on the Internet. For example, see Jim Willie's The US Dollar Paper Tiger (Gold-Eagle, January 11) with epitaphs like "the U.S. dollar rising to the cemetery", or "dollar death dance". Or see another article, Jeff Nielsen's entitled Maximum Fraud in U.S. Treasurys (Gold-Eagle, January 3). It betrays maximum misunderstanding about keeping the dollar on a life-support system. It assumes that the Fed and the U.S. Treasury are fighting tooth and nail to keep the value of government debt high lest it collapse in want of support from Japan, China, and other countries.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 11, 2012

U.S. Dollar Threats, the Paper Tiger / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEvents in the last decade displayed a vigorous effort to defend the USDollar. The rogue nation of Iraq sold crude oil in Euros for three years, until they were liberated. Its tyrant was a scourge to be sure. Weapons of financial mass destruction seem to have replaced the traditional type, the new variety being derivatives, mortgage bonds, and even sovereign bonds from weak nations. Newer weapons from the United States feature extended hands from clearing house fronts that snatch and grab segregated private accounts, and backdoor raids of exchange traded fund precious metal. Let's not overlook the more frontal assault weapons deployed like unseating Qaddafi and capturing his gold held in foreign accounts, along with all that cash. Liberation has its benefits. The confrontation with Iran would be comical if not so dangerous. The claims have been silly in my view for years, in the perception of Iran as a serious threat to the West. They have been subjected to cut communication lines on the Persian Gulf seabed. They have been subjected to Stuxnet viruses to obstruct their nuclear refinement process, via the Siemens rear door. They have been subjected to an influx of heroin from the north, where the USMilitary manages the Afghan situation and locale.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 11, 2012

U.S. Dollar's Lucky Streak / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

Recent U.S. economic data, such as the modest drop in the unemployment rate and the massive expansion of consumer credit, have suggested that the American economy is finally recovering. Opposite conclusions are being thrown at Europe, where many are convinced that recession is returning. Not surprisingly then, the dollar is currently hitting a multi-year high against the euro. The strength of the dollar itself is often held up as one of the major proof points that the U.S. economy is "improving." But the data points that I believe really matter continue to suggest an economy on life support. I believe that the dollar is rising for reasons that have nothing to do with America's economic health.

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Currencies

Sunday, January 08, 2012

Huh? When the Fed Balance Sheet Expands, it’s actually U.S. Dollar Bullish!? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Aftab_Singh

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you ever happen to acquire an inclination for being the subject of disrepute and ridicule I highly recommend endorsing the conceit alluded to in the title. Apparently this issue is ‘so obvious’ that even gold bugs and government officials can reach common ground via the contention that I’m deluded. My folly — if you will — is to maintain that dollar debasement can be bullish for the dollar vis-à-vis other currencies at present. Since this long-standing conviction of ours is once again being corroborated by price action in the currency markets I thought I’d attempt to convince you that I’m not completely crazy. Here I outline why dollar debasement is bullish for the dollar against other fiat currencies in this environment.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 03, 2012

U.S. Dollar Forecast 2012, How to Play A Short-Term Rally / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry D. Spears writes: The U.S. dollar will start 2012 on an upswing - but don't let it fool you.

What we're seeing is only a short-term rally inspired by Europe's travails. In the long-term, the U.S. Federal Reserve's loose monetary policy and the United States' own debt burden will drive the greenback back down.

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Currencies

Monday, December 19, 2011

Time for a Two-Month Trade Against the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI believe gold hit a bottom last week, and I believe it will enter a multi-month rally starting now.

I also believe that the U.S. dollar hit a near-term peak this week, and I believe it will enter a multi-month downtrend, starting now.

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Currencies

Monday, December 05, 2011

US Dollar Technical Update / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Tony_Pallotta

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the coming weeks you will hear me discuss the current trade as a "credit event that equity will be forced to acknowledge." It is important to understand what will drive equity prices. The main stream media will make up "excuses" for price action but I believe as always they will be misguided.

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Currencies

Saturday, December 03, 2011

Euro Dollars - The Great Dollar Overhang and Missing M3 Component - Gold and Silver / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jesse

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThese figures are from the Preliminary BIS Reports of November 2011 which reflect reporting bank positions as of the Jun 2011 quarter. Obviously therefore they do not yet reflect the recent Fed expansion of the swap lines for dollars. The first chart represents the total dollars held by banks as 'foreign currency.'

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 15, 2011

U.S. Dollar Teetering on the Abyss / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe all better hope I'm wrong on this one, but I think the CRB just put in its three year cycle low in October. I'm also afraid that Bernanke has done irreparable damage to the dollar. If I'm right about both of those assumptions then we are on the brink of a historic inflationary period.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 08, 2011

Perfect Financial Storm; Eight Reasons to be Bullish on the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of my much appreciated contacts is Steen Jakobsen, chief economist for Saxo Bank in Copenhagen, Denmark. Today he passed on an "internal note" that he gave permission to share.

For ease in reading, I will not follow with my usual indented blockquote format.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 08, 2011

The War that Will Kill the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: The_Gold_Report

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA war-mongering U.S. government could be less than 18 months away from decimating the last 5% of value left in the dollar, says Richard Maybury, the author of the U.S. & World Early Warning Report. Until some new exchange-traded-fund-like basket of natural resources provides a store of value, this "juris naturalist" has some advice about how to protect your wealth during the coming collapse.

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Currencies

Saturday, November 05, 2011

Dollar/Yen Bullish Digestion Pattern / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Although USD/Yen has been trading in a relatively narrow range between 78.40 and 77.80 since mid-session Monday after Sunday evening's BOJ intervention (to sell yen and buy USD), all of the action off of the intervention high impresses me as a bullish digestion period ahead of another up-leg.

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Currencies

Friday, November 04, 2011

Why Is The USD So Weak / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Tony_Pallotta

With multiple reports of USD shortages including the need for an emergency Fed swap line in September why is it not showing in the DXY? Is the DXY to the USD what the paper market is to the precious metals?

Put yourself back in September 2008. Fannie Mae was bailed out on September 8 followed by Lehman, AIG, etc through September 22. Over that period the DXY falls 5.6%. Think traders were scratching their heads wondering why the USD was so weak? Where’s the fear? Is the USD as a safe haven trade dead?

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Bet Against the U.S. Dollar as a Store of Value / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Casey_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn this excerpt from the Casey Summit When Money Dies, seasoned resource investor/broker Rick Rule discusses risk management and explains why the greatest risk you face as an investor is located to the left of your right ear and to the right of your left ear.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Is Occupy Wall Street A Threat to the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn its face, suggesting that the Occupy Wall Street movement may threaten the U.S. dollar may appear like a tall order. However, simply dismissing Occupy Wall Street as a fad may be a big mistake, just as it is a mistake to dismiss the Tea Party movement. Regardless of your political stance, and with no offense intended to supporters of either group, we believe they may be two sides of the same coin – quite literally. To determine where policy makers and with it, the U.S. dollar, may be heading, it is important to understand that the driving forces behind both movements have common roots.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 20, 2011

U.S. Dollar Index, The Big Picture / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Colin_Twiggs

When markets are volatile it often pays to take a step back and look at the big picture. A monthly chart shows the Dollar Index ranging between 70 and 90 since 2003, with the 80 level alternating as mid-range support/resistance. The index recently pulled back from resistance at 80 and will now either re-group for another attempt or medium-term support will give way, signaling a test of long-term support.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

Betting on the Dollar Versus Yen / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Rumors are circulating that in an effort to enable its exporters to compete effectively with China, Japanese authorities are considering some sort of currency "peg," perhaps to a basket of currencies, or vis-a-vis the Yuan, or maybe even in part to gold.

In addition, there are currently heated discussions in Congress about declaring China a "currency manipulator," or otherwise coercing China to allow its Yuan to appreciate faster to enable American business to compete more effectively on a global basis.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 04, 2011

Bernanke’s Plot To Overthrow the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bill_Bonner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhere’s the Bastille…?

The Great Correction has a lot of work to do – there are so many things that need correction. And it will take time to do it. Meanwhile, your goal as an investor is to lose less money than everyone else. He who loses least wins!

Stocks should go down. Real estate should go down. Even gold should go down…as the dollar goes up!

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Currencies

Sunday, October 02, 2011

U.S. Dollar’s Role as International Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Asha_Bangalore

It is not a surprise the dollar continues to be the preferred official foreign exchange reserve currency but the share shows a gradual decline in the past ten years. The IMF’s Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves for the first and second quarter of 2011 places the greenback’s share at 60.6% of official foreign exchange reserves, down from a high of 71.5% in 2001.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Is the US Monetary System on the Verge of Collapse? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Galland

David Galland, Casey Research writes: Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTune into CNBC or click onto any of the dozens of mainstream financial news sites, and you’ll find an endless array of opinions on the latest wiggle in equity, bond and commodities markets. As often as not, you'll find those opinions nestled side by side with authoritative analysis on the outlook for the economy, complete with the author’s carefully studied judgment on the best way forward.

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Currencies

Thursday, September 15, 2011

U.S. Dollar As the World's Reserve Currency. Poor World / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_North

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe world's main reserve currency is the U.S. dollar. This is less relevant than most hard-money writers think.

What they never mention is that the U.S. dollar is a more popular reserve currency today than it was in 1995. You can see the evidence here.

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Currencies

Thursday, September 15, 2011

A Chinese Euro-Save Means Falling Greenback / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

As we predicted earlier this year, China may use its newfound economic clout to save Europe and diversify away from the US dollar.   Seeing as Italy is still in favor with global investors with spreads between Italian and German bonds reasonable, the Italians could strike a formidable deal with the Chinese to push off debt concerns.

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Currencies

Friday, September 09, 2011

Is the U.S. Dollar King coming to take his Kingdom? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Capital3X

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeptember continues to rake it in even with all the news flows and volatility attached with it, we have been reasonably successful in keeping our portfolio immune to high volatility. That said, it has not impeded our ability to generate returns.

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Currencies

Thursday, September 01, 2011

Threats to the U.S. Dollar, Illusion Of Stable Currency Vortex / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Jackson Hole Conference was a dud. To the astute student observer, something happened never seen before. The US central bank chief admitted failure, if only people could properly interpret and translate his words of helplessness and disappointment. A more apt description was that USFed Chairman Bernanke used the forum to announce on stage that the central bank failed and is powerless to react to the current lapse into recession. Many watchers no longer believe that a Quantitative Easing chapter #3 will be announced. Surely it will come sooner or  later. Watch the USTreasury auctions for the best clue. The QE2 program was about prevention of auction failure, not economic stimulus. A quick review of monetary policy and its effect is horrifying for its utter complete failure.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Money Printing, Debt, Dollar Vs Euro / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA key reason for recent market turmoil may be the long overdue untangling of important debt-driven interdependencies between the U.S. and Europe. In our analysis, not only has the Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) ultra-low monetary policy taken away any incentive to engage in meaningful reform in the U.S., but the easy money also spilled far beyond U.S. shores, providing European banks with hundreds of billions of reasons not to shore up their capital bases. With volatility riding high, investors appear to be chasing emotions rather than facts; let’s take a step back, and in an effort to understand where the Fed, the U.S. dollar and the euro might be heading next, let’s focus on facts rather than emotion.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

U.S. Dollar, the Mother of all Mathemagical Derivatives / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Aftab_Singh

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe all think we know the story of the recent ‘bubble in credit’. As the explanation goes; Americans took on too much debt, those debts were ‘packaged up’ into complex financial instruments, those instruments were then bought, sold and ‘re-packaged’ by people who didn’t even understand them, blah blah blah… Even with this cursory and boringly consensual view of recent history, at least people have figured out that they shouldn’t blindly trust the mathemagicians… or have they? Here I ask; what about the king of all derivatives; the one that deviously subsumes all others? Indeed, what about the derivative that even derivative traders assume to be axiomatically fundamental and distinctly not derived?

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Politics

Saturday, August 20, 2011

Enough Already With the Macho U.S. Dollar / Politics / US Dollar

By: Ian_Fletcher

A strong dollar, like a strong defense or strong democratic institutions, sounds like a naturally good thing. But it's not. A strong dollar is an unwise goal.

I recently had an e-mail exchange with an extremely distinguished conservative commentator-a familiar name to most-who was worrying that the dollar isn't getting the "respect" it used to.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Downward Pressure Builds Again for the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Donald_W_Dony

The 'safe haven' status of the US dollar maybe coming to an end. Normally during times of market corrections, traders run to the American currency for protection. However, during the early August market drop, the big dollar barely moved. Though T-Bill auctions were well bid, there was little increase in demand for the greenback.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Time to Buy the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Tony_Caldaro

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe last reviewed the currencies in early July: http://caldaro.wordpress.com/2011/07/04/foreign-currency-and-usd-update/. Since then, it appears, a lot has changed. The world’s equity markets have entered bear markets, US Bonds have been soaring, commodities have generally weakened, Gold has been making all time new highs, and the Swiss Franc (CHFUSD) has gone parabolic.

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Currencies

Monday, August 15, 2011

UnHappy 40th Birthday for Fiat U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jeff_Berwick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAugust 15 marks the 40th birthday of the Federal Reserve Note as a completely fiat currency.

On that date, on August 15, 1971, Richard Nixon commandeered the airwaves to announce the closing of the gold window. According to him, this was necessary to protect the US dollar from attacks from the "international money speculators'.

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Politics

Sunday, August 14, 2011

Death Star Washington Mulls The U.S. Dollar's End / Politics / US Dollar

By: Andrew_McKillop

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat is is not in doubt is that the world's single reserve currency is nearing the end of its viability at least in its current form. The only other two options, the euro and the yen, are in as bad or worse shape regarding the fundamentals of the economies they are based on. The end game has arrived for the current monetary system which began for the US in the 1930s, and for the world with Bretton Woods in 1944. The US sub prime crisis, Japan's Fukushima disaster, and Europe's PIIGS rout are the final nails in the coffin of the dollar reserve system, which in "gold money" terms already died a long time ago - in 1971 - when Nixon pulled the plug on official and fixed dollar convertibility with gold. This system was far from ancient and only dated from 1933, with Roosevelt (who pegged the dollar to .888 grams of gold, or $35 per ounce). This was therefore at maximum a 38-year "gold money interlude", suspended during the war years and only covering, in fact, about 33 years.

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Currencies

Friday, August 12, 2011

Can Revulsion with the Federal Reserve Note be Sustained over the Weeks and Months Ahead? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Aftab_Singh

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe seem to have reached an intermediate-term extreme in revulsion for the Federal Reserve note. It seems to us that the status quo of the currency markets is highly dependent on the Federal Reserve accommodating the market’s perception of it. Here, I present the usual Federal Reserve balance sheet charts and briefly outline why we continue to anticipate a short-term rally in the dollar.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 04, 2011

The Dollar is the World’s Currency, but the Federal Reserve is America’s Central Bank! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Aftab_Singh

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen considering the dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency, I cannot help but recall the words of Jim Grant (of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer):

The dollar is the world’s currency but the Federal Reserve is America’s central bank! Period!

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Currencies

Thursday, August 04, 2011

Fed Given License To Debase U.S. Dollar Further, Gold Strong Breakout / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US Federal Reserve has no monetary options whatsoever. They have been backed into the corner since 2007. It was coerced to reduce interest rates as the subprime mortgage crisis morphed into an absolute bond crisis, as the Jackass loudly stated during that fateful summer. The US bank leaders claimed it was contained. It was not. The USFed was backed into the corner in 2009, unable to raise interest rates from near 0% (the Zero Interest Rate Policy disease) and put into effect its propaganda theme of an Exit Strategy. The US bank leaders knew the longest period of time for the Fed Funds rate to stick at 0% was nine months, ensuring a future disaster. They saw it. They claimed a move toward normalcy. It did not come.

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 26, 2011

U.S. Dollar Default to Change Gold and Silver Markets / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

Last Friday we were led to believe that the debt-ceiling crisis would be over by the start of Asia's business on Monday. The weekend has gone and so the deal. The markets are very nervous and beginning to worry that a deal will not be made. This is merely a political game to earn a name because one or the other gives-in first. But the two leaders represent national parties and not themselves; therefore, the sensitivity needed to back down just in time isn't there. The structure of politics doesn't allow it. Not only that, but it takes a few days to implement the ceiling change.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Making the U.S. Dollar Safer: Return ON Your Money / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleToday’s debate may be focused on whether the debt ceiling will be raised, but it’s tomorrow’s debate that really concerns us. Last week, Standard & Poors made it clear that raising the debt ceiling would be one thing, but in order to withhold a downgrade to the U.S. credit rating, the U.S. must show that it is not “maxed out.” In other words, show that it would be able to manage another crisis, or a potential war. What would be the implications of a credit downgrade? And what policies would need to be engaged in, in order to avert a downgrade and strengthen the U.S. dollar over the long-term?

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Currencies

Thursday, July 14, 2011

Bernanke’s Nightmare / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Brady_Willett

The Great Ron Paul (no factiousness intended as Dr. Paul is truly one of a kind), has once again stymied the not-so-great Bernanke. After listening to Bernanke ramble on about people buying precious metals because of tail risks*, Mr. Paul finally interrupted and asked Bernanke point blank: ‘Do you think gold is money’?   Bernanke’s answer, after an awkward pause, was as follows:

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Currencies

Thursday, July 14, 2011

The Bell Tolls For The U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jeff_Berwick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat an incredible day.  I spent most of my day overlooking the beach in southern Mexico and so I was unaware of the buzz of activity that was going on worldwide.  Around sundown, as I do most evenings, I then made my way to my office, Starbucks, and took my place in my usual seat, the red comfortable chair with armrests and began to scroll through the news of the day via the last free place on earth, the internet.  And what a day it was!

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 12, 2011

Panic in the Markets, Making the U.S. Dollar Safer, Return OF Your Money / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is panic in the markets: reviving memories of the peak of the financial crisis, investors have recently appeared less concerned about the return on their money, rather focusing on the return of their money. In what is a hallmark of grave investor concern, investors are paying for the privilege of lending money to the U.S. government: the yield on one and three month Treasury bills has been flirting again with negative yields.

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Currencies

Saturday, July 09, 2011

Coiling U.S. Dollar Set to Unwind / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Joseph_Russo

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOver the medium-term, like many other broad based indices, the dollar continues to consolidate in a rather large sideways range. Its boundaries however, are not visually discernable in looking out over the short and near term as we’re doing here.

Over the near-term, the dollar has been coiling in a contracting triangle from late May.  Although it reserves the right to continue coiling for a couple of more weeks, the longer it does so, the more violent the unwind may be.

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 05, 2011

Technically Speaking, U.S. Dollar Flirts With Trendline Support / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Joseph_Russo

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter tagging a short-term downside whipsaw reversal target of 74.35 last Thursday, the US Dollar is just a whisker away from (TLS) trendline support on the daily bar chart.

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Currencies

Saturday, June 25, 2011

The Beaten Down U.S. Dollar Is A Buy! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhere are investors to turn for profits?

U.S. and global stock markets are in corrections, producing losses for investors, and they do not look like their declines have ended yet.

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Politics

Friday, June 24, 2011

U.S. Monetary System Descent into Fascism / Politics / US Dollar

By: David_Galland

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe following interview with Dr. Vieira was conducted in early June of 2011 for the subscribers of The Casey Report – but after careful consideration, we decided that the content is so important; it needs to be shared with a wider audience. Feel free to pass it along.

Edwin Vieira, Jr., holds four degrees from Harvard: A.B. (Harvard College), A.M. and Ph.D. (Harvard Graduate School of Arts and Sciences), and J.D. (Harvard Law School).

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 21, 2011

If the U.S. Dollar Collapses, What Happens to Your Portfolio? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jeff_Clark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJeff Clark, BIG GOLD writes: Have you considered what will happen to your portfolio - and all the other areas of your life - if the dollar fails? The ramifications will be widespread, painful, and inescapable if you're not properly diversified.

Last month, I attended the Global Currency Expo sponsored by EverBank. The overarching theme, as you might expect, was that diversification out of one's home currency is paramount. While there were plenty of traders on hand, it was the big-picture talks that had the most pressing messages.

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 21, 2011

Is the Euro Safer than the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhich one is safer: the euro or the U.S. dollar? Before jumping to a conclusion one way or the other, let's look at different sides of the respective coins. We have been warning for years that there may be no such thing anymore as a safe asset and investors may want to take a diversified approach to something as mundane as cash. We believe Greece has rather serious issues, but concerned investors may want to take a closer look at their dollar holdings for potential “contagion” risks. Let us explain…

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Currencies

Monday, June 13, 2011

How Do You Kill the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: PhilStockWorld

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThat's the question that was on everyone's mind last week. The smallest indication of Dollar strength caused a Global equity meltdown. As Stock World Weekly has been pointing out all year, and as evidenced by this 2-year chart of the Dow relative to UUP (Dollar index), essentially our entire 40% rally since last summer was at least augmented by QE2's 20% weakening of Dollar buying power. 

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Currencies

Thursday, June 09, 2011

US Dollar Death Spiral, Economy Hurtles Toward System Failure / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe combination of $trillion bond fraud, dependence on inflating home equity for economic development, oversized cars, oil dependence, constant market intervention, insolvent banks, insolvent homes, outsourced industry, endless war, budget deadlock amidst runaway deficits, raided US gold treasury, mammoth future benefit obligations, and handing over the keys at USDept Treasury to Goldman Sachs has left the United States to fend off systemic failure. The creeping price inflation that stems from USFed hyper monetary inflation and total ignorance on basics of capitalism like business formation have left the US vulnerable to disorder and chaos. The chaos in fact grows with the passage of time and the ruin of money, against a background of a cruel middle class squeeze. With one citizen in seven on food stamps and over 22% of the population jobless, the sunset of the American Empire is well along. The banker oligarchs are gradually killing the nation, its democracy, and its wealth engines during a sustained strangulation process.

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Currencies

Friday, June 03, 2011

U.S. Dollar Unable to Strengthen / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Dollar’s recent rally appears over, or is it?

Until the start of May the Dollar had been under relentless selling pressure that drove it to within a whisker of 1.50 against the Euro. Then suddenly it corrected, very vigorously. The catalyst was a mix of events, but the Portuguese debt crisis was at the centre of the drama weakening the Euro.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 02, 2011

Washington Killing U.S. Dollar's No1 World Currency Status / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSO the YIELD offered by 10-year US Treasury bonds just fell through 3.0%, a five-decade low when reached (and then breached on the way down to 2.0%) in 2009.

More telling, the real 10-year yield – the rate of interest paid to new buyers after you account for inflation – just slipped back below zero, even on the official CPI measure of living costs.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 02, 2011

Where Were You the Day the U.S. Dollar Died? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: I've dubbed this the "pesofication" of the U.S. dollar.

But we're really talking here about the dollar's long-term demise.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 02, 2011

Russia’s Interest Rate Hike is Negative for US Dollar / Interest-Rates / US Dollar

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

While the US markets were closed to observe Memorial Day, Russia’s central bank acted to raise interest rates to cool inflation.  This may have ordinarily registered as a normal event for a central bank, but nothing is normal when the US central bank, the Federal Reserve, refuses to hike rates in the United States.

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Currencies

Friday, May 20, 2011

U.S. Dollar Index Reversal Signs / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe 2011 downleg in the US Dollar Index recently violated the 2009 low but has held above the more major 2008 low, finding support on the long term chart and producing an initial reversal sign too.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 17, 2011

U.S. Dollar Bull Monkey Dance Will End Badly, with a QE3 party? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Banister

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInteresting to watch all of the Silver and Gold Bears running out into the streets from their caves beating their chests due to the silver shellacking we just saw. Getting jiggy with the US Dollar rally is all the rage right now, and stomping on the precious metals Bulls is the hot sport. The only problem is calling for a crash after a crash is kind of like picking the winner of the NCAA tournament at your office the day after the tournament ends. It's rare to get a crash on top of a crash, and trying to predict any crash is a fool's game anyways.

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News_Letter

Monday, May 16, 2011

Obama Kills Osama After the Bernank Spoke, US Dollar Bubble Bursts Trending Towards USD69 / News_Letter / US Dollar

By: NewsLetter

The Market Oracle Newsletter
May 3rd, 2011 Issue #9 Vol. 5

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Currencies

Friday, May 13, 2011

What Drives the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Dollar staged a lightening recovery towards the end of last week, especially against the Euro, driven by three main events:

  1. Anxieties about the Euro zone Sovereign debt crisis intensified as speculation continued to grow that Greece might yet be forced to restructure her debts,
  2. The ECB held interest rates unchanged, with Trichet failing to provide guidance about the timing of any future rate increase, and
  3. Anxieties emerged about the health and durability of the Global recovery.
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Currencies

Thursday, May 12, 2011

U.S. Dollar Transision From Bear to Bull Complete / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDespite my bias to see new all time lows in the dollar index, I think the dollar probably put in the three year cycle low last week. Sentiment at the time had reached multi-year lows and as of yesterday the dollar had moved back above the 50 day moving average.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 12, 2011

Countertrend Moves In U.S. Dollar, Gold and Silver / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US dollar has been reacting very bullish to the death of Osama bin Laden, the figurehead of Al Qaeda. Short-term investors have shown a renewed interest in the US dollar (UUP) as near-term resistance and the 50-day moving average have broken to the upside. Word has  spread that this has been a critical blow to the Al Qaeda network, but countries are preparing for retaliatory attacks.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 11, 2011

Gold and the Dead Cat U.S. Dollar Bounce / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bob_Kirtley

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis is a classic dead cat bounce by the US Dollar as it appears to fight desperately to avoid dropping below the much watched ‘72′ level. We say fight, but the real situation is not a fight at all, its a managed decline by the United States to lower the value of their currency and ultimately inflate away the mountain of debt that it realizes is impossible to ever re-pay.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Why the U.S. Dollar is Ready to Rebound, Anatomy of an Inflection Point / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Barnes writes: For most of the past year, anything involving the U.S. dollar has been what traders like to refer to as a "one-way trade."

And with good reason: Over the past year, the U.S. currency has traded in only one direction - down.

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Currencies

Friday, May 06, 2011

U.S. Dollar Bear Market Rallies, Stocks and Commodities / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe beleaguered US dollar has certainly challenged silver’s crown of being the most-one-sided trade lately.  The bearishness and pessimism plaguing the world’s reserve currency is overwhelming and universal, with nearly everyone convinced the US dollar is ready to fall off a cliff.  But it is psychological conditions just like today’s that birth mighty bear-market rallies, with widespread implications for traders.

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Currencies

Friday, May 06, 2011

U.S. Dollar Rallys Sharply After ECB Backs Off From Interest Rate Rise / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleECB President Jean-Claude Trichet has backed off his usual way of signaling a rate hike, which is to use the phrase "strong vigilance". Instead, Trichet said today "the ECB will monitor inflation risks very closely".

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Currencies

Thursday, May 05, 2011

U.S. Faces Dollar Decline as China Grows / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

According to a new statement from the International Monetary Fund, the United States will be the world’s leading economy for four more years, at which point China will overtake the US in total annual production of goods and services.  While economists can and have expressed their doubts about how this plays into the world economy going forward, most everyone can agree that this news is not a positive release for the United States, nor the US dollar.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 03, 2011

U.S. Dollar, It’s Payback Time! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt’s payback time for Ben Bernanke, the chairman of the Federal Reserve (Fed). In some ways, this should neither surprise, nor scare anyone. Unfortunately, however, it might do both.

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Currencies

Saturday, April 30, 2011

Plummeting US Dollar: The Age of America is Over / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Paul_Craig_Roberts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleToday the Swiss franc made yet another new high against the super dollar, as it has been doing for 120 days. What you are reading in the graphs is less and less of the foreign currency that one dollar can buy. Of course, gold and silver also consistently hit new highs.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

Bernanke Dollar Bottom or Crash! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleToday's FOMC meeting and press conference has the potential to either put in a daily cycle bottom in the dollar index or initiate a waterfall decline into the dollar's three year cycle low. There is a lot riding on this meeting.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

Threats to US Dollar Reserve Currency Status: No Country Really Wants It! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn spite of all the hype regarding the Yuan as a reserve currency I have stated many times recently that discussion of the Yuan as a reserve currency is nothing but ridiculous hype.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

The Falling U.S. Dollar ... Is it a Good or Bad Event? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Marty_Chenard

A dropping Dollar is considered an advantage for U.S. firms that trade internationally.

But, could a falling Dollar turn into a U.S. confidence crisis?

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Currencies

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

CADUSD, Canadian Dollar Elliott Wave Analysis Update / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Tony_Caldaro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn December, we posted a write up on the CADUSD.

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Currencies

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

The Federal Reserve Note is Dead, Long Live the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jeff_Berwick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn 1520, Count Hieronymus Schlick of Bohemia began minting silver coins known as Joachimsthalers, named for Joachimstal (today called Jáchymov in the Czech Republic), where the silver was mined.  In German, thal or tal refers to a valley or dale.  Therefore, translated, the coins meant "Jachymov Valley".  His  "Joachimsthaler" was later shortened in common usage to taler or thaler and this shortened word eventually found its way into English as dollar.

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Currencies

Monday, April 25, 2011

Investors, Put the U.S. Dollar on Your Radar Screen Now / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Marty_Chenard

FYI for this week: "Put the U.S. Dollar on your radar screen".

Zhang Jianhua, the head of research at the People's Bank of China is getting very nervous now.

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Currencies

Monday, April 25, 2011

Euro USD Currency Elliott Wave Technical Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Tony_Caldaro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe have written about the Euro in sections of various reports before, but this is the first report dedicated just to the EURUSD. The Euro, the currency of the European Union, replaced the ECU, a basket of european currencies, in 1999 on a 1:1 basis. For the record the Euro officially started trading in 1999. However, we do have charts for the ECU going back to 1991. In the 1990′s the basket of ECU currencies contained twelve different currencies.

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Currencies

Sunday, April 24, 2011

US Dollar DX Index Very Long Term Charts / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jesse

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe DX Index I normally show is the continuous futures contract on the DX index. The front month is now June.

The Fed also publishes two other dollar indices: major currency index, and the broad currency index. The major currency index is essentially the basis for the Wall Street DX futures index.

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Currencies

Thursday, April 21, 2011

The U.S. Dollar Cycle / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor many months now I've been warning we were going to have a dollar crisis and that dollar crisis would drive the final leg up in gold's ongoing two year C-wave advance. We are now on the verge of the panic selling stage of this three year cycle.


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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 14, 2011

Can U.S. Dollar Weakness Mean Stock Market Weakness? / Stock-Markets / US Dollar

By: Jason_Kaspar

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

Are there any dollar bulls left? Inflationists across the web are crying ‘victory’ as the dollar sinks and certain asset prices (especially oil prices, food prices, and the gold price) mushroom higher. To the level headed, you should exercise extreme caution against assumed fixed correlations like “weak dollar” means “asset price increases.” Correlations can quickly change.

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Currencies

Thursday, April 14, 2011

U.S. Dollar Review and Outlook / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

We believe that continued U.S. dollar weakness may be a consequence of the diverging monetary approaches central banks are taking around the globe. While many international central banks have been on a tightening path, raising rates (i.e. central banks of: Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, India, Norway, Sweden, to name but a few), the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has been conspicuous in its continued easing monetary policy stance. Indeed, while other central banks have been shrinking the size of their balance sheets, the U.S. Fed’s balance sheet continues to expand on the back of ongoing quantitative easing policies.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 13, 2011

U.S. Dollar Index Down Trend Intact / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Guy_Lerner

In my last look at the Dollar Index, I pointed out that the Dollar doesn't seem relevant anymore, and as long as the down trend was under control, then all seem to be ok. The trend is still down, and the technicals would suggest that we will be visiting the all time lows last seen in 2008 at some point in the near future. At that point, I surmise things will start to get interesting.

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Economics

Wednesday, April 13, 2011

Economics 101: Long Material, Short Certified Idiots / Economics / US Dollar

By: Fred_Sheehan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSome relationships:

The last time the U.S. dollar exceeded 120 on the dollar index (ticker symbol DXY: a measurement of the dollar against other currencies) was in January 2002. The close on April 8, 2011, was 75.08, a 37 % decline.

Since January, 2002, gold has risen from $282 to $1,475 an ounce, also quoted at the April 8, 2011, close

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Currencies

Friday, April 08, 2011

U.S. Dollar Crisis Looms, Spike in Interest Rates Following End of QE2 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Chris_Kitze

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

Chris Martenson writes: As a major currency crisis looms in the west, there are some things that we should all expect. Lifestyle changes that we don't have to imagine, but ones we can see happening right in front of us today. Now the catalyst for the beginning of a major currency crisis could be several things. To note just a few, QE2 ending would cause a spike in interest rates, banking crisis, and inevitably a debt crisis that would lead to a dollar crisis.

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Currencies

Tuesday, April 05, 2011

The Falling US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Tony_Pallotta

Below is a monthly chart of the USD index (DXY) since 2000. In that period of time it has died a slow death down 37%. A currency is like a stock in a company and this is one company shareholders continue to sell. Whether it be the shrinking manufacturing base, millions in lost jobs, rising debt, weak leadership, lack of new products in the pipeline to fuel growth, this company (excuse me country) is in trouble right now.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

U.S. Dollar Has Cancer and its Metastasising / Currencies / US Dollar

By: GoldSilver

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAll you can do is play the hand you are dealt.

This is not going to be pretty. When it happens, it is not going to be good for most people. It's only going to be good for a few. Those who hold physical gold and silver.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

The Death of the "Dollar Carry Trade" / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: By maintaining a Federal Funds rate below the 0.25% level - and injecting $600 billion into the banking system through a second round of quantitative easing - the U.S. Federal Reserve has orchestrated a bubble-like surge in commodity prices, an uptick in global inflation and a historic resurgence in U.S. stock prices.

The low-interest-rate strategy has enabled the U.S. central bank to achieve another important objective - a massive depreciation in the value of the U.S. dollar.

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Currencies

Monday, March 28, 2011

US Dollar, Making a Case for the Greenback / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleR.F. Lee writes: The US Dollar has been on a pronounced downtrend since the middle of 2010, and has been threatening its record lows as of this writing at the end of March 2011. In the week of 21 March 2011, the greenback registered new lows against Gold and the Australian Dollar, and also reached a 31-year low against silver.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 26, 2011

US Dollar Under Acute Pressure As World seeks an Alternative Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bob_Chapman

The days and years of manipulation, fraud and criminal behavior are fast coming to an end. New alliances are evolving, as are outspoken advocates of a new world reserve currency. As a result more and more foreigners are bypassing Treasury and Agency bonds, as well as other US dollar denominated investments. We watch as other major nations accumulate gold and cannot help but think that the new world reserve currency will be gold backed.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 23, 2011

U.S. Dollar Collapse Inevitable, Gold Wealth Protection / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jeff_Clark

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat will happen to the U.S. economy and the dollar in the near term? Will inflation increase dramatically? What is the outlook for gold, and where should you put your money? BIG GOLD asked a world-class panel of economists, authors, and investment advisors what they expect for the future. Caution: strong opinions ahead...

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Currencies

Monday, March 21, 2011

U.S. Dollar Breakdown or Reversal? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Hampson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US Dollar has now broken beneath long term rising support, as shown in the first chart below of the US Dollar index. There are other support levels below, around 75 and then 72, but beneath that we would enter unchartered territory, as shown in the second longer term chart, and the weakness of the latest dollar bounce is notable.

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Currencies

Monday, March 21, 2011

U.S. Dollar End Game / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor months and months I've been warning investors that the dollar was going to come under extreme pressure sometime this year. I expected it to probably happen in the spring. Many people thought I was nuts. They were sure it was the Euro that would collapse, despite the fact that the EU is doing everything they can to protect their currency while Bernanke is doing everything he can to destroy ours.

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Currencies

Monday, March 21, 2011

How the Fed Is Wrecking the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Joseph_T_Salerno

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTestimony before the US House of Representatives, Committee on Financial Services, Subcommittee on Monetary Policy, March 17, 2011

The old argument has recently come back into vogue that moderate inflation is desirable to prevent the far greater evil of deflation. What used to be roundly condemned as "creeping inflation" in the 1950s by Fed officials and mainstream economists alike is today given the scientific-sounding name "inflation-targeting" and hailed as the proper goal of monetary policy.1 In the past decade, this view has been promoted by many mainstream economists, most notably former Fed Chairman Greenspan and current Fed chairman Bernanke. But this view is based on a fundamental confusion. It conflates deflation and depression, which are two very different phenomena. Falling prices are, under most circumstances, absolutely benign and the natural outcome of a prosperous and growing economy. The fear of falling prices is thus a phobia – I call it a "deflation-phobia" – which has no rational basis in economic theory or history.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, March 20, 2011

Fed Policies of U.S. Dollar Destructionism / Interest-Rates / US Dollar

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJames Grant writes: This testimony was delivered before the Ron Paul monetary subcommittee on March 16, 2011.

"What Should the Federal Reserve Do Next?" was the headline over the roundup of expert monetary opinion on the op-ed page of the Sept. 9 Wall Street Journal. The experts couldn't seem to agree. Buy Treasurys by the boatload, one counseled. Do nothing of the sort, urged another. Hew fast to the Taylor Rule, John B. Taylor, himself the author of the very rule, modestly proposed (i.e., fix the federal funds rate at one-and-a-half times the inflation rate plus one-half times the shortfall of GDP from potential, plus one). The half-dozen authorities shared not much common ground except to ignore the principles on which the dollar was defined in 1792 and those on which the Federal Reserve was enacted in 1913. The burden of this essay is that they thereby missed the point.

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Currencies

Sunday, March 13, 2011

Time to Bet on a RISING U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: You hear it over and over...

"Because of all the debts and the deficits, the dollar is about to crash."

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Currencies

Thursday, March 10, 2011

The U.S. Dollar’s Double Decline / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Even silver and gold bears realize that the dollar is in decline, but few realize the extent of such a decline and how massive shifts in capital flows in 2008 will affect the dollar in 2011. 

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 08, 2011

U.S. Dollar Long-term Chart / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jesse

The weakness with this US Dollar DX index is that it is highly weighted to the developed economies of Europe and Japan. As such it may not reflect erosion of dollar purchasing power vis a vis the BRICs, and external measures such as gold, oil, and silver. It may be masked by the mutual weakness of central banks all inflating their currencies in unison.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 08, 2011

Crude Oil and Gold Prices Surge as Speculators Bet Billions Shorting the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKerri Shannon writes: Oil reached a 29-month high (yesterday) Monday morning in London and gold hit an intraday record as investors sought to hedge against inflation and traders bet billions shorting the dollar.

Brent crude futures contracts in London gained 0.1% yesterday to close at $116.11 a barrel, pushed higher by the Middle East crisis disrupting the oil supply. Crude for April delivery was up 0.9% to $105.36 in Monday afternoon trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX).

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Currencies

Monday, March 07, 2011

U.S. Dollar Index at High Risk of Unraveling / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI am sure that you are aware that the Dollar Index can't get a bid. This isn't news but a fact. The Dollar Index is in a down trend, and the question to ponder is: how low can it go? Looking at the price patterns, I believe the Dollar is at significant risk of unraveling.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 02, 2011

Taps for the Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt now appears that the United States has finally succeeded in its efforts to destroy confidence in the U.S. dollar. Given the currency's reserve status, its ubiquity in financial markets, and the economic power and political position of the United States, this was no easy task. However, to get the job done Washington chose the right man: Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. Thanks to Bernanke's herculean efforts, investors across the globe have now been fully weaned from their infantile belief that the U.S. dollar will remain the ultimate safe haven currency.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 01, 2011

Disasters Rocking U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrom earthquakes in New Zealand to revolutions in the Middle East, natural and man-made disasters are rocking the world. We are all too often made to believe that in times of crisis there’s a flight to the U.S. dollar. However, the U.S. dollar has instead had a rocky ride of its own thus allowing the crisis-ridden Eurozone to shine. What’s going on? Is there no crisis, or has the U.S. dollar lost its appeal as a safe haven?

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 01, 2011

Did You Notice This Change in the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Did you notice the U.S. dollar changed in the last few weeks?

I don't mean that it changed colors, has new security features, or has different words.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 01, 2011

Is the U.S. Dollar on the Brink? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJust take a look at the chart of the U.S. dollar Index and you see a frightening sight. If it sinks any further its support will have evaporated. We have watched all this week the gold price rise and look good in the dollar. But in the euro it has barely moved. Against the Swiss Franc the dollar looks so weak. With the Technical picture looking so poor, one turns to the fundamentals to see if they conflict or support a downturn for the dollar.

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Currencies

Thursday, February 17, 2011

U.S. Dollar on the Edge of the Abyss / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe dollar is now poised on the edge of the abyss.

The current intermediate cycle has rolled over and is making lower lows and lower highs. The current daily cycle has formed a swing high and is in jeopardy of rolling over into a left translated cycle. If the dollar breaks below the November intermediate bottom of 75.63 it will be an incredibly bearish sign as not only will the current intermediate cycle have topped in only 4 weeks but the larger yearly cycle will also have topped in only 4 weeks.

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Fed's Gold Bullish Script, Destroying the Dollar and Demolishing the United States / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jeff_Berwick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat If We Had a Bubble and Nobody Came?
You could not have written a better script for gold.  It is almost as if the US Government and the Federal Reserve are trying to destroy the dollar and demolish the country – and taking most of the western world with it.

At the beginning of this gold bull market, in 2000, no one had ever heard of Barack Obama or Ben Bernanke.  But, 11 years later, and an outright socialist profligate spender is President of the US and a College professor who believes in crackpot Keynesian theories about how money printing can save economies is the Chairman of the Federal Reserve.

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Currencies

Saturday, February 12, 2011

U.S. Dollar Gains on Global Political Uncertainty / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LiveCharts

It is a amazing that despite some improving signs on the domestic economy, it is developments in Egypt that have helped prop up the dollar in early Friday (February 11) currency trade.

Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak has once again refused demands that he step down in lieu of a political uprising in the country. The uncertainty surrounding developments in Egypt have weighed on global equities, but the greenback has made a slight comeback.

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Currencies

Thursday, February 03, 2011

The U.S. Dollar Index, How Low Can You Go? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen looking at the Dollar Index, I am reminded of the song the "Cha Cha Slide"when the performer says, "How low can you go?" There is no question investors believe that the Dollar is going down and that equities are only going up all courtesy of Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke and his QE 2 policy. Yesterday's rally in equities and concurrent drop in the Dollar served to remind me of the fact that currency devaluation and increasing liquidity remain the drivers for equities. It has been that way since 2007, and why should it stop now? For the record, the Dollar Index was down a hefty 0.86% yesterday while stocks enjoyed a strong trend day.

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Currencies

Friday, January 28, 2011

Could Bernanke Spark a Run on the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTreasury yields are "blinking red", but the Fed keeps acting like nothing's wrong. What's the deal?

Let's explain: Fed chairman Ben Bernanke's bond purchasing program (QE2) has sent the yield on  the 30-year Treasury skyrocketing. At the same time, the the 2-year Treasury is stuck at a lowly 0.61. That means, the "yield curve" between the two bonds has grown steeper, which normally happens at the beginning of a recovery because investors are moving out of "risk free" bonds to riskier assets like stocks. Typically, the yield on the long-term bond will start to go down on its own because investors expect the Fed to raise short-term rates to curb potential inflation. But that's not happening this time. Why? And why should we care?

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Currencies

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Plans to Save the Doomed U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mac_Slavo

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReuters’ Emily Flitter asks in a recent column What is Plan B if China dumps its U.S. debt?

It is worth asking about U.S. officials’ Plan B just in case one day relations take a surprise turn for the worse and Beijing dumps its holdings of U.S. treasuries.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

A Temporary Lifeline for the U.S. Dollar 2011 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Q1_Publishing

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article2011 is set to be the year of the dollar’s rebound.
At first glance, the dollar shouldn’t be on the rise. Official unemployment is stuck at near 10%. Dozens of municipal governments are set to fall into bankruptcy this year. The federal budget deficit is over $1 trillion. The Fed has signaled its intention to monetize more debt.

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Currencies

Monday, January 17, 2011

Why Hold Dollars if the Fed is Going to Intentionally Deflate Their Value? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs everyone seems to know, and as you have read endlessly in innumerable reports, the Federal Reserve has expanded its balance sheet by more than two trillion dollars. At present is in the process of adding another six hundred billion dollars of assets by monetizing U.S. government debt. At the same time, Obama Regime's deficit has spiraled out of control. Correctly measured, that deficit for the past year was $1.7 trillion.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 06, 2011

Destruction of the U.S. Dollar, The Real Reason Paul Volcker Wants Out / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jeff_Berwick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe news that Paul Volcker plans to step down from a "panel of experts" advising Barack Obama today will likely whip market participants into a bit of a frenzy analyzing what this could possibly mean.

But, the problem with their conclusions will be that they are starting from an incorrect premise.  The great majority of market participants believe that Paul Volcker was responsible for ending the inflation of the 1970s.  And, as usual, the great majority of market participants are wrong.

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Currencies

Friday, December 17, 2010

The U.S. Dollar Threads a Needle / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePre-holiday cheer is certainly evident in the financial markets. The overwhelming consensus is that the Congressional agreement to not raise taxes while extending hundreds of billions in new stimulus will finally allow the recovery to take hold. The good feelings are underscored by less-than-awful employment reports and modest slowdowns in foreclosures. Another point of optimism is the continued buoyancy of the US dollar, which has weakened over the past few months, but has not collapsed.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Is The U.S. Dollar Too Big to Fail? Gold and Silver Lifeline / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Lorimer_Wilson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThose in the U.S. power structure know what the plan is should the U.S. dollar fail. They are not admitting publically that there is even the remotest chance that it could happen but, rest assured, there is a plan.  There is always a plan.  To paraphrase Franklin Roosevelt, nothing happens by chance in government, so don’t be caught up in such a ‘surprise’ event - whatever it may be and whenever it occurs.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Post Mortem for the world's "Reserve Currency" / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePaul Volcker is worried about the future of the dollar and for good reason. The Fed has initiated a program (Quantitative Easing) that presages an end to Bretton Woods 2 and replaces it with different system altogether. Naturally, that's made trading partners pretty nervous. Despite the unfairness of the present system--where export-dependent countries recycle capital to US markets to sustain demand---most nations would rather stick with the "devil they know", then venture into the unknown.  But US allies weren't consulted on the matter.  The Fed unilaterally decided that the only way to fight deflation and high unemployment in the US, was by weakening the dollar and making US exports more competitive. Hence--QE2.

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Currencies

Monday, December 13, 2010

U.S. Dollar Forecast 2011, Ways to Profit Despite the Greenback's Expected Struggles / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBy Larry D. Spears writes: The U.S. dollar faces a long list of challenges in the New Year.

The U.S. greenback could strengthen in 2011-but only against the European euro and other currencies with heavy exposure to the European debt crisis, including the British pound sterling. Against virtually every other currency, however, the U.S. dollar is likely to be the loser.

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Currencies

Sunday, December 12, 2010

The Debt-Dollar Discipline: Part II - Conservation & Release / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashvin_Pandurangi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePart I in this series introduced Michel Foucault's theory of disciplinary society, laid out in his book Discipline and Punish, and the application of this analysis to the "debt-dollar discipline" formally imposed on global society by the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1945 (establishing the dollar as the global reserve currency). It should come as no surprise that this global financial discipline is currently in the process of being revoked.

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Currencies

Friday, December 10, 2010

Will Aussie Dollar Overtake U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bari_Baig

Green back was not strong nor weak it was neutral at best with mild bias towards the red territory a perfect example of undergoing consolidation. However, the U.S Dollar really was materially weak against the Aussie Dollar as the data out from Canberra of employment beat not just the streets estimates but also beat previous induction of “full time” workers. The employment rose by 54,600 for the month of November for full time workers. Australia has the highest interest rates of all the developed nations and keeping in view such high employability the already tight monetary policy would certainly have to be tightened even further.

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Currencies

Saturday, December 04, 2010

Collapse of the Debt Dollar Discipline: Financial Discipline & Punish / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashvin_Pandurangi

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article*The following is Part I in a two part series of articles on the relatively rapid emergence and collapse of the "debt-dollar discipline" imposed on our global society. It is being done in two installments mainly due to my current time constraints, but also for the sake of shorter length and targeted focus. This part will introduce Michel Foucault's (renowned french philosopher, 1926-1984) analysis of "discipline" and "punish" in the modern state, and apply it to the global debt-dollar reserve system. The next part will focus entirely on the ongoing collapse of this disciplinary system, as it such an important and far-reaching topic.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 01, 2010

China and Russia Trade Agreement: More than Meets the Eye / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Direct trade between China and Russia may be less than $50 billion annually, but it's not the numbers that matter.  Under the new agreement, China and Russia have decided that they will use their own local currencies to settle bilateral trade.  Previously, both countries used the United States dollar as an intermediary for settling delivery payments. 

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 01, 2010

U.S. Dollar USD Index Deja-Vu from 52 Weeks Ago? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUS dollar stabilizes up as US bond yields push higher following the 93K increase in Nov ADP (highest since Nov 2007) and the October revision to +82K from +43K. US 10 year yields jump to 2.91% from 2.79% earlier, further boosting the "good-data-is positive-for-USD" reaction, which was not always apparent. Although the euro is holding firm, general FX dynamics are increasingly similar to exactly a year ago when USD strengthened in early December 2009 on a combination of strong US Nov jobs report (released on December 4, 2009 at -11k vs expectations of -130K) and the triple downgrades of Greece later in the month (Fitch, S&P and Moodys). Are we witnessing a Déjà vu from exactly 52 weeks ago? Such would be the case in the event of double positive surprise (strong NFP, falling unemployment rate) and possibly upside revisions.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

U.S. Dollar's Rally From the End of Inverted Parabolic Formation is Bearish for Gold and Silver / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReally need to start drinking more coffee, perhaps. Must have fallen asleep and missed the demise of the U.S. dollar. For when we looked this morning, it was still there trading away. Something must have happened while we were nodding off.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Why I Still Like the U.S. Dollar in a Crisis / Currencies / US Dollar

By: DailyWealth

Jeff Clark writes: "Where the heck is our emergency cash?" I asked, looking squarely at my wife...

The mountain of $20 bills I stashed away last year was now nothing more than a mole-hill.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Four Ways to Monitor the U.S. Dollar and Risk Trade / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith European debt markets getting little relief thus far from the Ireland bailout, we need to keep a continued eye on the U.S. dollar. A weaker U.S. dollar tends to provide tailwinds for stocks, commodities, gold, and silver. Therefore, a longer-than-expected rally in the greenback may provide headwinds for these assets, with gold being the possible exception in the near-term.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Currency Manipulation, Two Sides to Every Coin / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecently, currency manipulation has garnered headline attention. We have been constantly bombarded with rhetoric out of Washington: “China isn’t allowing its currency to appreciate fast enough”; “China’s exchange rate policies are stealing jobs from America”; “We’re playing fair, why can’t China?” More often than not, the more vociferous proponents come from politicians who, in our opinion, are simply posturing for votes; attempting to provide catchy sound bites they believe will resonate with their constituents, without fully grasping the underlying fundamentals at play. The situation itself is truly paradoxical – akin to a major corporation thanking its largest creditor by insulting them.

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Currencies

Monday, November 29, 2010

U.S. Dollar Rally, Gold and the Art of Speculation / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Howard_Katz

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe rally in the dollar over the past few weeks serves as a good illustration of what it takes to be a good speculator.  I can remember when I was new to the art of speculation.  It was the early 1970s, and Richard Nixon, unilaterally and illegally, abolished the U.S. gold standard (or at least the slender, connection to gold which still existed at that time and was known as the Bretton Woods System).

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Politics

Friday, November 26, 2010

While North And South Korea Exchange Artillery, China and Russia Fire A Warning Shot Against The Bernanke Bow / Politics / US Dollar

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen time permits I like to relax with a good mystery story.  One of my favorite masters of the genre is Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, creator of Shirlock Holmes.  A few days ago a story appeared on the front page of China Daily on 11-23-10, that is worthy in emulating the masters great classic: “The Dog That Did Not Bark.” 

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Currencies

Thursday, November 18, 2010

The U.S. Dollar Survives Again / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Browne

Given all that stress that the Federal Reserve's currency debasement program is laying on the global economy, last week's G-20 summit in South Korea should have been the monetary equivalent of a military degradation for the U.S. dollar. The greenback should have been slapped across the face, stripped of its medals, and cashiered from the ranks of respected currencies. Instead the dollar escaped unscathed, retaining its privileged status as the world's reserve.

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Currencies

Thursday, November 18, 2010

U.S. Dollar, USD Index Rally? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Christopher_Laird

Why the USD is rallying
Well why can the USD rally now with another $600 billion of US QE? Basically it is argued by some, including me, that since the US has the defacto world reserve currency, that even if the US wants to abuse it and print a lot of money, since they print it, and issue the USD, they can win any argument on currency rates.

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 17, 2010

U.S. Dollar Trend Puts Gold Under Pressure / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week I warned that the U.S. Dollar was reaching three year lows and to expect a dollar bounce. The dollar has bounced higher as risk aversion has returned with Ireland on the verge of needing a bailout and China raising interest rates to combat rising inflation. There are growing concerns of the Fed needing to raise interest rates ahead of schedule. The previous euphoria in commodities appears to be waning and the technicals are demonstrating the fundamental challenges facing commodities.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Looking Back at the Credit Crunch, Fall of the Mighty Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Rosanne_Lim

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen politicians and policy makers see an economic problem, especially one with the scale of the financial crisis today, they feel obliged to solve it. Unfortunately, the measures they’ve implemented have not worked so far. In fact, their policies have the opposite effect because it reinforces imbalances. The monetary stimulus is just whetted the appetites of consumers to purchase even more imports. Meanwhile, the second round of quantitative easing might only make it worse.

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Currencies

Sunday, November 14, 2010

U.S. Election Rejection of Obama is Bullish for U.S. Dollar, Gold Rally Defferred / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRejection may be hard for most politicians to accept, but might be good for the nation and the world. Obama Regime's mismanagement of U.S. economy was rejected on 2nd of November in the U.S. election. That rejection ushered in the greatest change in political power in U.S. since 1948. Thus far, Obama Regime's only positive legacy will be the greatest political rejection in 62 years. That development means Obama Regime's reign of terror on wealth and economic growth has ended. That is bullish news for the U.S. dollar.

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Currencies

Friday, November 12, 2010

U.S. Dollar Devaluation, A Bad Plan Poorly Disguised / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith our economy sagging and our international clout waning, one of the few assets upon which the United States can rely is the confidence that the rest of the world has traditionally showered upon us. That confidence is the reason why the US dollar was elevated to global reserve status more than 65 years ago.

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Currencies

Thursday, November 11, 2010

The U.S. Dollar, What should Investors do? What should Governments do? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) strategy of firing up its printing press may have the debasement of the U.S. dollar as its goal (see Fed Targets Weaker Dollar), but it’s important to note that the Fed does not act in a vacuum. In our humble opinion, Fed Chair Bernanke is wrong both on substance and politics – a potentially explosive mix.

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Currencies

Thursday, November 11, 2010

Will the G20 Dump the U.S. Dollar as the World's Main Reserve Currency? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes: The Group of 20 (G-20) is meeting today (Thursday) and tomorrow (Friday) in Seoul, South Korea, and one of the main topics of discussion will be the role of the U.S. dollar in the post-crisis global economy.

Debate over the dollar's role as the world's main reserve currency rose to a fevered pitch in 2008 when the financial crisis, which began in the United States, first roiled global markets.

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

U.S. Dollar Bounces Off Important Support on Post QE2 Reality / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jeb_Handwerger

This week we are reaching price levels in the dollar that have only been touched 3 major times in the last 3 years.  After touching this level the dollar has bounced higher in reaction to major deflationary forces.

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

U.S. Dollar Stronger as Speculators Consider Global Economy / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LiveCharts

Currency speculators are struggling to make sense of everything happening around them in the global economy. At the moment (November 10), the dollar is in a stronger position following the Central Bank sell off of some 10-year debt at a lower than expected yield.

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Fed Pushing U.S. Dollar Closer to Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJeff Fisher writes: Every day the US Dollar moves closer to collapse.

International investors, unlike most Americans, are aware of the risk, and are nervously watching Gold and Silver march higher.

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Currencies

Monday, November 08, 2010

U.S. Dollar Rally Possible, Reduce Exposure to Gold, Silver and Copper / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile the long-term fundamentals related to the U.S. dollar remain bearish, Friday’s significant rally in the greenback leaves the door open for a possible countertrend rally. The conditions highlighted below may be cleared in a matter of days, but as of the close on November 5th the dollar remains susceptible to a surprise countertrend rally.

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Currencies

Sunday, November 07, 2010

Bernanke Delivers QE2 Last Rites for Dollar as Worlds Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMillions of Americans have no idea what Quantitative Easing is or how it will effect them personally. That's why Wednesday's announcement that the Fed will purchase another $600 billion in US Treasuries merely reinforced feelings of helplessness and a sense that government spending is out-of-control. Unfortunately, Ben Bernanke's rambling explanation of QE2 in a Washington Post op-ed on Thursday only added to the confusion. The article is loaded with half-truths and omissions that are meant to mislead the public about how the program works and what the Fed's real objectives are. It's another missed opportunity by Bernanke to come clean with the people and let them know what policies are being enacted in their name. Here's an excerpt from the article:

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Currencies

Saturday, November 06, 2010

Seven Bullish U.S. Dollar Charts You Should See / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bryan_Rich

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe currency market, as well as all markets, have been heavily focused on the U.S. and the Fed’s plans for more quantitative easing (QE).

And that’s had a huge impact on the dollar and on dollar sentiment.

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Currencies

Friday, November 05, 2010

Fed Quantitative Easing 2, One of the Greatest Blunders in History / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

Many years from now when we look back at history I think yesterday will be seen as one of the greatest blunders ever made by a central banker.

The dollar was already headed down into a major 3 year cycle low.

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Currencies

Friday, October 29, 2010

Keep Your Head Above the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

There has been so much discussion recently about "QE 2" that you would think the entire financial sector were about to embark on a transatlantic cruise. Unfortunately, they, and we, are not so lucky. In the year 2010, "QE 2" doesn't refer to a sumptuous ocean liner, but a second, more extravagant round of "quantitative easing" - stimulus. In the past, this technique was simply called "printing money." As if the nation has not already suffered enough from the first round, Captain Ben Bernanke and the Fed are determined to compound the damage by hitting us with another monetary juggernaut. Their stated goal is to boost the economy and create jobs. However, since economic growth cannot be achieved by printing money, their QE 2 will sink just as surely as the Titanic.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

U.S. Dollar Index Impact on Precious Metals / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ronald_Rosen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince there is so much concern and conviction that the U.S. Dollar is about to collapse and the precious metals complex is about to rise sharply, let’s take a close look at where the Dollar Index has been, what if anything in the precious metals complex it has influenced, and where it may be going.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

U.S. Dollar USD Index Trend Forecast Update / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe present action of the USD is congruent with the various forms of quantitative easing at the moment. All forms of paper currency  are becoming weakened as all larger governments expand their fiat. If China and the US goverments add alot of paper, it can be converted into other currencies or assets. IF the funds are converted to say Canadian dollars, the Canadian currency was just indirectly debased. This is due to global conversion from one currency to another. Any country that produces anything in the coming years is going to see strength in their local currency, which in turn will increase with demand.

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Currencies

Friday, October 22, 2010

U.S. Dollar Current Account Woes / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAmid the recent rout of the USDollar, fears of an all-out trade war have been stoked globally. The G20 finance heads are currently struggling to find common ground on current account imbalances that will avert the inevitable. The point should not be lost on anyone that none of these leaders are really concerned about why these imbalances exist, but rather are only focusing on avoiding the negative consequences of poor fiscal behavior stacked up over the past several decades.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Will the U.S. Treasury Defend the Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“Everything depends on proper listening. Of ten people who listen to the same speech or story, each person may well understand it differently. Perhaps, only one of them will understand it correctly.” How should traders interpret the latest remarks by US Treasury chief Timothy Geithner, who shocked the currency markets on October 18th, citing his determination to defend the value of the US-dollar?

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Currencies

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Geithner, China Currency War and Foreclosure-gate / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGlobal markets freaked out on Tuesday primarily due to the following events:

  • U.S. Treasury Secretary Geithner’s speech on Monday pledging “The United States and no country around the world can devalue its way to prosperity." 
  • Within hours after Geithner’s statement, China made a surprise interest rate hike—its first since 2007--raised fears that Chinese growth will slow with global implications. 
  • The unraveling of the “foreclosure-gate” could mean banking crisis 2.0
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Politics

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

U.S. Policies Intensifying Currency War and Trade Conflicts / Politics / US Dollar

By: Barry_Grey

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the wake of the fractious International Monetary Fund (IMF) meeting held October 9-10 in Washington, the descent into global currency and trade war has accelerated, with the United States playing the role of instigator-in-chief.

The US is deliberately encouraging a sell-off of dollars on international currency markets in order to raise the relative exchange rates of its major trade rivals, increasing the effective price of their exports to the US while cheapening US exports to their markets.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

A Rising U.S. Dollar Amidst a Currency War? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Marty_Chenard

Wall Street has been pointing out how a falling Dollar is good for stocks ... especially for international companies. What happens if the Dollar rises now?

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Currencies

Monday, October 18, 2010

U.S. Dollar Devaluation, The Greatest Bet of All Time / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Larry_Edelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNo doubt you watched the U.S. dollar plunge almost out of control last week.

And no doubt you heard about the massive currency wars that are bearing down on the world, as each major country tries to put itself on sale, to boost exports, to inflate debts, and to compete in a world where both consumers and investors are running for cover.

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News_Letter

Monday, October 18, 2010

USD Index Trend Forecast Into Mid 2011, U.S. Dollar Collapse (Again)? / News_Letter / US Dollar

By: NewsLetter

The Market Oracle Newsletter
Oct 12th, 2010 Issue #56 Vol. 4

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Currencies

Sunday, October 17, 2010

Look at the U.S. Dollar USD Index / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Steven_Vincent

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAt this time sentiment on the US Dollar Index is about as bearish as ever and at least equivalent to that at the bottom in December 2009. Expectations for a meltdown to all time lows in the context of rampant devaluation via Quantitative Easing by the Fed are nearly universal. While these expectations may, of course, be met in the market, it's worth asking what the implications may be if the setup renders a contrarian result.

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Currencies

Saturday, October 16, 2010

U.S. Dollar USD Index ZERO Bound / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Joseph_Russo

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWho is fooling whom?"
It is with sheer disbelief, and utter amazement that the real world accepts such an empty unit of exchange to start with.  To fathom a plausible reason for such collective behavior, one need not go any further than studying the classic conditioning experiment of Pavlov and his dogs.

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Currencies

Friday, October 15, 2010

Federal Reserve Policy Pushes the U.S. Dollar Ever Closer to Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePeter D. Schiff writes: Much of the content of the latest U.S. Federal Reserve statement, released on Sept. 21, echoes the central bank's previous post-credit-crunch pronouncements: There is still too much slack in the economy, interest rates are still going to be near-zero for an "extended period," and the Fed will continue to use payments from its Treasury purchases to buy yet more Treasuries.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 14, 2010

U.S. Dollar Cannot Even Hold 5 Day Moving Average / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Trader_Mark

Dollar bulls are now showing in the 3% range which is a similar reading to Euro bulls in late spring during the Greece crisis ... the euro was roughly 1.18 to the dollar, and people were talking par (1.00). Now the euro just broke over 1.40.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 14, 2010

How to Diversify Out Of U.S. Dollars With ETFs / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ron_Rowland

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDo you pay attention to the currency markets? You’d better, if you want to survive and thrive in these crazy times.

I have to tell you I am NOT a currency expert. For deeper analysis I refer you to my Money and Markets colleague Bryan Rich. I do, however, know a trend when I see one — and right now the trend in the U.S. dollar is down against every major currency.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Fed Slashing the U.S. Dollar, The Economic Future is Ugly / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed has has hinted that it will launch a second round of quantitative easing (QE) sometime after its November 2 meeting. The anticipated intervention has been widely criticized, but for all the wrong reasons. Fed chairman Ben Bernanke knows that adding another $1 to $1.5 trillion to bulging bank reserves will likely have little effect on aggregate demand. Nor will it lower unemployment now hovering at 9.7%. It will, however, send a message to trading partners (re: China) that the Fed is serious about reducing destabilizing trade imbalances that siphon-off domestic stimulus, increase unemployment and keep the dollar perilously overvalued. In other words, the Fed's action is the first volley in what is likely to be a protracted currency war that leads to the final demise of Bretton Woods 2.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Fed’s Bizarre Tactics Target Weaker U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIs the Federal Reserve (Fed) experiencing a midlife crisis? Ever since Fed Chairman Bernanke gave a speech in Jackson Hole, Fed behavior can be summarized as, well, bizarre. According to Bernanke, the market’s inflation expectations may be too low. He considers three possible remedies:

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

China’s Plan to Dethrone the U.S. Dollar as Worlds Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDon Miller writes: The U.S. dollar is on the way out as the world's top reserve currency. And as Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald predicted more than a year and a half ago, the yuan could be set to replace it.

The greenback has served as the world's benchmark reserve currency since the mid-20th century, but soaring deficits and the U.S. Federal Reserve's loose monetary policy have drained the dollar's value.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

USD Index Trend Forecast Into Mid 2011, U.S. Dollar Collapse (Again)? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFollowing the USD Index peak at 89 in early June 2010, the Dollar has been on a near relentlessly slide to the recent low of 76.90 which represents a 14% fall in just 4 months. The fall in the Dollar has again brought out the perma Dollar collapse proponents who have periodically come out to reiterate that the U.S. Dollar as measured by the USD index is destined to crash and burn which is set against the perma deflationists who continuously propose that DEFLATION will result in the Dollar rallying to new highs as a consequence of debt deleveraging, which again was most prevalent just as the U.S. Dollar peaked. Therefore this in-depth analysis will seek to conclude towards a probable trend forecast for the USD index into Mid 2011 (9 months forward).

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Currencies

Monday, October 11, 2010

U.S. Dollar Could Rally In Coming Weeks / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Chris_Ciovacco

When one side of any market gets crowded, it is time to prepare for a possible reversal. While there are numerous reasons to be bearish on the U.S. dollar long-term, there are some short-to-intermediate-term factors that may cause the dollar to stage a counter-trend rally in the coming weeks. As we monitor the dollar, we must also consider the possible impact on “weak dollar assets” such as gold (GLD), silver (SLV), copper (JJC), oil (USO), agricultural commodities (DBA), Australian dollar (FXA), Canadian dollar (FXC), and emerging markets (EEM).

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Currencies

Saturday, October 09, 2010

U.S. Dollar in trouble following job’s report / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LiveCharts

An already weak US dollar took another hit early Friday (October 8) morning following the latest report on jobs. According to new Labor Department numbers, 95,000 workers were cut by US employers during the month of September.

The number of new jobless claims was far worse than analysts had predicted. Bloomberg News, for instance, forecasted just 5,000 new job cuts in its survey of economists.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 07, 2010

U.S. Dollar At Support, Bounce Likely / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Guy_Lerner

Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the PowerShares DB US Dollar Bull ETF (symbol: UUP).

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Currencies

Thursday, October 07, 2010

Does a U.S. Dollar Crash Loom? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEven if you’re not one who tracks currency values, you just knew the dollar was on the ropes again if you bothered to check your mail box. Whenever the dollar shows any sustained weakness the newsletter publishers will send out bulk mail advertisements with sensational headlines like, “Dollar Crash Looms!” or “The Dollar Will Soon Be Devalued and Replaced.” After receiving two such mailings on the same day last week, it was obvious to me what the investor sentiment was like on the greenback.

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Currencies

Friday, October 01, 2010

Can Nuclear Power Bolster The Wilting U.S. Dollar ? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Andrew_McKillop

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt could seem surprising to ask this question, but desperate problems call forth innovative remedies - and conventional wisdom has it that Barack Obama’s administration is on the economic ropes. The problem is that un-conventional wisdom says the same thing but comes to the same conclusion along different pathways.

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Currencies

Friday, October 01, 2010

U.S. Dollar Race to the Bottom / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

Long ago, before economic models developed their current levels of sophistication, it used to be that the goal of a government's economic policy was to bring prosperity to its citizens; in other words, to raise the general level of material comfort, while at the same time reducing the amount of toil required to attain that end.

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Currencies

Thursday, September 30, 2010

U.S. Dollar Weakens Against Major Currencies / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LiveCharts

The euro, pound and yen are among major currencies that have taken advantage of a weaker dollar again this week. The dollar, already sluggish in lieu of ongoing unemployment concerns, slid further following the Fed’s announcement last week that it plans to buy US Treasuries to effectively infuse cash into the economy.

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Currencies

Thursday, September 30, 2010

U.S. Dollar is on the Edge / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bob_Kirtley

Every picture tells a story and the below chart shows the US Dollar heading down the tubes in contrast to the ascendancy of gold prices, silver prices and the unhedged mining companies that comprise the HUI. The USD has dropped from ‘88′ to ‘78′ in 4 months, a fall of 11.40%. Just imagine being a cabinet member of a foreign government with a pile of trade generated dollars on your hands, watching them disintegrate before your eyes!

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Currencies

Thursday, September 30, 2010

Cram Down the Ultimate $100 Trillion Bailout, U.S. Dollar Value Fast Meltdown Ahead / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Chris_Kitze

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you've never heard of a "Cram Down", you are about to get a first hand lesson on the receiving end of the biggest one in history. The words "Cram Down" used to be reserved for companies in bankruptcy or smaller venture backed companies that run out of cash and are recapitalized by "cramming down" the equity held by existing shareholders. The only other alternative to closing the doors is to reorganize the ownership structure to attract new capital and keep it in business. Those who don't have the money to play in the next round -- i.e. don't have a money printing press -- will get wiped out . Having personally experienced a number of these unpleasant affairs in various businesses, you are definitely better off giving than receiving a Cram Down.

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

U.S. Dollar Falls below USD 80, the Currency Crisis Has Begun / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt's been my position for a while that Bernanke's monetary policy would eventually create a currency crisis in the world’s reserve currency.

I warned that crisis would begin as soon as it became apparent the dollar was caught in the grip of the 3 year cycle decline.

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Currencies

Monday, September 20, 2010

For a Clear View of the Dollar’s Pressure Watch the Swiss Franc / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Swiss Franc has enjoyed a strong rally against the Dollar spread over many years with a brief correction around the turn of the millennia. Although a small economy compared to the US, it is well known how strong the Swiss economy is and the standard of living is among the highest in the World.

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Currencies

Saturday, September 18, 2010

Japan Currency Intervenention to Bail Out America / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

This week, after the Japanese yen had surged to a fifteen-year high against the US dollar, the Japanese government decided to intervene in the foreign exchange market. To great fanfare, the Bank of Japan initiated a vigorous campaign to buy US dollars, thereby stemming the rise of the yen and pulling up the greenback. The effects were immediate, with the yen falling an astonishing 3% on the day of the announcement. At a time when American politicians are growing increasingly vocal about China's currency manipulations, Washington was strangely silent on the Japanese move. This was completely overlooked by the hawkeyed media.

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Who Owns the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Pravda

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAt first glance, this would seem like a rather silly, stupid and pointless question. Why, the average person would answer, the American people own it. Or rather, if one had to get more technical, the American government, which is in turn, being a Republic, owned by the people, one in the same.

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

Elliot Wave Super Cycle, End of the World Deflation Never Had a Chance / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLately we've been hearing a lot of talk about Kondratieff cycles, Elliot Wave super cycle, end of the world, deflation, deflation, deflation.

What the deflationists fail to acknowledge is that in a purely fiat monetary system deflation is a choice not an inevitability. To put it in simple terms, if a government is willing to sacrifice its currency there is absolutely no way deflation can take hold in a modern monetary system.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

U.S. Dollar Threatened by Fannie & Freddie / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSocial subsidies may make good politics, but all too often bad economics. When Fannie Mae was created in 1938, the seeds were planted for the biggest housing bust the world has ever seen; the going was good while the party lasted for the first 80 years, but ended in the financial crisis of 2008 – the hangover for many still remains. In 2008, many feared the dollar might collapse should Fannie Mae and its smaller cousin Freddie Mac (together here Government Sponsored Entities or GSEs) fail; little did those so fearful know that the government would embark on the largest bailout in history; the U.S. dollar rallied as the GSEs were put into conservatorship, making the previous implicit government guarantee just about as explicit as is possible.

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Currencies

Monday, August 23, 2010

China Ditches the U.S. Dollar, Are Times Changing? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: money_morning_au

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShae Smith writes: We all know the US flogs its debt to anyone willing to buy it. And up until recently, that's been China.

Very slowly, over the past twelve months China has been lowering its exposure to US treasuries. In fact, in the last twelve months, they've offloaded about USD$100 billion dollars worth.

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Currencies

Friday, August 20, 2010

What Problems Lie Ahead for the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe recent history of the Dollar

China is the largest holder of the U.S. Dollar in its foreign exchange reserves at $2.45 + trillion. This is an impossible number to trade on foreign exchanges. So they're stuck with them until they can spend them. But, as long as the U.S. Dollar is the world's sole reserve currency, these reserves are useful to buy any asset in any country. It is vital that they retain their buying power. Buying power is defined by its exchange rate value and inside the U.S. relates to the inflation rate.

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Currencies

Friday, August 13, 2010

It's the Third and Final Act for the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJeff Fisher writes: The US credit system is in the midst of its third credit crisis since the advent of the Federal Reserve.

The first credit crisis was a deflation that morphed into the Great Depression. (See Rothbard's: America's Great Depression.)

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Currencies

Thursday, August 12, 2010

How to Profit From the Fed's U.S. Dollar Destruction Policy / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: This week's decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve to buy Treasuries in an effort to prop up borrowing is further proof that the economy is worse off than policymakers would have us believe. But more than that, the Fed's Treasury purchase plan is just one more reason for investors to anticipate inflation and take steps to protect their money from it.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 04, 2010

EURIBOR, Euro and USD Index / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMany have expressed scepticism with strength of the euro at a time when EURIBOR and EUR-Libor rates remained on the rise. EUR 3-month LIBOR stands at 12-month high of 0.83%, up 46% from its March lows. Yet unlike in April-May when rising Eurozone rates resulted from plummeting inter-bank confidence and falling liquidity in the system, the recent strengthening in Eurzone interbank rates has been partly boosted by improved macroeconomic/bank earnings figures, as well as a stabilizing currency.

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Currencies

Monday, August 02, 2010

US Dollar Index Declines as Eurodollar Short Squeeze Ends / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jesse

Dollar LIBOR is the 'tell' as european banks scramble to obtain US dollars to satisfy customer demand, they drive the 'price' of the dollar higher. The cause of the squeeze was the euro uncertainty based on ratings downgrades on Greece, and the hedge funds determined selling of the euro, which created a sell off in euros.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 28, 2010

U.S. Dollar Stress Next? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

The crisis is dead! Long live the crisis! In an attempt to address the debt crises swirling around the globe, policy makers have responded with a mishmash of somewhat questionable approaches:

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 28, 2010

Evolving Global Financial Crisis, U.S. Dollar Heading Down Again / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs we long ago predicted, 2005 was the beginning of the collapse of the housing bubble. The result was financial chaos and a credit crisis that enveloped the US, Europe and eventually the world. Some would like us to believe that materialism and selfishness were the reasons for bubbles, but the causes go far deeper than that. US, UK and European central banks, due to their greed for power, and a desire for world government, allowed debt to get totally out of control.

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Currencies

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Positive Corporate Eearnings Reports Boost U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LiveCharts

The dollar has been getting hammered in recent weeks as renewed concerns about the economy caused many to get out of long dollar positions.  However, several positive earnings reports to start the week have helped give the greenback a boost against most major currencies.

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Currencies

Friday, July 16, 2010

Time for U.S. Dollar Bounce as Peter Schiff Forecasts Dollar Rout / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe time for a dollar bounce is at hand. One reason I make that statement is the single best contrarian indicator on the US dollar has spoken.

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Currencies

Monday, July 12, 2010

Is it time for the U.S. Dollar Index to Rally? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: INO

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe dollar index, which put in a strong performance in the first six months of the year, pulled back from its recent highs and appears to be in defensive mode.

If you are not familiar with the US dollar index (USDX), it is an index, or measure, of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies.

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 06, 2010

Floating Exchange Rates, Scheme to Embezzle the Dollar Balances of Surplus Countries / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Professor_Emeritus

Milton Friedman's theory of floating exchange rates, on which the international monetary system has been based since 1971, has given rise to a coercive regime in the sense that IMF statutes forbid member countries to stabilize the value of their currencies. A country attempting to do that is branded "a currency manipulator" and is threatened with trade sanctions. The prohibition is understandable. It is designed to protect the scheme whereby the dollar balances of the surplus countries are stealthily embezzled. It works as follows.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Dollar Hammered by Yen as Job Concerns Remain / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LiveCharts

The dollar has quietly slipped against the yen in this week’s currency trade while remaining mostly flat against other major counterparts including the Euro and British Pound.  A less than stellar round of economic reports Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday (June 30) morning have cast a dark cloud over optimism for economic recovery.

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Currencies

Sunday, June 27, 2010

Is it Time to Bet Against the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: The U.S. dollar has been one of the world's strongest currencies in the first part of 2010.

And it's no wonder. The Greek debt crisis continues to threaten Europe's overall health, and could unleash an entirely new contagion on the rest of the global economy. Then there's China, - the engine of world growth during much of the financial crisis - which now appears to face the near-term triple threat of slowing growth, accelerating inflation and workplace unrest. Add in concerns about commodity prices and global debt levels and it's easy to see why currency investors have sought the safe haven of the U.S. dollar.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 25, 2010

Stock Market SPX Driving U.S. Dollar Trend / Stock-Markets / US Dollar

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

So far this year, the US dollar has enjoyed a strong performance.  Traders carefully watch this flagship currency since its fortunes affect virtually everything, from world-trade balances to global financial markets to commodities prices.  Given the dollar’s universal impact, understanding its drivers is essential for gaming all kinds of markets.

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Currencies

Monday, June 21, 2010

U.S. Dollar Top Forecast, How to Play the Bear Side / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry D. Spears writes: In spite of an assortment of economic uncertainties at home, the U.S. dollar has been the star of the currency world for most of 2010. Spooked by persistent and seemingly insurmountable debt problems east of the Atlantic and the specter of unsustainable growth and potential inflation on the Pacific side of the globe, savers and investors fled European and Asian currencies for the relative safe haven of the dollar.

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Currencies

Saturday, June 12, 2010

The U.S. Dollar’s Bull Market Is Just Getting Started! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe dollar index has surged 20 percent since last November. And this week, it was sniffing around its 2009 high!

That’s pretty impressive, especially given that the 2009 high was driven by an across the board, global flight to the dollar … underpinned by one of the worst combinations of financial crisis and global economic recession on record.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 10, 2010

U.S. Dollar's Days are Numbered / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: The U.S. dollar has been one of the world's strongest currencies in the first part of 2010, posting double-digit gains through the end of May.

And little wonder. The Greek debt crisis continues to threaten Europe's overall health, and could unleash an entirely new contagion on the rest of the global economy. Then there's China, - the engine of world growth during much of the financial crisis - which now appears to face the near-term triple threat of slowing growth, accelerating inflation and workplace unrest. Add in concerns about commodity prices and global debt levels and it's easy to see why currency investors have sought the safe haven of the U.S. dollar.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 09, 2010

New Financial world 2012 and the End of Days Prophecy / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Christopher_Laird

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe talked several months ago about how our estimate of when the USD really hits the fan came to be around 2012. That was an accident, not intentional. We mentioned then that we found that very intriguing. That is because the USD is so central to our present financial world that, if it fell apart, the outcomes would be so severe that the financial world, and even just how money works, would be turned upside down.

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Currencies

Monday, June 07, 2010

Why a Rising U.S. Dollar Is Horrible News for China / Currencies / US Dollar

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTom Dyson writes: Hugh Hendry is the famous British hedge-fund manager who predicted the banking crisis and made 40% in 2008. Every few months, Hendry writes a letter to his investors, called the Eclectica Monthly Letter. It's among the best financial commentary you'll find anywhere on the Internet.

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Currencies

Saturday, June 05, 2010

U.S. Dollar Soars Against Crumbling Euro as Hungary Next for Debt Default Bailout / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe situation in Europe is taking a turn for the worse as the Prime Minister of Hungary says Hungarian economy is in a "very grave situation and talk of a default is not an exaggeration".

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Currencies

Friday, June 04, 2010

The Dollar Euro Bears Should Relax –It’s Coming Their Way / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Macro Trader’s view: The Dollar has benefited greatly from the Sovereign debt crisis in the Euro zone, as traders sold the Euro amid fears the single currency might actually break up. Initially, traders were concerned the debt mountain built up by mainly by Greece, but also Spain and Portugal posed a serious risk, and  the authorities acted to address that.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Gold Correction Factors, Hidden Dollar Swap Hammer / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLet me start the article with a personal note. For the last six years, my pen has put forth a public article almost every week. Since the end of 2009, a change has come from that pattern, for four reasons. First, articles take time and serve as free volleys sent into cyberspace. They are attempts to raise awareness of a broken corrupt system, to encourage increased investment protection by the investment community, and to make repetitive messages that can sink in. Second, many of the warnings have come true of a monetary system in tatters, an insolvent banking system, a failed central bank franchise system, and a discredited amalgam of sovereign bond markets.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 05, 2010

America's Failed Dollar Strategy, Greek Debt Crisis Will Slow the Yuan's Advance / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: Poor Tim Geithner.

Pushed by angry U.S. legislators anxious to brand China as a "currency manipulator," the U.S. Treasury secretary tried to strong-arm China into revaluing the yuan - all because of an assumption that the Asian giant wasn't allowing its currency to appreciate.

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Currencies

Monday, May 03, 2010

U.S. Dollar Doomsday Crash 2010, Protect Your Wealth With Gold / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Larry_Edelson

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you think that what’s happening to the bankrupt economies of Greece, Portugal, and Spain are merely a sideshow in this great financial crisis, it’s only fair to warn you:

The facts I reveal in this bulletin are shocking … shameful … and, to anyone who cares as much about this nation as I do, deeply disturbing.

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Currencies

Thursday, April 29, 2010

U.S. Dollar Mixed After Fed Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LiveCharts

The Fed concluded its Board meeting Wednesday afternoon (April 28) by announcing that it was leaving interest rates unchanged with the key funds rate near zero per cent.  The announcement is not surprising given most of the Central Bank leaders’ commitment to leave rates low for an ‘extended period’, but it is interesting to see following a month long crusade by a few economists and leaders to advocate for raising rates to stave off inflation.

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Currencies

Friday, April 23, 2010

U.S. Dollar Shines After Upbeat Unemployment and Housing News / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LiveCharts

Two very positive reports on the economy Thursday (April 22) morning have helped strengthen the dollar against major currencies and commodities.  Home sales were relatively strongly during the month of March and last week’s new jobless claims fell by 24,000 from the week before, in line with analyst estimates.

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Currencies

Thursday, April 22, 2010

The Devaluation of the U.S. Dollar, Gold's Springboard / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe need is urgent. The recognition is broad. Supply & Demand of American debt paper demand price adjustment. The USGovt avoids the topic like the plague. The billboard fact of the matter, as USCongressional politicians like to say, is that the USDollar must be take a downward revaluation of significant magnitude in order to even begin to offer a semblance of equilibrium and balance. Natural forces are aligned against those in power who resist the adjustment. Imbalances are too magnificent. They invite continued global revolt and financial insurrection.

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Currencies

Monday, April 19, 2010

U.S. Dollar Devaluation, Phase Two / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Larry_Edelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecently, I’ve issued several warnings. Chief among them …

arrow black Dollar Devaluation, Phase Two  That investors everywhere are waking up to their leaders as being nothing more than emperors with no clothes. Reckless spenders with not a single clue of what they’re doing and full of false hopes.

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Currencies

Sunday, April 18, 2010

Can U.S. Dollar Remain the World's Reserve Currency? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJane D'Arista: US dollar as world's reserve currency is great if you own a bank; not much good for Main St.

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Currencies

Friday, April 16, 2010

U.S. Dollar Wins as $18 Billion Jobless Benefits Bill Becomes Law / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LiveCharts

The dollar made gains on Thursday (April 15) against most major currencies and also put a wrap on driving oil prices and gold prices.  The dollar’s strength is due partly to the rapid passing of an $18 billion extension of unemployment benefits for hundreds of thousands of people that have been struggling after their state-paid unemployment benefits ran out.

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Currencies

Thursday, April 15, 2010

U.S. Dollar Grave Concerns Remain / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe continue to see risks ahead for the U.S. economy, and in particular, the U.S. dollar. Significant global imbalances remain – indeed; the recent global financial crisis has served to exaggerate many of these imbalances. Of grave concern is the unsustainable Federal budget deficit, which may have morphed out of control, with no signs of government constraint over the near-term. The U.S. current account deficit remains at a high level, and will likely weigh on the dollar for years to come.

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Currencies

Thursday, April 01, 2010

U.S. Dollar Climbing Against Yen / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Steven_Vincent

Everyday this week (so far) the USD has climbed against the Yen. Today's action, in particular, is impressive because the USD has climbed, hurdled and sustained above its prior significant recovery rally peak at 93.78, which was established in Jan. The fact that the USD is so relatively strong vis-à-vis the Yen likely reflects the perceived and actual strengthening of the US economy compared with Japan. Tomorrow's Employment data (non-farm payrolls) could provide the catalyst for another thrust in USD/Yen.

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Currencies

Friday, March 26, 2010

U.S. Dollar Index Going Higher? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: INO

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt has been a while since we looked at the dollar index, so today we decided to dissect this market and look at it step-by-step.

What is happening in this market is very interesting and I think you will see in this short video just what we have in mind.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 25, 2010

Will the U.S. Dollar Continue Rallying? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Christopher_Laird

Now that we see the USD rising again over 81 on the US Dollar Index (USDX) the question becomes will we possibly see 91 USDX sometime in 2010?

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Currencies

Thursday, March 25, 2010

U.S. Dollar Gains on Healthcare Reform and Economic Hope / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LiveCharts

Sparked by continued optimism about the economic situation and enthusiasm surrounding the passing of the massive healthcare system overhaul, the dollar has surged this week against major currencies and commodities.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

The U.S. Dollar Rules / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Steve_Betts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLife is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you’re going to get! - Forrest Gump

Today is a continuation of yesterday in the sense that we are seeing some markets breakout and define their new directions. Yesterday the Dow posted a triple digit gain and closed well above what should have been strong resistance at 10,817, and early this morning we saw the US dollar rocket thru what had been strong resistance at 81.32. Right now the June US dollar futures contract is trading up .92 at 82.03, and although I can’t be sure where it will close, I feel fairly confident in saying that it will close above 81.32. The significance of this move is important and implies a lot more than the fact that the dollar is currently “strong”.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

U.S. Dollar Trend and China News Impact on Gold / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Przemyslaw_Radomski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the March 12-th commentary we've discussed the influence that China might have on the precious metals market and since the feedback was very positive, we decided to provide you with a follow-up.

April 15th is the date to watch. That’s when the U.S. Treasury Department is mandated by law to issue a report identifying nations that “manipulate the rate of exchange between their currency and the United States dollar for purposes of …gaining unfair competitive advantage in international trade.”

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Currencies

Friday, March 19, 2010

The U.S. Dollar Index Rally Move Isn't Done / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI will keep this brief as my rational for the new found strength in the Dollar Index is more observational than "scientific". Some things you just can't back test or measure in a methodical fashion or I just haven't figured out how to do it.

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Currencies

Monday, March 15, 2010

Is The U.S. Dollar Reversing Again? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: INO

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt's been a while since we did a video on the euro/dollar relationship. This relationship may be reversing again based on recent price action. In today's short video I point out some of the changes we see happening in this market.

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Currencies

Sunday, March 14, 2010

The Four Stages of the Prospective U.S. Dollar Bull Market / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince last November, the dollar has climbed steadily against a basket of currencies — most notably against the euro. And based on my analysis, I think it’s just the early stages of this trend.

In fact, for many of the reasons I’ve discussed in past Money and Markets columns, the weight of evidence suggests that we’ve likely seen the bottom in the dollar, with a multi-year bull market ahead.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 13, 2010

Marc Faber Says Cash is High Risk, U.S. Dollar Will Eventually Fall to Zero / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, reveals his views on the inflation/deflation, of the US dollar. Marc says, cash and treasury bond will lose and the winners will be foreign currency and commodities. Equities have some power to hedge inflation.

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Currencies

Friday, March 12, 2010

U.S. Dollar Bulls Beware / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

By late 2009, as the U.S. dollar flirted with multi-year lows against most foreign currencies, big investment players crowded into trades that shorted the greenback. Commentators noted that the anti-dollar momentum had taken on a life of its own and that the trade had become too crowded. It is true that markets have a nasty tendency to move against the crowd. When a lot of traders agree on a particular trade, it's more likely that in the short-run the opposite trade will be a winner.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 03, 2010

Chinese Yuan v The U.S. Dollar: In The Case of Global Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe practice of accumulating dollar reserves by the central banks has become more pronounced after the 1997 Asian financial crisis, when currency speculators hastened a balance of payments crisis in Thailand, Indonesia and South Korea by demanding dollars for local currency, depleting the central banks’ dollar reserves.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 03, 2010

U.S. Credit Turns to Debt, Will The U.S. Devalue The Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe ability to wage war on credit gave the West an insurmountable advantage over the East. The West’s credit, however, has now turned to debt and the West has lost its advantage. But the return to parity will not be easy.

The three hundred year economic expansion fueled by debt-based capital markets is coming to an end and with it, the hegemony of the West over the East. During that period, debt-based paper money propelled first England then the US to world dominion because of the ability to wage war on credit and to print money ad infinitum.

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Currencies

Monday, March 01, 2010

Falling U.S. Dollar, Buoyant Equities / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Paulenoff

While the e-mini S&P 500 appears to be consolidating at the top of its upmove from last Thursday’s pivot low at 1084.59, the DXY (cash dollar index) is in the process of giving back most of its upmove from earlier today. As of this moment, the combination of a falling dollar and buoyant equity indices argues for continued upside in the commodity-related names and indices into the closing bell – especially in the metals and mining names, including ETFs such as the GDX and GLD.

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Currencies

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Still Living in a U.S. Dollar Centric World / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Justice_Litle

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAbstract: For all its fatal flaws, the $USD is still king of the hill – and for now at least, the focus of investor optimism has shifted to the United States.

With apologies to Mark Twain, the dollar’s death has been greatly exaggerated. We can see this with a simple glance at the $USD chart below.

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Currencies

Sunday, February 21, 2010

U.S. Dollar Entering Consolidation Phase / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt appears that we are either just entering the consolidation phase of the US dollar index for the next 6 to 8 weeks or there is one final move to the upside before entering the consolidation phase. Every market around the globe is experiencing difficulty in one form or another which is associated with high debt levels.

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Currencies

Sunday, February 21, 2010

U.S. Dollar Fool's Gold Rally, Protect Yourself Against Worthless Fiat Paper / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Joseph_Russo

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAlthough in truth, it is valueless paper; in our collective reality, it is real and has legal purchasing powers. Despite such enslavement by government decree, it does not stop us from trading it, and hedging against its true intrinsic value.

The fool's gold to which we refer is none other than the world's reserve currency, the $USD.

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Currencies

Friday, February 19, 2010

U.S. Dollar Still Looks Strong Against the Euro / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Macro Trader’s view:
The current Dollar rally began late in 2009 and was driven initially by some strong US economic data. But even when that data turned a little mixed, the Dollar continued to rally.

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Currencies

Friday, February 12, 2010

US Dollar Bear Market Rallies / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Zeal_LLC

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn recent months, the US dollar has been surging higher.  This impressive strength is a radical change from last year’s relentless grind lower.  Across the globe, the majority of analysts expect this run higher to persist for a variety of reasons.  This prospect is troubling traders of commodities and commodities stocks.

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Currencies

Sunday, February 07, 2010

Win-Win Scenario for the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe debt problems in Dubai threw a wrench in the happy-go-lucky risk trade of last year. And since then, the perception of the state of the global economy has been unraveling.

All of the sudden, the world isn’t as safe a place as was thought just months ago: Global stock markets are falling, commodity markets have cracked, and foreign currencies are back in decline.

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Currencies

Saturday, February 06, 2010

The U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Sol_Palha

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"When you get into a tight place and everything goes against you, till it seems as though you could not hold on a minute longer, never give up then, for that is just the place and time that the tide will turn." ~ Harriet Beecher Stowe, 1811-1896, American Novelist, Antislavery Campaigner

This is one topic we spoke of extensively over the past few months and we are going to list excerpts from some past updates with emphasis on the Dec 16th market update.

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Currencies

Friday, February 05, 2010

More Upside for U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The DXY (cash dollar index) continues to leap higher in reaction to uncertainties about the sovereign debt conditions of a subset of countries referred to as the PIIGS. Let's notice that after emerging to the upside on 1/28 above 23.20, the PowerShares DB U.S. Dollar Index (NYSE: UUP) has rocketed 2% in the past 6 sessions amidst constant negative news about widening Greek, Spanish, and Portugese CDS spreads.

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 02, 2010

What’s Next for the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) is sticking to its course for phasing out the additional purchases of Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS). Notably however, in its statement released January 27th, reference to an improving housing market was omitted after recent bad news about the sector.

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Currencies

Monday, February 01, 2010

U.S. Dollar In Jeopardy Of Losing Its Value / Currencies / US Dollar

By: FutureOfDollar

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe World is concerned that the dollar cannot play the role of the main reserve currency any longer after the financial crisis sparked by the collapse of the U.S. mortgage market led to the worst global recession since the 1930s. The Government’s stimulus packages, financial bailouts, the need to support liquidity in Treasuries, keeping interest rates at the lowest level under the circumstances of low economic growth, high unemployment and low tax collection make it print more dollars. This leads to a high risk of substantial inflation, or hyperinflation in a long-run.

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Currencies

Sunday, January 31, 2010

Fed’s Currency Swap Lines, A BIG deal for the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed met this week on monetary policy. It was a bit of a snoozer. What wasn’t a snoozer, however, was what they’ve included in their recent monetary policy statements regarding currencies.

Most market participants have been entranced by the Fed’s language about their target interest rates …

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 27, 2010

U.S. Dollar Gains Against Major Currencies and Commodities / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LiveCharts

dollar has grown stronger to start this week, gaining ground against most major currencies and commodities, the Japanese yen, being the prominent exception.

The gold price spot rate is at $1,091, after a Tuesday New York Mercantile Exchange close just below $1,100. The gold rate is well below its all time high of $1,218.25 near the end of 2009.

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Currencies

Monday, January 25, 2010

U.S. Dollar Giant Double Top Pattern Implies Bearish Outlook / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Howard_Katz

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKISS is an acronym for the popular expression, keep it simple, stupid.  I don’t particularly like the idea of calling others stupid.  I have found that people who do so usually have an inability to express themselves, and this is because they themselves are stupid.  Most people I have met in this world can do at least something better than I can, and I can benefit from their expertise.  (This is what the economist calls division of labor and specialization.)  At any rate, the simple part is very good.  Most great ideas are simple (the 10 Commandments, Newton’s laws of motion).

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Currencies

Saturday, January 23, 2010

Why the U.S. Dollar Rally Has Legs / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn December I wrote a Money and Markets column making the case for a bottom in the dollar. And since then the evidence supporting that thesis has grown. I also said there are plenty of ugly currencies out there that will likely take scrutiny away from the dollar. In fact, in recent weeks I outlined the blemishes burdening three key major liquid currencies. And those blemishes are now being exposed …

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

U.S. Dollar Bottoming Against Yen / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Let's have a look at the BIG picture chart structure of Dollar vs. Yen, which argues for an approaching upmove in the USD (Yen weakness). Purely from an intermediate-term technical perspective, the pattern carved out by the USD/Yen since early 2007 into late 2009 has the right look of a completed downmove in the USD versus the Yen.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

How Can Localities Cope if the U.S. Dollar Crashes? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Richard_C_Cook

A “run on the dollar,” or any currency, for that matter, takes place when the currency is losing its value. This happens when a country’s debt becomes so great that there is danger of a major default–that is, large scale or even national bankruptcy. At that point, people whose wealth is in that currency, or in relatively liquid assets denominated in the currency, try to get rid of them as fast as they can. Today, that includes foreign countries like China or Russia that are holding large quantities of U.S. government bonds.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

U.S. Dollar Index Expected to Rise During 2010 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn 2009, investors were down on the US Dollar, and anytime the US Dollar was down, everything else was up. But as we head into 2010, the US Dollar appears to have found support above the all time lows made around $70 in March, 2008 and reversed higher. There is reason to believe that from a technical perspective this reversal is for real, and it is real enough that it should have implications for other markets.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Is a Run on the U.S. Dollar Starting Soon? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Richard_C_Cook

Yes, I think a run on the dollar is coming. A lot of people are saying this, including a man named Dmitri Orlov who recently came out with a book entitled “Reinventing Collapse” that compares the crash of the Soviet Union in the 1990s with what he believes is coming here within a short period of time. I heard that at the last meeting of the G20 the U.S. asked Russia and China if they would agree to an orderly devaluation of the dollar, and the answer was “Nyet.”

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Currencies

Monday, January 18, 2010

How to Profit From the Falling U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Larry_Edelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs many of you already know, I am very bearish on the dollar.

And in just the past four weeks of trading — starting right before the holidays and continuing into the new year — the benchmark U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has lost nearly 9% of its value against the world’s major foreign currencies.

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Currencies

Monday, January 18, 2010

2010 To Mark the Demise of the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWell, that was another year, and decade, one that was characterized by exacting prices for almost a century of easy money led by the Fed. And it continues today with bubble dynamics in economies and markets considered a normal expectation these days, explaining why gold was top performer over the past 10-years, and should remain in that spot moving forward as well baring silver’s remonetization. That is to say, anybody, like Time Magazine, expecting smooth sailing over the next 10-years is most likely barking up the wrong tree with all the problems that still lie ahead for us, problems ranging from increasingly unmanageable debts and deficits, which are a result of the big turn in the credit cycle in 2008, to the pending demise of the dollar ($) as the world’s reserve currency

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

Dollar Struggles Again After Latest Jobs Data, Housing Market News / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LiveCharts

Exchange rates have not been favorable for the US dollar in the early part of the week as the greenback has been hit again following disappointing news of late on the job and housing sector fronts.

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Currencies

Friday, January 08, 2010

U.S. Dollar to be Hit Hard In 2010 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Pravda

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe feast of cheap and limitless liquidity could not avoid interfering with the international currency market. While in the first six months of the year the crisis was beneficial for the US dollar, in the second half of the year speculators took it out on the dollar over and above. This year is expected to continue weakening of the American currency that dropped to the level of $1.6 for one Euro in 2009.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 07, 2010

Gold or U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe chicken or the egg? Which is which: gold or the dollar? My work is telling me to watch the $$$, and the rest will take care of itself. From a technical perspective, let's notice that the daily dollar index (DXY) has been consolidating at the high end of its Nov-Dec upleg, which has taken the form of a bullish continuation pattern. If my perception of the pattern proves accurate, then the DXY is on the verge of upside acceleration that will resume its Nov-Dec rally-- on the way to 80.00 next.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 29, 2009

U.S. Dollar Collapse 2012 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Christopher_Laird

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDevolution of the USD 2012? - As the first public article for me just before 2010, it seems appropriate for me to comment on one of the biggest stories we will be all facing – that is an end game of events leading to the end of the USD. The implications for the world are no less than Armageddon – like. I mean it.

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Currencies

Sunday, December 20, 2009

U.S. Dollar Grinds Higher after Convincing Breakout / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mark_Brown

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSometimes, as traders, we need to stop and do a double-take, especially when a long-depressed commodity or currency suddenly begins to rise sharply. In the case of the US Dollar index (DX), there were most likely thousands of double-takes, as disbelieving traders took a second, third and even a fourth glance at this key currency’s daily and weekly charts. Yes, this Dollar breakout appears to be the real deal, one destined to run even higher in the weeks just ahead, and it might pay for us to invest a little time now and see if we can anticipate the Dollar’s next area of significant overhead resistance.

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Currencies

Sunday, December 20, 2009

Has the U.S. Dollar Bottomed? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor much of 2009, the dollar has been the Tiger Woods of global currencies. There has been a relentless snowball of negative sentiment. And for a period of time, seemingly everyday something new, bigger and more shocking about the buck was being circulated through the media.

As Tiger can attest, when it rains, it pours …

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Currencies

Friday, December 18, 2009

U.S. Dollar Rally for Real? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn this column in September, I wrote of how the U.S. dollar has been in a long bear market since 2001, while investors and traders were acting as if the dollar’s decline had just begun this year. Betting against the dollar had become the talk of the financial media, with “Sell the dollar, buy the Euro” the most popular advice from analysts.

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Currencies

Friday, December 18, 2009

US Dollar Bulls Stirring, But Not Yet Wide Awake / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOver the last few months the US Dollar Index has continued to grind lower, recently reaching/eroding a long term 76.4% ‘support’ level. Subsequent to this there has been a positive reaction, with s/term bull signals beginning to mount.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 17, 2009

Has the U.S. Dollar Bottomed? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: INO

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe have made a number of videos on the dollar index and in my latest video I show you some of the aspects we outlined in our previous video that have come to pass.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

U.S. Dollar Remains Near Two Month High / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LiveCharts

The US dollar fell back a bit Wednesday (December 16) morning as analysts believe the Fed is likely to leave its key interest rate at zero. New data on consumer prices show little change after 10 months of increases, suggesting inflation is not a big enough concern at this point to warrant an immediate rise in rates.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

U.S. Dollar Index, End to the Downtrend? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFigure 1 is a weekly chart of the Dollar Index (symbol: $DXY). In our last look at the greenback I stated: "in all likelihood, this is the end of the down trend for the Dollar Index", and this is now fact! A weekly close over the high of the positive divergence bar (i.e., price bars marked in pink within gray ovals) has stymied the down trend. The highs of these positive divergence bars should act as resistance on the way back up.

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Currencies

Saturday, December 12, 2009

What Could Lift the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe most recent employment data in the U.S. came in significantly better than what was expected. And the financial markets reacted in a different way this time. Interest rates went screaming higher, the stock market surged, gold fell and the dollar shot up.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 08, 2009

The Coming Cyclical Collapse of the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bob_Clark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAsk not for whom the bell tolls

We are having our first winter blizzard, the windows were rattling all night. There are knee deep snow drifts in places. When I went out to feed the horse this morning, I found a coyote asleep in the hay. I guess he is a little bit deaf because he didn't jump up until I was on top of him. I don't know who was more scared. It was a most pitiful thing to see. Skin and bones. Mottled patchy fur with a hairless tail, except for a little tuft on the end.

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Currencies

Monday, December 07, 2009

U.S. Dollar Index Bottom? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt's Monday, and there is no better place to start the week with the only asset that has mattered for the past 8 months - the Dollar. Although Friday's job report brought a spike in the Dollar Index, the down trend remains intact. However, the likelihood of the downtrend ending leading to a counter trend rally or consolidation is now as high as it has been in months.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 02, 2009

How Could I Forget the Only Market Chart that Matters? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Guy_Lerner

Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the Dollar Index. This is the same chart I have been showing since June, 2009 - prior to the Dollar Index unraveling. Last week there was a weekly close (price bar with down red arrows) below the low of the immediate positive divergence bar at 75.20. Closes below positive divergence bars (price bars highlighted in pink with gray oval) tend to lead to selling as traders expecting a reversal close out their losing positions. The down trend continues, and as the data shows, there is a high likelihood of the downward move accelerating.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 02, 2009

U.S. Dollar Implications of Dubai Debt Jitters / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThanksgiving eve, Dubai World, Dubai’s state-owned development company, rattled the world by releasing a statement that it seeks a moratorium on its debt and interest payments until May 2010. The credit crisis is not last year’s nightmare - it has merely entered a new phase. We look at the implications for the U.S. dollar.

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Currencies

Monday, November 30, 2009

Run on the U.S. Dollar ....Soon / Currencies / US Dollar

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePorter Stansberry writes: It's one of those numbers that's so unbelievable you have to actually think about it for a while...

Within the next 12 months, the U.S. Treasury will have to refinance $2 trillion in short-term debt. And that's not counting any additional deficit spending, which is estimated to be around $1.5 trillion.

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Currencies

Monday, November 30, 2009

U.S. Dollar Set To Surprise by Falling to Test All Time Low / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe dollar ($) is set to surprise the few remaining speculators that think it can't happen by falling further straight away, possibly taking it down to test all time lows at 71. Here, we are talking about the possibility of a more disorderly decline in the $ developing as a result of gold progressing into a parabolic rise, primarily predicated on year-end hedge fund buying into December. First it will be this that takes precious metals higher into year-end, and then the rally could continue for numerous other reasons, not the least of which being a lack of physical, which appears to be a growing concern.

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Currencies

Saturday, November 28, 2009

U.S. Dollar Index May Hold Some Nasty Surprises for Carry Trade Participants / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSummary and Conclusions - The US Dollar Index is showing signs of wanting to bottom out and this has seriously adverse implications for those who have been speculating with US Dollar carry trades. It may also be pointing to the imminent resumption of the Primary Bear Trend in Industrial Equities. The gold price may consolidate at these levels within the context of a Primary Bull Market. i.e. Both the US Dollar Index and the Gold Price might be argued to be in Primary Bull Markets.

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Currencies

Friday, November 27, 2009

The Day the U.S. Dollar Collapsed / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Galt

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe following story is a potential fictional time line for the day the dollar died. I hope not to instill fear or loathing but to give everyone some perspective on a POSSIBLE outcome which does not really take much of a reach to come to any conclusion. Despite popular belief and promises from those who wish to rob you of your savings and investments, the collapse of the dollar might just be an event measured in hours, not days as their control is not what it seems….

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Currencies

Thursday, November 26, 2009

Yen Hits 14 Year High vs U.S. Dollar as Nikkei Sinks / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInquiring minds are noting a selloff in equity market futures as the Yen rallies and the dollar sinks further.

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Currencies

Monday, November 23, 2009

What Happens When a Carry Trade Blows Up? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs I’ve been pounding the table for the last several months, the markets have been operating based on an “inflation” trade mentality. By this, I mean that we’re in a “Dollar down/ everything else up” environment.

This is to be expected. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has been doing everything he can to re-inflate the markets, hoping he can counteract the deflationary impact of the Housing Crash/ Credit Bubble bursting.

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Currencies

Saturday, November 21, 2009

The Fed is Foolishly Weakening the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Navarro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHas America's Federal Reserve become the single greatest obstacle to global economic recovery? Central bankers around the world are increasingly asking this question as the American greenback continues its Fed-inspired decline and damages the export-driven growth of countries from Latin America and Asia to Europe.

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Economics

Friday, November 20, 2009

The Weak U.S. Dollar Was Supposed to Fix Everything / Economics / US Dollar

By: Michael_Pento

The inflation redux plan from the Fed and Washington is based on zero interest rates, massive deficits and quantitative easing, which are designed to bring down the value of the U.S. dollar and create inflation. That is the truth, despite promises from Treasury Secretary Geithner that he really means it this time when he says the U.S. has a strong dollar policy--the irony being, that he says this while concurrently begging the Chinese to allow the dollar to fall vs. the Renminbi. But their hopes placed in a lower dollar are woefully misguided and all that is being accomplished is to put into place the same conditions that brought the global financial system to its knees.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

What Strong U.S. Dollar Policy? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"I believe deeply that it's very important to the United States, to the economic health of the United States, that we maintain a strong dollar," U.S. Treasury Secretary Geithner recently told reporters. Indeed, it seems to be a pre-requisite to apply for the position of U.S. Treasury Secretary to be able to utter these words. In the meantime, the greenback seems to be falling further and further; the 'strong dollar commitment' appears to have become a farce. Just what, then, would be a strong dollar policy?

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

U.S. Dollar Meltdown / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI had the pleasure of reading a final finished copy of The Dollar Meltdown by Charles Goyette this past week.

Congressman Ron Paul offers an opinion on the front cover to which I certainly concur: "Goyette does a great job explaining why America faces a looming financial crisis and outlines commonsense strategies for individuals to protect themselves and their families. This book truly is a must read."

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Currencies

Friday, November 06, 2009

The Hated U.S. Dollar Might Rally / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFew essays I’ve ever written have drawn as much ire as the ones in which I propose that the US Dollar might rally. The US Dollar is indeed hated, so hated that people will hate you just for considering that it might rally.

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Currencies

Thursday, November 05, 2009

Who Cares About the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWho cares about the dollar? It turns out quite a few do, except for those who could put it on a course to long-term recovery. First of all, you should care, as the purchasing power of your dollar savings is at risk when the dollar plunges versus other currencies. Let’s examine a couple of groups, what they have at stake and how influential they may be.

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Currencies

Thursday, November 05, 2009

U.S. Dollar Drifts Ahead of U.S. Unemployment Rate / Currencies / US Dollar

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Unemployment Rate is a measure of the percentage of the total labor force that is unemployed but actively seeking employment and willing to work in the US.

A high percentage indicates weakness in the labor market. A low percentage is a positive indicator for the labor market in the US and should be taken as positive for the USD.

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 04, 2009

When the U.S. Dollar Rallies, the Stock Market Will Crash / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInterest rates. The Fed does not need slinky women in plunging necklines to peddle money. All it needs is low interest rates. When rates are pushed lower than the rate of inflation, the Fed provides a subsidy for borrowing. This is not as hard to grasp as it sounds. If I offered to give you $1.00 for very 90 cents you gave me in return, you would buy as many dollars from me as you could.

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 04, 2009

Dethroning of the U.S. Dollar Will Happen Sooner Than You Think / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: By now virtually every investor has heard the argument that the U.S. dollar is slated to lose its status as the global reserve currency. And that’s good – as far as it goes.

What’s bad is that many of these investors have yet to latch onto the fact that this could happen much sooner than many people realize and in a manner that will catch most by surprise.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 03, 2009

U.S. Dollar Upside Alert / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Marty_Chenard

The Dollar could fool everyone ...

Just as Foreign countries are diversifying out of the Dollar ... just as the Dollar's carry trade is being overdone, the Dollar is poised to make an upside run.

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Currencies

Monday, November 02, 2009

U.S. Dollar Meltdown / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LewRockwell

Doug French writes: The current investment climate is more perilous than ever. The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet continues to grow stuffed with the dubious paper purchased from the too-big-to-fail banks that are now wards of the state. The music stopped and there were no chairs, but the Fed and the Treasury snapped their fingers and trillions of dollars later the chairs appeared, the band played on and the banks live on. The taxpayers are now the not-so-proud owners of AIG, General Motors, Fannie and Freddie and dozens of banks. Where did the money come from? Out of thin air.

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Currencies

Monday, November 02, 2009

Is the U.S. Dollar About To Crush Stocks? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLong-time readers know that I’ve begun to develop a love/hate relationship with the US Dollar. On one hand I believe the US currency is horribly flawed given our unserviceable debt load and the Fed’s profligate spending.

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Currencies

Monday, November 02, 2009

Do You Really Want To Short The U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Andrew_Abraham

Lets face it…everyone seems to hate the US Dollar…Seems every Forex trader wants to be short the US dollar. So many think the US dollar will crash ( maybe it will..who knows).. but what I do know as a commodity trader..when too many traders are on the other side of the boat… something happens. My short on the US dollar was recently taken out.

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Currencies

Sunday, November 01, 2009

U.S. Dollar Bull Market Scenario Update / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe most recent price action has seen the U.S. Dollar manage to hold onto USD 75 support that has propelled the dollar back through 76, however the trend over the past 2 months has been weak. The last update of the US Dollar bull market scenario of mid August 2009 called for a rally that targets USD 90 by the end of this year as long as 75 holds, as indicated by the original chart below :

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Currencies

Friday, October 30, 2009

U.S. Dollar the Coca-Cola of Monetary Brands says James Grant / Currencies / US Dollar

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChris Mayer writes: The U.S. dollar is a sort of monetary brand.

And like any other brand, it can fall out of favor. Even iconic brands can rapidly lose their "must-have" cachet. Sometimes, a brand can disappear entirely, as did Pan American Airways or "Members Only" jackets. But there is always something else waiting to take its place. So it is with the U.S. dollar, a brand making lows in the financial markets.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

U.S. Dollar Future and a World Currency / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Thomas_R_Eddlem

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSome very big questions

With the USD fluttering around 76 on the US Dollar currency basket index, the USDX it’s a good time to pontificate on its near term future, and longer term future. Gold’s big rally since 2002 begs a lot of major questions.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Will the U.S. Dollar Still be Worlds Reserve Currency in Five Years Time? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInterview with Menzie Chinn

Mike Whitney:   What is the present composition of reserve holdings in central banks--and has there been a substantial falloff in US dollar reserves in recent years? (Are central banks ditching the dollar?)

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

U.S. Dollar Index Elliott Wave Analysis Update / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Alistair_Gilbert

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the wonderful things about watching and trading currencies is the frequency with which they comply to Fibonacci retracements. Part of the reason is that the foreign exchange market is the most liquid and the most widely traded on a global basis, so Elliott Wave analysis, which is based on mass crowd psychology, works best.

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Currencies

Monday, October 26, 2009

The War on the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week, I showed you the most shocking numbers I’ve seen in my lifetime:

Up until the day Lehman Brothers collapsed in September of last year, it took the Fed 5,012 days — 13 years and 8 months — to double the cash currency and reserves in the coffers of U.S. banks.

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Currencies

Monday, October 26, 2009

The War Over the U.S. Dollar Versus Gold / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA fierce war of words has erupted in recent weeks between the two major camps in monetary circles.  The first camp – the gold bulls/dollar bears – have been loudly voicing their twin belief that the gold price is poised to skyrocket while the dollar price is perched for a collapse.  The other side – the gold bears/dollar bulls – are making the counter claim the gold price is setting up for a crash. 

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Currencies

Monday, October 26, 2009

U.S. Dollar Alert, Revenge of the Greenback? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Clive_Maund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe dollar is at a crossroads and there are two probable scenarios. One is a final plunge following the recent grinding decline to an intermediate low that is followed by an intermediate reversal. The other is that it suddenly breaks out upside from the severe downtrend it has been stuck in since early March and rallies strongly, strongly because it is likely to be juiced by a sudden wave of panic short-covering.

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Currencies

Monday, October 26, 2009

Please Mr. Geithner, Don't Pass the Buck on the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt seems nobody in this country wants to take responsibility for the secular decline in the value of the U.S. dollar. When Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is asked about the currency's decline, he refers the query to the Treasury Department. When the president is asked about the dollar, he often gives the tired old platitude that the U.S. has a strong dollar policy, but his vacuous words seem more like perfunctory utterances than a bona fide dollar-boosting strategy.

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Currencies

Sunday, October 25, 2009

U.S. Dollar Collapse Update, Obama Demanding Payment in Euros! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe "dollar debate" on the Internet has been ferocious and emotionally-charged, but sadly lacking in logic. To oppose the "dollar will crash" theorists is like arguing a woman's right to choose with the fist-waving throng assembled outside an abortion clinic. The results are equally disappointing. To say that "minds are already made up and the issue is settled", is an understatement. For many, the dollar's transition from the world's reserve currency to a Wiemar era Deutschemark is not a question "if" but only of "when". One reader summed up the distrust that's felt for anyone who dares to challenge the prevailing dogma like this:

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Currencies

Friday, October 23, 2009

King Dollar Forced to Abdicate / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor the most part, the value of the dollar is given cursory attention by the financial media. Typically, its movements are assigned an importance on par with much less determinative metrics such as natural gas futures and construction permits. It's only when major milestones are reached that anyone really takes notice of the dollar. We are living through one of those times.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 22, 2009

U.S. Dollar Crash is Not Going to Happen / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe dollar is not going to crash. In fact, many economists believe that the dollar will rally when the Fed ends its quantitative easing program (QE) sometime in early 2010. The Fed is on track to buy nearly $2 trillion dollars of mortgage-backed securities, US Treasuries and agency debt. In other words, the Fed is printing money and pumping it into the housing market to keep the market from collapsing. This keeps interest rates low, but it also weakens the dollar. When the program ends, long-term interest rates will rise and the dollar will strengthen.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 21, 2009

U.S. Dollar Attacked by Central Bank Lilliputians Profting From the Carry Trade / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US Federal Reserve continues to talk about their urgent Exit Strategy. My theory is they will be doing mostly talking and almost no doing. The nations that talk the least will be hiking interest rates the most, like Australia. The United States might be dead last in hiking interest rates. The credibility of the USFed will in the process continue to be harmed much more than already, which is rock bottom. The Dollar Carry Trade and the lost Petro-Dollar advantage will work to destroy the USDollar as the global reserve currency. The USFed will have to resort to unusual means to keep the world ‘interested’ and ‘involved’ in the USDollar at all. When they lose interest and involvement, the US$ will descend into the Third World. The USDollar will then be forced to find its true value, based on its own merit.

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Politics

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

The U.S. Dollar Will Not Crash / Politics / US Dollar

By: Mike_Whitney

The dollar is not going to crash. There may be grumblings in foreign capitals and "secret meetings" between finance ministers but, for now, the dollar appears to be safe.

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Politics

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Russia and Iran Officially Talking about Dumping the U.S. Dollar For Crude Oil and Gas Trade / Politics / US Dollar

By: Washingtons_Blog

After the Independent reported that Middle Eastern oil producers, plus China, Japan and France have all agreed to start trading oil using a basket of currencies - instead of the dollar - starting in 9 years, spokesmen for those governments denied it.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Zero Discount Value of Gold and Dethroning the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Michael_S_Rozeff

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA truly major change in the global monetary system is beginning to materialize. The dollar is starting to be dethroned. Foreign governments and central banks are going to do the dethroning.

I have no prediction as to how slowly or quickly this process will take. The major dethroners, the Chinese, are on record as favoring a slow process. The transition is already occurring, however. Now that attitudes have shifted among the dethroners, they are likely to keep at it.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

On the U.S. Dollar, Europe Sings a Classic Meatloaf Hit, Two Out of Three Ain't Bad / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeriously, ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet cannot possibly be serious when he says Europe Takes U.S. Strong-Dollar Policy Seriously.

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Currencies

Monday, October 19, 2009

Saving the U.S. Dollar and Bearish Gold Volume / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ronald_Rosen

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt has been said that not even the U. S. Marine Corps can save the dollar. However, the way things appear, and according to the Delta Long Term turning points, the Marines may succeed in a delaying action for about twelve months. Desperate times require desperate means. The U. S. Dollar, starting about now, may actually rally right up to the mid term elections in November 2010.  Perhaps we should include American politics as one of our market timing tools.

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Currencies

Monday, October 19, 2009

Orderly U.S. Dollar Depreciation Is Better Than Protectionism / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Lloyds_TSB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor all of the furore about the dollar’s slide, it is easy to lose sight of the underlying forces at play. However, we should not be complacent, as these forces can still have destructive effects on global growth prospects. Global imbalances, represented broadly in the growing US current account deficit and rising surpluses in many other parts of the world, were one of the prime - for some, the only - reasons for the global crisis that is still unwinding.

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Currencies

Friday, October 16, 2009

Death of the U.S. Dollar, Again? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe following article is based on analysis from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. For more insights from Robert Prechter, download the 75-page eBook Independent Investor eBook. It’s a compilation of some of the New York Times bestselling author’s writings that challenge conventional financial market assumptions. Visit Elliott Wave International to download the eBook, free.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 15, 2009

U.S. Dollar Real Value Crash to 18cents / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jeff_Clark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBy Jeff Clark, Senior Editor, Casey’s Gold & Resource Report -“A dollar is worth only 70¢ now,” my Dad jabbered as we worked in the backyard. “And they say it’ll only be worth 50¢ in a few years.”

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Currencies

Thursday, October 15, 2009

End of U.S. Dollar Global Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe heralded end to the Petro-Dollar defacto standard completes the loop, the vicious cycle that will work to destroy the USDollar. In a sense, the US$ had to face an end, its sunset guaranteed when Nixon defaulted on its redemption value. The United States served as custodian for the global reserve currency. Naturally, the most damage will be to the US as a consequence of its twilight, especially after the recent era of fraud & counterfeit. Few look back to that date in 1971 as prophetic for declaring the USDollar’s days as limited and finite.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

U.S. Dollar Develepments, The Most Critical Financial Developments of Your Lifetime… / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Larry_Edelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMake no mistake about it. The developments over the last three weeks affecting the U.S. dollar — which continues to sink in value — are the most critical financial developments of your lifetime.

The U.S. dollar has now entered the final days of its reign as the world’s reserve currency.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

U.S. Dollar Loses Reserve Status to Yen and Euro, NOT / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mac_Slavo

The New York Post is reporting that the Dollar loses reserve status to yen & euro.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

Abandoning the USS Dollar, As Gold Shines Again / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jennifer_Barry

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRobert Fisk's article in The Independent on October 6, “The Demise of the Dollar,” has created many shock waves in the currency markets. Fisk reported that major Arab nations are secretly planning to dump the current petrodollar scheme in favor of pricing oil in a basket of currencies. Included in this basket will be the yen, yuan, euro, a new, pan-Arab currency, and gold bullion. Co-conspirators include Saudi Arabia, Russia, Brazil, China, France, and the formerly compliant Japanese. This validated my July prediction that the Persian Gulf states will eventually accept yuan in exchange for oil.

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Currencies

Friday, October 09, 2009

Geitner, Summers, AND Bernanke Lobbying for the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Paulenoff

All I can say is that when you have Geitner, Summers, AND Bernanke all chiming in with comments about the need for a strong dollar, smart money listens – and dumb money had better be prepared for some wicked volatility (against their short position). In the extremely interventionist world in which we find ourselves, my sense is that you really need to reevaluate a short dollar position when the three highest US financial market officials are telling you that they don’t like your attitude.

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Currencies

Friday, October 09, 2009

Death of the U.S. Dollar, Again: Before You Mourn, See This Chart / Currencies / US Dollar

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe following article is based on analysis from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. For more insights from Robert Prechter, download the 75-page eBook Independent Investor eBook. It’s a compilation of some of the New York Times bestselling author’s writings that challenge conventional financial market assumptions. Visit Elliott Wave International to download the eBook, free.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 08, 2009

Gerald Celente, U.S. Dollar’s Demise Will Be Felt Worldwide / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf the dollar collapses, it would spell economic disaster not just for the United States, but for the world, says Gerald Celente, director of the Trade Research Institute.

“It is more than just the demise of the dollar – this is going to be felt worldwide. There’s a major financial crisis ahead. The United States, the world’s superpower, is failing on its most basic level,” Celente told RT.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 08, 2009

Death of Petro-Dollar, Told You So / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe story hit like a thief in the night, even bearing Biblical proportions. The end of the exlusive sale of MidEast oil in USDollars, the rise of Russian and Chinese influence in the Persian Gulf, the rise in importance for the Intl Monetary Fund basket of currencies, the final clarion call for the free ride by Americans on the Dollar Credit Card, and hidden implications that the Saudis must shop for a new security lord in the region with broad military might, these are revolutionary steps with profound geopolitical implications.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

The New Currency Cabal Targets U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn October 6th, The Independent newspaper of London set off shock-waves around the world with a report that secret meetings were held between the OPEC states, China, Russia, and others, in which the participants charted a course toward a new world reserve currency. Not surprisingly, the U.S. dollar nosedived on the news. The rout was only stemmed by Saudi and Chinese officials publicly denying the story.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Will the U.S. Dollar Be Hit By Arab Oil Shock? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: F_William_Engdahl

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleArab oil producing nations and the some world’s largest oil consumers including China and Japan are reliably reported to be secretly planning a long-term exit from pricing their oil trade in dollars. If true, it would spell the death knell for the dollar as world reserve currency and for the USA as global economic power.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Ditching the U.S. Dollar, Video Interview With Robert Fisk / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGulf states have held secret talks with Russia, China, Japan and France to replace the US dollar with a basket of currencies in the trade of oil, the UK's Independent newspaper says.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

U.S. Dollar Collapse Hysteria  / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRobert Fisk lit the fuse with his hyperventilating narrative which appeared in Tuesday's UK Independent titled, "The Demise of the Dollar".  The article went viral overnight spreading to every musty corner of the Internet and sending gold skyrocketing to $1,026 per oz.  Now every doomsday website in cyber-world has headlined Fisk's "shocker" and the blogs are clogged with the frenzied commentary of bunker-dwelling survivalists and goldbugs who're certain that the world as we know it is about to end.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Ridiculous Hype Over Secret Arab Crude Oil Currency Meetings / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOnce again everyone is hyperventilating over "secret" moves to trade oil in currencies other than the US dollar. Please consider The demise of the dollar by Robert Fisk.

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Currencies

Monday, October 05, 2009

U.S. Dollar 50% Devaluation and IMF Part of Global Central Bank? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ellen_Brown

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“A year ago,” said law professor Ross Buckley on Australia’s ABC News on September 22, “nobody wanted to know the International Monetary Fund. Now it’s the organiser for the international stimulus package which has been sold as a stimulus package for poor countries.”

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Currencies

Monday, October 05, 2009

U.S. Dollar Doom or Boom?, How to Trade the Dollar Through the Stock Market / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Oakshire_Financial

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEverywhere you turn, you hear pundits screaming that the U.S. dollar is ready to collapse and will be suitable only for confetti, wallpaper, and bird cage liner before you know it.

"Buy gold now before it's too late!" is heard from every goldbug and commodity investor on the planet.

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Currencies

Saturday, October 03, 2009

Stock Market Reversal Bodes Well for U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe G-7 meets this weekend in Istanbul. So what’s on the minds of these leaders of the top industrialized countries of the world?

They’re all worried about currencies. Specifically, how currencies will impact their own recoveries and the recovery of the global economy.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 01, 2009

Helping the Fed Trash the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bill_Bonner

Across the river is the great "City" of London...where finance is the #1 industry...

...where earnest men and women toil long hours in glass towers. What are they doing?

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

U.S. Dollar the One Investment That Might Be About to Bottom / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs I’ve noted several times on these pages, the US stock market and US dollar are trading at a near perfect inverse correlation. With stocks extremely overbought and reaching a critical point of potential resistance, any bounce in the dollar could kick off a rapid collapse in the US stock markets.

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Currencies

Monday, September 28, 2009

Bernanke’s Grand Strategy to Let the U.S. Dollar Fall / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Larry_Edelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBy now it should be abundantly clear to you that my warnings are coming to pass. Gold is acting firm, having made a new 12-month high above $1,000 an ounce, and within a whisker of a new record high.

And while it might not fully blast off yet, in time, it will — to well over $2,000 an ounce … then even higher to $3,000 … and ultimately, probably by the middle of the next decade, even to $5,000.

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Currencies

Monday, September 28, 2009

U.S. Dollar Crashes Against Yen! Time to Act! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin here with an urgent update on the dramatic events that took place late last week and what they could ultimately mean for you …

Just when the worldwide onslaught against the U.S. dollar seemed to be temporarily subsiding, a new round of attacks hit Friday — this time from Japan.

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Currencies

Friday, September 25, 2009

U.S. Dollar Forecast, Major Low in Q4 of 2011 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: INO

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe dollar will hit a major low in Q4 of 2011. Watch this short video and see how I came up with this bold forecast.

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Currencies

Thursday, September 24, 2009

U.S. Dollar Up While Crude Oil Slips / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOk... which is the chicken, and which is the egg? To find a starting point, let's look at the key timeframe during the major market turns that occurred duing Feb. and March 2009. Crude Oil prices hit a low (with equity prices) at $44.01, while at the same time risk averse investors finally bought enough dollars (from Dec, 2008) in their acute flight to safety. Since then, equity and oil prices have climbed sharply, while the daily Dollar index (DXY) gave up all of its panic flight to safety gains in what looks like a panic back into riskier assets-- perhaps until recently. In the case of oil and the US Oil Fund ETF (USO), prices actually peaked in June, at which time they went into a contracting coil pattern that appears to have ended yesterday with a resolution to the dowside.

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

New Deadly U.S. Dollar Carry Trade / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA powerful hidden engine existed for close to 20 years called the Yen Carry Trade. The engine produced tainted trillion$ for its priviliged participants, whose access to cheap money was assured and whose control of government policy was tight. The engine served two important purposes. It kept the Japanese Yen currency exchange rate low, sufficient for maintaining the export juggernaut that sent products around global supply routes with names like Toyota, Honda, Komatsu, Mitsubishi, Nikon, Toshiba, and Fuji for a string of years. It also supplied a torrent of funds to feed both the Japanese and Western (think US, UK, Europe) financial markets its most important channel in existence.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 21, 2009

Inflation Pressures Rising Again / Stock-Markets / US Dollar

By: Guy_Lerner

Several months ago I began to lay out an asset allocation road map. In a nutshell, the US Dollar remains the key asset to follow, and as long as the Dollar remains in a downtrend, then commodities should outperform equities with Treasuries bringing up the rear. In those articles, I never really stated why I like commodities over equities.

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Currencies

Saturday, September 19, 2009

U.S. Dollar Imminent Upside Reversal? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe U.S. dollar fell to a 12-month low against most major currencies on Thursday, with by far the majority of currency traders believing it will continue its freefall. And on the fundamentals, the dollar doesn’t seem to have much going for it to reverse the trend.

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Currencies

Friday, September 18, 2009

U.S. Dollar Index, The Trend Is Your Friend / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Guy_Lerner

In identifying the Dollar Index (symbol: $DXY) as the key asset class to watch, I relied upon two strategies for guidance to make the call on June 19, 2009 that that this was a "Very Dangerous Time For The Dollar Index". So far, things are working out as expected.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 18, 2009

Easy-Money Fed Fueling U.S. Dollar “Carry Trades” / Interest-Rates / US Dollar

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA fascinating thing just occurred in the global interest rate market: For the first time since 1993, it became cheaper to borrow dollars than Japanese yen! The three-month dollar-based London Interbank Offered Rate, or LIBOR, slumped to 0.292 percent, compared with the yen-based LIBOR rate of 0.352 percent.

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Currencies

Thursday, September 17, 2009

Buy the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhatever happened to the Yen carry trade? 

Japanese overnight interest rates are still lower that the U.S. (10 basis points versus 25 basis points).  However, the three month Libor rates show that it has been cheaper to borrow dollars rather than yen.  In addition, the yen has been appreciating against the dollar since 2002.  So those having to buy back yen (to unwind a carry trade) have had the extra burden of currency appreciation working against them.   

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

US Dollar USD Index Important September Update / Currencies / US Dollar

By: INO

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMy wife and I just got back from cruising the Maine coastline and we were blessed with great weather and calm seas. When I got back to my summer home and had access once again to the internet, I immediately started looking through the MarketClub charts. It was then that I realized that it has been sometime since I last did a video on the Dollar Index.

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Currencies

Monday, September 14, 2009

U.S. Dollar Entering Free Fall Crash Territory / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Larry_Edelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin’s off this week. So I’m writing you today from Asia with a passionate plea to our country — to its citizens and especially to our leaders in Washington.

We are now the laughing stock of Asia. Our dollars are no longer respected; our ambitions, no longer mimicked.

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Currencies

Friday, September 11, 2009

U.N.’s Anti-Dollar Talk a Problem of Our Own Making / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Rep_Ed_Royce

A new report from an organization called the U.N. Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) calls for the U.S. dollar to be ditched and replaced with a new global reserve currency.  Why is it that the U.N. always concludes that central is better?  This discussion, of course, has been prodded by our country's financial crisis and drunken sailor-like spending. 

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 09, 2009

USD Bearish Clamour, The Dollar Won't Go Quietly / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Christopher_Laird

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs gold tries to break and hold $1000 it brings up the larger question of how long the USD has to last. At the very least, after the markets digest the debate over deflation which is USD bullish, the question becomes: how long can the USD hold together before it falls in value drastically.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

U.S. Dollar on the Move / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The PowerShares DB Bull US Dollar Fund ETF (NYSE: UUP) not only is oversold, but also appears to be the beneficiary of flight-to-safety money flows that is reminiscent of last year's stock market plunge. Concurrent with equity market weakness, the dollar has steadily climbed this morning, which has a familiar ring to it from last year’s stock market debacle, which attracted investors into the “safety” of the U.S. currency.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

The U.S. Dollars 2009 Slide, Banana Ben Strikes Again / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Michael_Pento

Just when you thought it was safe to hold dollars, even for just a little while, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke once again climbed aboard his helicopter and spread some more confetti (US dollars) across the sky.

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Currencies

Monday, August 31, 2009

September Crucial Month for U.S. Dollar, Fall or Rise? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: EliteGlobal

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeptember 2009 is a crucial period for US dollar because technically it formed a triangular pattern and its breakout will determine the direction of US dollar movement.  Most of investors and researchers predicted that the US dollar will depreciate on longer run against Euro but there is possible for either side breakout which is shown below.

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Currencies

Monday, August 31, 2009

U.S. Dollar Crash Count Down Madness / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt never ceases to amaze me what hype people will believe. The latest is a series of posts by Jim Sinclair who on August 14, started a countdown to dollar oblivion.

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Currencies

Saturday, August 29, 2009

The Power of the U.S. Fed, Deflation and U.S. Dollar Devaluation / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Adam_Brochert

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe non-federal, private federal reserve corporation has a no-bid contract to print money out of thin air and charge U.S. citizens money (interest) for this enormous privilege. Their so-called powers are legion and they are the cause of much distortion and inequality in our economy, to be sure.

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Currencies

Saturday, August 29, 2009

Global Economic Recovery Good or Bad for the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBryan Rich writes: If you’ve followed my commentary on currencies here in Money and Markets, you are well aware of the risk dynamic that has been driving currencies and other financial markets since the middle of last year.


In this crisis environment, market participants have been keenly focused on risk. And the dollar has served as the primary safe haven vehicle for global capital.


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Currencies

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

The U.S. Dollar is Dying / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRichard Daughty writes: The Economist magazine had the Buttonwood blog titled “Law of Easy Money,” which immediately gets your hopes up that there is such a thing as “easy money,” which actually exists (just ask Connecticut’s Senator Chris Dodd!), but unfortunately not for guys like you and me who don’t have the political power and grease to extort money and skim taxpayers, which is gratuitously rude and scandalous, I agree, but which only shows the depth of my contempt for the huge, huge, cancerously huge, ridiculously and dangerously incompetent, ignorant and stupid system of governments in America, as exemplified by the despicable Congress and the even more despicable Senator Dodd.

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Currencies

Monday, August 24, 2009

Japanese Yen Fractal Path for the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Adam_Brochert

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThough I keep hearing how we're different than Japan and their lost two decades of deflation (or as close to it as we seem to get in a fiat world), we are making the same foolish mistakes: protecting the financial/banking keiretsu that caused the current mess, burying the bad debt under a cloak of secrecy, and engaging in a massive quantitative easing campaign to "stimulate" the economy.

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News_Letter

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

U.S. Dollar Key to Financial Market Trends / News_Letter / US Dollar

By: NewsLetter

The Market Oracle Newsletter August 16th, 2009 Issue #64 Vol. 3

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Currencies

Sunday, August 16, 2009

U.S. Dollar Unusual Behaviour Despite Continuing Risk Taking Environment / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBryan Rich writes: Last week the U.S. reported better-than-expected employment data. And the markets liked it. Stocks rallied. Yields advanced. And the dollar actually moved higher.

A move higher in the dollar on good U.S. economic data might make perfect sense in most environments. But in this crisis environment, it’s unusual …

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News_Letter

Saturday, August 15, 2009

U.S. Dollar Bull Market Update 5 / News_Letter / US Dollar

By: NewsLetter

The Market Oracle Newsletter August 14th, 2009 Issue #63 Vol. 3

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Currencies

Friday, August 14, 2009

U.S. Dollar Bull Market Trend Forecast 2009 Update / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis seeks to update the existing U.S. dollar analysis of January 2009 by evaluating whether or not the U.S. Dollar bull market remains intact and to project a trend for the USD into year end. The sideways trend of the USD for the past 6 months in the wake of the "Quantitative Easing" headlines that has repeatedly brought the Dollar collapse proponents back out of hibernation on each down leg has shown little deviation from the road map of 20th Jan 09 as illustrated by the below original price chart.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 13, 2009

U.S. Dollar Pressure (Countdown) Toward Breakdown / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Paradigm Shift continues to displace the power centers and introduce new ones. Those bright souls who ignore the shift will be well prepared for systems that soon do not stand. The Americans are the last to know, oblivious to the global shift in progress. They continue to seek a return to normalcy, when old conditions are as gone as a baby’s innocence during teen years. The crux of the matter is that the United States is no longer in control of its fate. Meetings with creditor nation leaders result in new orders given, and new policy directives enacted.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

The U.S. Dollar Comes to the Rescue of Consumers / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Paul_J_Nolte

The almighty dollar has come to the rescue and just in the nick of time, as our hero – the consumer – was nearly out of cash and unable to spend to keep the giant economy moving. So the government waved their magic wand and poof a few billion dollars were created and tossed to those wanting to be ecology minded, who then traded in their big ugly vehicle for a nice new, more efficient one. Voila, not only do we have economic growth, but too the specter of employment to create these cars and all the other items the consumer will want now that the can spend again.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Back to the Future for the US Dollar, Addendum- The Japanese Yen / Currencies / US Dollar

By: The_BullBear

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis is an addendum to the recent BullBear Market Report:U.S. Dollar May Soon Confirm a Secular Bear Trap Trend Reversal

Yen Carry Trade

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Currencies

Monday, August 10, 2009

U.S. Dollar Index the Key to Financial Market Dynamics / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOver the next couple of weeks, I will attempt to put together an asset class road map that should help navigate the weeks and months ahead. In a nutshell, I would have to state that I like commodities over long term Treasury yields and equities, and the key driver will be the falling US Dollar Index.

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Currencies

Sunday, August 09, 2009

U.S. Dollar May Soon Confirm a Secular Bear Trap Trend Reversal / Currencies / US Dollar

By: The_BullBear

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the last BBMR we focused on the US Dollar and concluded that a major break of very long term support was imminent and that a substantial devaluation of the greenback vis-à-vis its major currency pairs and commodities was likely. It’s always healthy to revisit one’s conclusions in light of developments in the market. Recent action has caused me to reevaluate and question the bearish view on the USD and commodities as well. I think that there is a valid bullish case to be made for the Dollar as well as a bearish case for gold, silver, oil and other commodities. I will explore these views in this report.

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Currencies

Friday, August 07, 2009

US Dollar Index, Third and Final Bear Market Downleg? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAn earlier failed attempt to embark on a recovery phase, thwarted by a 23.6% resistance area, has seen the Dollar Index slipping lower. However, it could be that this is a final downleg…

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Currencies

Friday, August 07, 2009

U.S. Dollar Crash in September/ October 2009 Rumours / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Christopher_Laird

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere have been disturbing stories/rumors going around that the USD is poised for a crash episode in the Fall. The stories are basically anecdotal. One suggests that US embassies have been told to gather a year’s local currency in their host country. That is one example.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 06, 2009

U.S. Dollar Stage #1 Breakdown, Lost Control & Economic Mythology / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA great question to ask is: what was the first important chapter written in nonsensical Economic Mythology? It gave powerful intellectual protection and coverage by economists, and resulted in widespread acceptance. The answer is clearly the break in the Bretton Woods Accord, when in 1971 Nixon broke the gold standard and permitted the USDollar to float on a cloud of arrogance and on a wave of liquidity that is best described as debt mixed with counterfeit. Little known then, but better known now, is the role of the USMilitary in propping up the value and acceptance of the USDollar.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 06, 2009

U.S. Dollar Crash Has Started as Pressure Mounts / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Frederic_Simons

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US Dollar has shown further weakness during the last days. The support at about 78 in the US Dollar index has been breached to the downside. Technically, this means that the downside target of about 67 has been activated, and that downside momentum should be building up during the next days. 

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Currencies

Monday, August 03, 2009

US Dollar to Remain Dominant International Reserve Currency For Many Years / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleProf. Rodrigue Tremblay writes: "The empire of the dollar is crashing." Hugo Chavez, Venezuelan President
 
"The U.S. dollar is a worthless piece of paper." Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Iranian President
 
[The U.S. dollar is] "losing its status as the world currency." Xu Jian, vice director, People's Bank of China,

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Currencies

Friday, July 31, 2009

U.S. Dollar Collapse Starting Next Monday ? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Frederic_Simons

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe trading week finished with a further attack against the US Dollar, reversing a short-lived strenghening of the US Dollar that could be observed during the last two days. 

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

U.S. Govt Yuan Bond Threat to U.S. Dollar / Interest-Rates / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe tables are fast turning against the deeply indebted USGovt officials. USA Inc is in deep trouble. Its productive engines in both finance and industry are either wrecked or sputtering, even as its debt burden grows exponentially. Debt default litters the landscape. Next its sovereign bonds will be have to be sold to some extent outside the US$ Sphere, which will put at great risk its stock, namely the USDollar itself. Let’s call them USGovt Dragon Bonds.

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Currencies

Saturday, July 25, 2009

U.S. Dollar Became the World's Reserve Currency 65 Years Ago / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Pravda

The historic conference in Bretton Woods ended on July 22, 65 years ago. The members of the conference agreed to establish a system of payment based on the US dollar and established the dollar peg with gold. The conference also resulted with the establishment of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

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Currencies

Thursday, July 23, 2009

Abandoned U.S. Dollar and Paradigm Shift / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA paradigm shift is underway, unrecognized inside the US kettle. Its water level is falling and its temperature is rising, even as fewer foreign born cooks stir its contents. The US banking and political leaders errantly pursue a path toward a return to normalcy, when all pathways have been washed out by powerful storms that to do abate and will worsen. Several key developments point to a new global order taking shape, as the Chinese actively work to plant global seeds that result in the Yuan currency serving more of a role in global trade. They will eventually de-throne the USDollar from its primal perch. The USDollar will be used less in global trade. The US$-based assets are being diversified. These developments are gaining traction, power, and publicity.

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Currencies

Thursday, July 23, 2009

US Dollar Collapse Imminent / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Frederic_Simons

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe don't like to make bold predictions. But this time, it is different (famous last words). 

You might have seen that we at Crossroads FX tend to trade in a very systematic way, using signals of our proprietary trading system without asking too many questions. But you know, from time to time patterns emerge where you cannot resist.

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Currencies

Friday, July 17, 2009

Fundamental Driver For the U.S. Dollar's Downfall? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid A. Rosenberg, chief economist and strategist for Gluskin Sheff and Associates, writes a very nice (and free) almost daily commentary about the markets and economy. I am sure many of you read Mr. Rosenberg, but if you don't, you can sign up here.

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Currencies

Thursday, July 16, 2009

Imminent Erosion of U.S. Dollar Seawall / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe globe is losing patience with leadership and management of the USGovt ship at sea. They simple refuse to offer a credible solution to the primary keynote crack in the hull, falling housing prices and cratered mortgages, each of which work their destructive magic to wreck the banks. The home loan modifications are a farce, a travesty not designed to modify but rather to frame a series of loan forbearances. The motive for not fixing the mortgage mess is mysterious to the masses, but not here. Jackass claims have been consistent, that effective loan modifications would alter the underlying mortgage bonds drastically.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 15, 2009

What's Going on With the US Dollar Index / Currencies / US Dollar

By: INO

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile the US dollar was supposed to lose ground against its counter parties, the market has remained surprisingly stubborn and trapped in a sideways trading range.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 15, 2009

U.S. Dollar at Risk of Unraveling / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Dollar Index (symbol: $DXY) is trading significantly lower this morning, and it is at risk of closing the week below three pivot points as seen on the weekly chart in figure 1.

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Currencies

Monday, July 13, 2009

The U.S. Dollar Bear Market Trend into 2012 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Uncommon_Wisdom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry Edelson writes: No doubt you’ve heard about last week’s G-8 Meeting in L’Aquila, Italy. And no doubt you’re hearing a lot of sound bites from the G-8 and the media about the U.S. dollar being a very hot topic at the meeting.

To be sure, the dollar is the central topic on most leaders’ minds right now. After all …

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 07, 2009

How Long Can the U.S. Dollar Defy the Law of Gravity? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the midst of the longest and deepest, post World-War II recession, America’s financial position with the rest of the world has deteriorated sharply. Three decades of massive trade deficits have turned the United States from the world’s top lender to the world’s largest debtor, - and dependent upon the whims of the so-called emerging nations, laden with huge foreign currency reserves, to finance the bailout of Wall Street Oligarchs, and President Barack Obama’s social programs.  

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Currencies

Monday, July 06, 2009

U.S. Dollar Stability Choppy and Temporary / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSterling leads the list of currencies losing against the dollar and yen amid widespread expectations the Bank of England will exercise its quantitative easing expansion option by purchasing an additional 25 bln in assets without seeking govt approval. Concerted selling in emerging market bourses further elevates the risk-aversion lustre of USD and JPY.

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Currencies

Friday, June 26, 2009

U.S. Stocks, Dollar Decline on China Calls for World Currency / Currencies / US Dollar

By: GoldCore

The People’s Bank of China report is very significant news for the international monetary system and for the gold market. Their call for a new global reserve currency or super sovereign currency will likely lead to further pressure on the dollar. Despite gold having risen and then fallen in value today, the news is another bullish factor supporting higher gold prices in the medium term.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 25, 2009

Contraction in Economy Slowing Creates Bullishness for U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: BrewerFX

The Fed ended much of the uncertainty in the Forex markets today when it announced that its key lending rate would stay between 0 - .25%, and there would be no additional expansion of its balance sheet through the purchases of government assets and mortgages.

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Currencies

Sunday, June 21, 2009

Why “BRIC” Posturing Against the U.S. Dollar Just Doesn’t Add Up / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBryan Rich writes: The dollar has been publicly attacked on many fronts over the past three months. And endless accusations have been made that the U.S. is purposely trying to devalue the dollar to lessen its growing debt burden.

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Currencies

Saturday, June 20, 2009

Very Dangerous Time For Dollar Index / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI don't want to get into the prediction game or even be the first one to say, "I told you so", but I believe the Dollar Index (symbol: $DXY) has a very high likelihood of embarking on a major down swing in the coming weeks.

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Politics

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Politicians to the World: “Forget All Those Trillions, the Dollar’s Doing GREAT!” / Politics / US Dollar

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs a general rule of thumb, anytime a politician (especially a finance minister or central banker) comes forward to assure investors that his country’s currency is sound, you better believe the currency is in BIG trouble.

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 16, 2009

U.S. Dollar: the Good, the Bad and the Ugly / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRussian President Medvedev suggests the dollar is on its way out; Russian Finance minister Kudrin says there is no substitute for the dollar. The Chinese see a need to diversify out of the dollar; the Japanese say their trust in the dollar is unshakable. Let’s look at this puzzle and make some sense of it.

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Currencies

Sunday, June 14, 2009

How long Can the U.S. Dollar Last as the World’s Reserve Currency? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Global_Research

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBob Chapman writes: The big question is how long can the dollar last as the world’s reserve currency? Needless to say, that is not an easy question to answer. We recently called the top on the dollar at 89.50 on the USDX. The USDX is six currencies versus the dollar on a weighted basis. More than a year ago the dollar hit a low on the USDX at 71.18. A phenomenal rally ensued from that level expedited by de-leveraging and the closing out positions within the carry trade. A good example of the carry trade was when a bank in NYC borrowed yen. At ½% interest, sold the yen for dollars and bought dollar denominated securities.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 14, 2009

What's the Relationship Between the U.S. Dollar and Commodities? / Commodities / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBryan Rich  writes: The dollar can’t manage to find its way out of the limelight these days. There’s speculation about its demise and the loss of its world reserve currency status. It’s even blamed for higher gas prices.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 11, 2009

US Dollar Index Embarking on Voyage of Recovery… / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article…at the least over the shorter term. Last week the US Dollar Index started to rebound from technical support, aided by an interesting ‘Fibonacci’ projection which we detail below. Our bullish view here underpins our thinking across a range of markets that we cover in the FX Trading Guide, where we have adopted some early, somewhat aggressive reverse stances.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Falling Stock Markets Still Key for the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe intermarket relationship underpinning the US currency and global equities remains largely unhinged, with falling equities persisting as the longe saviour for the corroding US dollar. And so once again the falling US dollar got a fresh respite from a falling stock market. Earlier in the day, the dollar seemed to succumb to one of those typical selling waves after better than expected UK housing numbers, improving confidence figures in Australia and higher than expected Norwegian inflation -- all of which bolstered the rally of these currencies against the greenback. Such figures reduce the need for quantitative easing in these economies, which only add to a widening in their yield differential ahead of the US currency.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 04, 2009

The Plummeting U.S. Dollar Economic Prosperity Plan / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Michael_Pento

It is becoming painfully obvious that the Fed, Treasury, and Administration's disastrous recovery plan hinges on the devaluation of the U.S. dollar. Their specious strategy stems from the belief that a falling currency can re-ignite exports and spark a recovery in manufacturing while putting a floor in U.S. asset prices. But just as the President's initials indicate, the plan stinks of B.O.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 04, 2009

Bernanke's Math - Does It Add Up? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

The current account deficit is down as we are less reliant on foreigners to finance our deficits; the government's deficit is increasingly covered by the domestic private sector as private sector borrowing is down. -- These were the approximate words of Fed Chairman Bernanke in testimony to the House Budget Committe. This statement is so troublesome, let's examine it a step at the time.

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 02, 2009

Speculative Bets Against the U.S. Dollar Highest Since July 15 2008 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAnti-dollar sentiment is again running rampant. Please consider Bets against dollar highest since start of economic crisis.

Speculative bets against the dollar have risen to their highest level since the onset of the financial crisis.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 02, 2009

How Far Can the U.S. Dollar Fall? / Commodities / US Dollar

By: INO

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI was quite amazed when I looked back to see how long it’s been since I’ve put together a Dollar Index (NYBOT_DX) video. I had to look back to September of 2008 to find the last series of videos I had done specifically for the Dollar Index, and it proved to be successful.

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Currencies

Monday, June 01, 2009

China Forced to Support U.S. Dollar to Defend $2 trillion Currency Reserves / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Pravda

China is uncomfortable about being the principal creditor of the United States. Asia’s largest nation became the hostage of the US economy in the 21st century. The reserves of the People’s Republic of China are based on dollar assets - $2 trillion. US Treasury Bonds make $700 billion of the amount. China is forced to continue crediting the budget deficit of the United States not to let these reserves go down in value.

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Currencies

Saturday, May 30, 2009

US Dollar Hegemony Over China and Russia / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBob Chapman writes: The Chinese and Russians are the laughing stock of the US and European Illuminists at the G-20 meetings concerning talk about a new world reserve currency to supplant the dollar. With China's gold reserves of about a thousand tons and Russia's five hundred tons, they are like penny ante poker players trying to get in on a thousand dollar ante game. They need five to ten thousand tons of gold reserves just to be an average player in "The Big Game," much less a leading and influential player. The rest of their foreign exchange reserves are denominated in fiat currencies, which are all practically worthless except for the euro and Swiss franc.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 28, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Drags Dollar Lower Under Weight of Bond Issuance / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTalk of Fed Exit Strategy is Premature. Yesterdays 23-basis point jump in 10-year yields to 3.74% may have been helped by mortgage backed securities traders hedging, but the upward trend remains clearly intact. With Fed increasingly behind the curve in catching up with US Treasurys relentless bond issues, 10 year yields have now retraced over 50% of their decline from their 5.32% high of June 2007 to their record low of 2.03% in December.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 28, 2009

U.S. Dollar, the Worst Investment of All Time? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne investment, more than any other, has proven to be a terrible storehouse of value for well over 80 years.

While some disasters unfold rapidly (Enron, subprime mortgages, etc.), this investment’s decline has occurred in slow motion, losing an average of 3.6% a year. Indeed, you can hardly find a period in the last 89 years in which this investment actually MADE money.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 28, 2009

Treasury Bond Market Crash Threatens U.S. Dollar Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTHE PRICE OF GOLD rose $6 early Thursday to record the best AM Gold Fix in London so far this week, hitting $949.75 an ounce as world stock markets fell and US government bonds bounced from their worst sell-off since January.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 28, 2009

U.S. Dollar Roll Over Accelerates into Mid 2009 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn 2008, as the global bear market gather momentum, investors were drawn to the fundamentally weak U.S. dollar as a 'safe haven'. However, as volatility slowly erodes from the equity markets in 2009 and the appetite for risk in commodities and stocks gradually returns, the flight-to-safety mentality for the $USD is also evaporating. In its place is a return to a more rational fundamental review of the American currency.

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Currencies

Saturday, May 23, 2009

U.S. Dollar’s Demise Greatly Exaggerated, Still the Worlds Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBryan Rich writes: Many investors are concerned about the future path of the dollar … and with good reason.

The Treasury is increasing the money supply in amounts never seen before or even imagined … all in an effort to avert a meltdown and stimulate a path to recovery. And as expected, there are no shortages of opinions about the trillions of dollars being created out of thin air …

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Commodities

Friday, May 22, 2009

U.S. Dollar’s Impact on Commodity Price Trends / Commodities / US Dollar

By: Zeal_LLC

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn any day that commodities prices move materially, the financial media is quick to ascribe their action to the US dollar.  And this oft-discussed causal relationship is certainly logical.  With commodities priced in dollars, a stronger dollar will buy more units of any given commodity while a weaker dollar buys less.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 21, 2009

U.S. Dollar Slashed Due to Fed Quantitative Easing / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleToday's serious case of dollar-damage was once again made courtesy of the nations central bank. The Feds purchase of $7.7 bln in 7 and 10-year treasuries in the morning, followed by purchases of $3.08 bln in Agency securities in the afternoon accelerated the dollar decline and the resulting rally in commodities --as was the case on March 18 when the Fed first announced purchases of long term treasuries. Today's dollar sell-off stood out from previous declines by the fact that EURUSD knifed through the key resistance of $1.3740 (failed 4 times this year) to $1.3830, and even sterling finally managed to break above its 200-day moving average vs USD--something that all majors currencies had achieved in previous weeks surging to a 7-month high of $1.5794.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Is the U.S. Dollar Heading For a Mighty Crash? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEach month, the US Treasury publishes its International Capital account, (TIC) which foreign currency traders and bond dealers use to gauge the flows of money from around the world, into and out-of the US-capital markets. The demand for a nation’s bonds and stocks, combined with international trade flows for goods and services, plus behind the scenes intervention by central banks, all act in concert to influence the foreign exchange market which handles $4-trillion per day.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Is the U.S. Dollar in Trouble? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: INO

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHow we analyze the Dollar Index - According to the dollar index (DX), which is a basket of currencies that track the dollar, it would appear as though the dollar is indeed going to be coming under more pressure. The dollar index is much like an index for stocks except in this case it is for currencies.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

China and Brazil Try to Flee From the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Pravda

Brazil's state visit to China has set the chins wagging. Will an agreement be struck to invoice their bilateral trade in their own currencies rather than the dollar? Brazilian President Lula had made some allusions to this last month around the G20 meeting.

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Currencies

Sunday, May 17, 2009

The Incredible Shrinking Global Economies Bullish for the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBryan Rich writes: Germany is the world’s largest exporter. And in the broadest global recession on record, demand for its exports has come to a virtual standstill.

As a result, Germany, the core of the Eurozone, is shrinking at a record pace. And Germany isn’t alone. Many of the world’s largest economies have rested on the export model.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Fed Seeks U.S. Dollar Devaluation to Reflate the Economy / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCommodities are rising, the dollar is falling and the trade deficit is growing. Everything bad is good again, thanks to the Feds.
All of the pernicious factors that brought us to the brink of financial Armageddon are now once again returning and are still—amazingly enough--being embraced as both normal and healthy for the long term viability of the U.S. economy.  Factors such as a strengthening U.S. dollar, shrinking trade deficit, a surging savings rate and falling commodity prices were all being viewed as the bane of the U.S. economy. And now, unfortunately, what had been the budding re-emergence of economic sanity is being obliterated by a killing frost thanks to the Fed and the Administration.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Follow the Money… Out of the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKieran Osborne writes: Recently, stock markets appear to have experienced an almost euphoric phase, seemingly shrugging off most negative news flow day after day. Whether or not you believe in the so-called “green shoots” of economic recovery, a significant economic rebound, or a continued decline in economic activity, one thing seems abundantly clear: investors have been becoming less risk averse. The most commonly followed “fear indicator”, the VIX index, has retracted (likewise, other commonly followed indicators such as the TED spread has tightened and OIS spreads have reverted to levels not seen since the Lehman Brothers collapse), three month T-bill yields have recently risen and equity markets around the world have rebounded from March lows.

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Currencies

Sunday, May 03, 2009

U.S. Dollar Index Analysis and Forecast / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US Dollar Index has been experiencing weakness over the course of the past few days and is challenging present support levels, which if broken, could see a dip to 82-83. Analysis today will illustrate various trends in the USD and what to expect over the course of the next few weeks.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 29, 2009

U.S. Dollar Turned Back at Yen 100 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: LiveCharts

The dollar seemed on the fast track to cruise past 100 yen and beyond recently.  During the six week long stock market rally, the dollar surge to a high point of 101 yen on April 6th.  However, as the Dow has flattened and held above 8,000 the last couple weeks, the dollar’s momentum against its Japanese counterpart has waned.

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Currencies

Thursday, April 23, 2009

U.S. Dollar Setting up for a Decline Into End of Month / Currencies / US Dollar

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD suffered a violent whipsaw today first rising to highs during early New York trade before reversing to make lows against some pairs and end mixed. Rising to highs against the GBP, low prints were hit early as stops and aggressive selling dropped the rate to a low print 0f 1.4395 before short-covering and aggressive buying lifted the pair back to the 1.4500 handle to hold around 1.4510/20 area most of the day.

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Currencies

Sunday, April 19, 2009

Global Deflation and Currency Manipulation Boosts the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBryan Rich writes: This week there was plenty of data to digest from the financial markets and the overwhelming theme was — more of the same.

If you missed it, here’s a run-down …

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Currencies

Friday, April 17, 2009

Fed Using Currency Swaps to Boost the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Eric_deCarbonnel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCurrency swaps are of reciprocal currency agreements (swap facilities) between central banks. The officially purpose of such agreements are explicitly of short term and are intended to finance short-term capital flows believed to be seasonal or temporary in nature. Swap agreements are also misused to facilitate large interventions in foreign exchange markets, which is what is occurring with the dollar today.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

U.S. Dollar Doomed as Global Demand for Dollars Slows / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHappy Tax Day! As you fork over money to the IRS, you might want to take a closer look at the U.S. dollar. It could very well be turning into a ticking time bomb inside your wallet.

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Currencies

Sunday, April 12, 2009

Are the U.S. Dollar's Safehaven Days Numbered / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBryan Rich writes: It’s not hard to understand the relationship of the dollar with human emotions like greed and fear. And that relationship is rarely more visible than it is today …

When investors are willing to take on more risk, stocks, emerging market currencies and commodities all bounce. On the other hand, when fear is prevalent, the dollar soars, Treasuries take off, and gold starts sniffing towards $1,000 an ounce.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 08, 2009

U.S. Dollar Rally Lacks Conviction / Currencies / US Dollar

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD held gains today as risk-aversion in equities prompted dollar-buying pushing the majors into key S/R at the start of the day. Although the Greenback is higher across the board today volumes were lighter and traders noted quality buying of the majors into the lows. Confirmed sovereign and semi-official names were seen buying EURO and GBP on the dips holding those pairs off their early New York lows.

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Currencies

Friday, April 03, 2009

U.S. Dollar Devaluation is Inevitable, Just Like 1934 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleVronsky writes: It is evident to all the US economic environment is an unmitigated disaster. In fact we seem to be hell bent for leather falling into another Great Depression (the recent Bear Market Rally in Wall Street notwithstanding). This begs the question: What can President Obama do to avert the excruciatingly sad events of the 1930s?

Here are the economic problems causing havoc today in the USA:

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